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1321 Still Pond Dr
D Composite 44.15
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.5/30.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$305,999

1321 Still Pond Dr · Fort Worth, TX 76036
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,787 sqft · SingleFamily · 67 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 2-car garage $171/sqft · 18% below area Est $373k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This new four-bedroom home offers convenient single-story living. An inviting open-concept floorplan encourages simple transitions and multitasking between the kitchen, dining room and family room. Three bedrooms are located near the front of the home, just steps from a full bathroom, and a luxurious owner's suite is nestled into a private rear corner, complete with an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet.

Key facts

  • Single-story living
  • Walk-in closet
  • En-suite bathroom

Tags

SINGLE-STORY LIVINGOPEN-CONCEPT FLOORPLANEN-SUITE BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $306k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-214 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $275k (10.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $241k (21.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $241k (21.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Crowley ISD (urban): math 23% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #643 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Sidney H Poynter (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 422 students, 81% FRL); H F Stevens Middle (math 16% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,387 of 1,662 statewide, top 85%, 747 students, 84% FRL); Crowley H S (math 23% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,632 statewide, top 70%, 2,351 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 52% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 1275 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 43d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($288k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $240,590 (21.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.45%
Cash-on-cash
-3.00%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$373,038
List price
$305,999
Delta
-17.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1017 Stonehaven Ln 0.32mi 4/2.0 1,813 (+2%) 4mo $344,558 $190 80
1009 Stonehaven Ln 0.31mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,868 (+4%) 2mo $329,999 $177 71
1104 Meadow Vista Dr 0.39mi 4/2.0 1,898 (+6%) 2mo $329,990 $174 70
1105 Turtle Hill Ln 0.33mi 4/2.0 1,937 (+8%) 2mo $342,999 $177 69
1109 Chandler Dr 0.51mi 4/2.0 1,877 (+5%) 1mo $349,990 $186 67
1120 Hackberry Ln 0.48mi 4/2.0 1,898 (+6%) 3mo $349,990 $184 65
1001 Windsong Dr 0.26mi 4/2.0 2,029 (+14%) 3mo $384,990 $190 63
1013 Stonehaven Ln 0.31mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,991 (+11%) 2mo $344,999 $173 60
1009 Birchwood Dr 0.39mi 4/2.0 2,029 (+14%) 3mo $369,990 $182 57
1233 Calamian Dr 0.71mi 4/2.0 1,707 (-4%) 3mo $287,999 $169 56
1117 Hackberry Ln 0.46mi 4/2.0 2,038 (+14%) 2mo $376,990 $185 54
1201 Oryx Dr 0.71mi 4/2.0 1,667 (-7%) 3mo $277,999 $167 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.1%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-64,911
Equity at exit
$45,625
10-year hold
IRR
-17.9%
Equity multiple
0.06×
Total profit
$-80,928
Equity at exit
$26,457

Cash invested: $85,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
72 active · 38 under contract
Months of supply
12.7 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$327,490 ($181/sqft)
Median days on market
108 d
This list price
38% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+15.5% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 76036

Home prices YoY
-25.2%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
1275
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,406 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,605
Tax est. 1.5%
$382 /mo · $4,590/yr
Insurance
$127
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$505
Net cashflow
$-214

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,677
Max offer price $275,029
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-3 -5% $-108 +0% $-214 +5% $-320 +10% $-425
Rent -10% $-404 -5% $-309 +0% $-214 +5% $-119 +10% $-24
Rate -1.0pp $-60 -0.5pp $-136 base $-214 +0.5pp $-293 +1.0pp $-374

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$76,500
Closing costs
$9,180
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1312 Hunters Ridge Dr Crowley, TX 4.0 3.0 2155 $2,700 $1.25 59d 1 0.53mi
1137 Chandler Dr Crowley, TX 4.0 3.0 2075 $2,695 $1.30 0d 1 0.56mi
921 Loftin St Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1714 $2,086 $1.22 21d 1 0.82mi
616 Brooks St Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1675 $2,158 $1.29 4d 1 0.83mi
720 Watson Way Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1782 $2,095 $1.18 93d 1 0.86mi
728 Walls Blvd Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 1790 $2,159 $1.21 8d 1 0.91mi
744 Walls Blvd Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 1792 $2,300 $1.28 93d 1 0.93mi
752 Rutherford Dr Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 1856 $2,209 $1.19 93d 1 0.99mi
828 Walls Blvd Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 1850 $2,195 $1.19 7d 1 0.99mi
705 Loftin St Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1514 $2,200 $1.45 93d 1 1.00mi
708 Cheryl St Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1659 $2,100 $1.27 68d 1 1.00mi
625 Hutchins Dr Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1357 $1,885 $1.39 93d 1 1.01mi
632 Hutchins Dr Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1815 $2,230 $1.23 1d 1 1.04mi
1650 Ruthdale Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,000 $1.33 41d 1 1.07mi
552 Kerry St Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1636 $2,295 $1.40 51d 1 1.10mi
2604 Mill Springs Pass Fort Worth, TX 5.0 2.0 1822 $2,325 $1.28 28d 1 1.10mi
9125 Nevis Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1497 $2,049 $1.37 15d 1 1.10mi
712 Lazy Crest Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1342 $1,925 $1.43 19d 1 1.13mi
517 Misty Mountain Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1342 $1,750 $1.30 16d 1 1.15mi
513 Pineview Ln Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 2456 $2,250 $0.92 93d 1 1.20mi
2720 Gains Mill Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1757 $2,000 $1.14 48d 1 1.22mi
2569 Prospect Hill Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 2531 $2,495 $0.99 30d 1 1.27mi
3204 Montego Bay Ln Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1899 $2,350 $1.24 23d 1 1.28mi
10048 Iron Ridge Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1844 $2,080 $1.13 1d 1 1.29mi
8457 Asheville Ln Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1796 $2,049 $1.14 93d 1 1.29mi
304 E Clover Park Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 2424 $2,400 $0.99 30d 1 1.30mi
304 E Clover Park Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 2474 $2,350 $0.95 18d 1 1.30mi
304 E Clover Park Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 2424 $2,500 $1.03 43d 1 1.30mi
304 E Clover Park Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 2424 $2,525 $1.04 93d 1 1.30mi
220 Elk Run Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1781 $1,965 $1.10 64d 1 1.31mi
9124 Abaco Way Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1680 $2,020 $1.20 4d 1 1.32mi
8440 Asheville Ln Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 2048 $2,250 $1.10 62d 1 1.32mi
9157 Abaco Way Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1705 $2,149 $1.26 93d 1 1.34mi
9157 Abaco Way Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1705 $2,089 $1.23 74d 1 1.34mi
9165 Abaco Way Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1705 $2,095 $1.23 39d 1 1.35mi
433 Heritage Dr Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1783 $1,970 $1.10 59d 1 1.37mi
812 E Prairie View Rd Crowley, TX 3.0 1.5 1512 $1,695 $1.12 25d 1 1.38mi
416 Heritage Dr Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 2250 $2,250 $1.00 30d 1 1.38mi
416 Heritage Dr Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 2250 $2,250 $1.00 42d 1 1.38mi
416 Heritage Dr Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 2250 $2,250 $1.00 52d 1 1.38mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Address: 1321 Still Pond Dr, Fort Worth, TX 76036List price available (active listing)

Exterior

Parking
2 total parking spaces2-car garage
Home design
Gehrig plan
Exterior features
Living area approximately 1,787

Interior

Bedrooms
4 bedrooms
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Interior features
Spec home (new construction)

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $305,999 Active 67 DOM
  2. 2026-08-06
    days on market $305,999 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-08-05
    days on market $305,999 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-08-04
    pricedays on market $305,999 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-08-03
    days on market $306,999 Active 62 DOM
  6. 2026-07-31
    days on market $306,999 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-07-30
    days on market $306,999 Active 57 DOM
  8. 2026-07-28
    days on market $306,999 Active 56 DOM
  9. 2026-07-26
    days on market $306,999 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-07-24
    days on market $306,999 Active 52 DOM
  11. 2026-07-23
    days on market $306,999 Active 51 DOM
  12. 2026-07-22
    days on market $306,999 Active 50 DOM
  13. 2026-07-21
    days on market $306,999 Active 49 DOM
  14. 2026-07-20
    days on market $306,999 Active 48 DOM
  15. 2026-07-18
    days on market $306,999 Active 46 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $306,999 Active 45 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $306,999 Active 44 DOM
  18. 2026-07-15
    days on market $306,999 Active 43 DOM
  19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $306,999 Active 42 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $306,999 Active 41 DOM
  21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $306,999 Active 40 DOM
  22. 2026-07-11
    days on market $306,999 Active 39 DOM
  23. 2026-07-10
    days on market $306,999 Active 38 DOM
  24. 2026-07-09
    days on market $306,999 Active 37 DOM
  25. 2026-07-07
    days on market $306,999 Active 35 DOM
  26. 2026-07-06
    days on market $306,999 Active 34 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $306,999 Active 33 DOM
  28. 2026-07-05
    days on market $306,999 Active 32 DOM
  29. 2026-07-03
    days on market $306,999 Active 31 DOM
  30. 2026-07-02
    days on market $306,999 Active 30 DOM
  31. 2026-07-01
    days on market $306,999 Active 29 DOM
  32. 2026-06-30
    days on market $306,999 Active 28 DOM
  33. 2026-06-29
    days on market $306,999 Active 27 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $306,999 Active 26 DOM
  35. 2026-06-26
    days on market $306,999 Active 24 DOM
  36. 2026-06-24
    days on market $306,999 Active 22 DOM
  37. 2026-06-22
    days on market $306,999 Active 20 DOM
  38. 2026-06-21
    days on market $306,999 Active 19 DOM
  39. 2026-06-18
    days on market $306,999 Active 16 DOM
  40. 2026-06-17
    days on market $306,999 Active 15 DOM
  41. 2026-06-16
    days on market $306,999 Active 14 DOM
  42. 2026-06-15
    days on market $306,999 Active 13 DOM
  43. 2026-06-13
    days on market $306,999 Active 11 DOM
  44. 2026-06-13
    days on market $306,999 Active 10 DOM
  45. 2026-06-09
    days on market $306,999 Active 7 DOM
  46. 2026-06-08
    days on market $306,999 Active 6 DOM
  47. 2026-06-07
    days on market $306,999 Active 5 DOM
  48. 2026-06-04
    days on market $306,999 Active 2 DOM
  49. 2026-06-02
    remarks 409-char remark
  50. 2026-06-02
    listed $306,999 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,871
− Mortgage interest
−$17,141
− Property taxes
−$4,590
− Insurance
−$1,530
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,310
− Management
−$2,310
− Depreciation
−$8,902
Taxable loss
−$7,911
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,899
After-tax cash flow
$-670/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This move-in-ready single-story home offers a modern open-concept floorplan with four bedrooms and two bathrooms. The property is in good condition with no visible repairs needed, making it an excellent investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase property value and attract tech-savvy buyers
F Composite school gradezoned avg 31/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Sidney H Poynter F TX #3,583/4,322 Nat'l #33,738/41,679 Middle R C Loflin Middle D- TX #540/1,662 Nat'l #5,160/14,009 High Crowley H S F TX #1,112/1,632 Nat'l #11,215/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crowley ISD
NCES district ID
4815910
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$59,810
Composite
25.04/100
National rank
#7549
State rank
#643 of 826 in TX
A Composite livability gradescore 80/100

Livability — Fort Worth

Score
80/100
State rank
#49
US rank
#1954

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Worth, TX
County
Tarrant County · 2,380,417 people
City population
911,619
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
36,044
Household income
$97,973
Rent vs Own
23.7% rent · 76.3% own
Severe rent burden
13% of renters

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 20% Two or more races 14% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…