16018 Palos Verdes St · Punta Gorda, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +11.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.4/10.0
$312,748
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This impressive 1,874-square-foot two-story home features a spacious open-concept first floor where the kitchen, dining room and family room flow effortlessly together, highlighted by sliding glass doors that open to the backyard. The kitchen shines with shaker-style cabinetry, durable quartz countertops and stainless steel appliances including a slide-in electric range and side-by-side refrigerator. Upstairs, a roomy loft creates separation between the three secondary bedrooms and the tranquil owner's suite, complete with a quartz-topped vanity and full-width mirror.
Key facts
- Open-concept design
- Serene owner's suite
- Covered lanai
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $313k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $426 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $313k).
- Recommended offer: $285k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.5% in Punta Gorda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#225 in FL, #3,567 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities D-, commute F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: East Elementary School (math 67% / reading 68%, grade B+, #435 of 2,144 statewide, top 21%, 761 students, 52% FRL); Punta Gorda Middle School (math 54% / reading 52%, grade C+, #209 of 571 statewide, top 37%, 1,120 students, 41% FRL); Charlotte High School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 1,994 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 1453 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,275/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 42% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($285k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.84%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $339,000
- List price
- $312,748
- Delta
- -7.74%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45043 Pipevine Cir | 0.22mi | 4/2.5 | 1,874 (0%) | 4mo | $329,000 | $176 | 84 |
| 45024 Pipevine Cir | 0.23mi | 4/3.0 | 1,933 (+3%) | 1mo | $421,205 | $218 | 79 |
| 16042 Palos Verdes St | 0.11mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,112 (+13%) | 1mo | $315,000 | $149 | 66 |
| 45037 Pipevine Cir | 0.22mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,112 (+13%) | 4mo | $349,000 | $165 | 58 |
| 44461 Cable Creek Dr | 1.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,654 (-12%) | 0mo | $320,000 | $193 | 40 |
| 44495 Frontier Dr | 1.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,654 (-12%) | 9mo | $339,560 | $205 | 33 |
| 44450 Frontier Dr | 1.49mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,181 (+16%) | 2mo | $441,000 | $202 | 32 |
| 44504 Frontier Dr | 1.39mi | 4/2.5 | 2,181 (+16%) | 8mo | $456,000 | $209 | 32 |
| 44480 Frontier Dr | 1.43mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,181 (+16%) | 3mo | $428,790 | $197 | 31 |
| 44518 Little Blue Heron Way | 1.40mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,272 (+21%) | 7mo | $540,000 | $238 | 27 |
| 44428 Cable Creek Dr | 1.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,483 (-21%) | 12mo | $310,805 | $210 | 25 |
| 44506 Cable Creek Dr | 1.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,483 (-21%) | 15mo | $277,500 | $187 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-19,736
- Equity at exit
- $46,632
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $33,756
- Equity at exit
- $27,041
Cash invested: $87,569 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 22 active · 4 under contract
- Months of supply
- 33.0 mo (3%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $322,724 ($170/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 12 d
- This list price
- 27% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +6.6% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33982
- Home prices YoY
- -1.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 1453
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,275 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,640
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$391 /mo · $4,691/yr
- Insurance
- −$130
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$688
- Net cashflow
- $426
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $642 | -5% $534 | +0% $426 | +5% $318 | +10% $210 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $167 | -5% $297 | +0% $426 | +5% $555 | +10% $685 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $583 | -0.5pp $505 | base $426 | +0.5pp $345 | +1.0pp $262 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,187
- Closing costs
- $9,382
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16042 Palos Verdes St Punta Gorda, FL | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2112 | $3,000 | $1.42 | 5d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 15918 Green Acres Ave Unit 4521 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2110 | $2,400 | $1.14 | 6d | 1 | 1.00mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- List price $343,698
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 total parking spaces including a 2-car garage
- Home design
- Single-family new construction (Columbus plan)
- Construction
- Living area approximately 1874
- Exterior features
- Residential property located at 16018 Palos Verdes St, Punta Gorda, FL 33982
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
- Interior features
- Spec home (Columbus plan)Active listing
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-05days on market $312,748 Active 109 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $312,748 Active 108 DOM
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2026-08-31days on market $312,748 Active 104 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $312,748 Active 103 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $312,748 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $312,748 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $312,748 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $312,748 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $312,748 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $312,748 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $312,748 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $312,748 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $312,748 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $312,748 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-08-18price $312,748 Active 91 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $316,998 Active 91 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $316,998 Active 90 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $316,998 Active 89 DOM
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2026-08-15pricedays on market $316,998 Active 88 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $329,748 Active 87 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $329,748 Active 86 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $329,748 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $329,748 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $329,748 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $329,748 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $329,748 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $329,748 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $329,748 Active 79 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $329,748 Active 78 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $329,748 Active 77 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $329,748 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-08-01days on market $329,748 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $329,748 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $329,748 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $329,748 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $329,748 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $329,748 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $329,748 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $329,748 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $329,748 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $329,748 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $329,748 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $329,748 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-12pricedays on market $329,748 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $340,748 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $340,748 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $340,748 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $340,748 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $340,748 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $340,748 Active 46 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,300
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,519
- − Property taxes
- −$4,691
- − Insurance
- −$1,564
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,144
- − Management
- −$3,144
- − Depreciation
- −$9,098
- Taxable income
- $140
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$34
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,077/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 26 photos
This well-maintained two-story home features a modern design with good condition throughout. It offers a spacious layout and is move-in ready, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental markets.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Updating the flooring in the bathrooms — Modern flooring can improve the look and feel of the bathrooms. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal and functionality. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can enhance convenience and increase the home's value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and add value to the property. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Punta Gorda
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #225
- US rank
- #3567
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Charlotte County · 198,646 people
- City population
- 68,831
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,006
- Household income
- $72,443
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 42% of renters
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.25%
- Current HPI
- 448.5895
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.13%
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…