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160 Timon St Multi-family
C+ Composite 62.17
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$220,000

160 Timon St · Buffalo, NY 14208
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,314 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1910 3,900 sqft lot Est $157k · 40% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Very Beautiful own living and income generating 3/3 double house. Large living and dining area, hard wood floor, brand new bathrooms and specious kitchen. Prime location in buffalo near City Honor School, renown Islamic school, parks, hospitals, very close to downtown City hall, shopping to supermarket and malls and close to highway and the major routes. Overall nice neighborhood.

Key facts

  • Hard wood floor
  • Spacious kitchen
  • Brand new bathrooms

Tags

LARGE LIVING AND DINING AREAHARD WOOD FLOORBRAND NEW BATHROOMSSPACIOUS KITCHENPRIME LOCATIONCLOSE TO DOWNTOWN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two separate gas meters and two separate electric meters; Two total units; Lot dimensions approximately 30 x 130
  • Financial info: Owner pays water; water is included in rent; Operating expenses may include electric, fuel, utilities, and water/sewer (multi-unit)

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electrical service
  • Home design: Two-story residential building; Zoned for 2 units
  • Construction: Block and concrete foundation with stone elements; Block, concrete, shake siding, and vinyl siding construction; Existing (previously built)
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Open porch; Fully fenced yard; Rectangular lot; Near public transit

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen (both units)
  • Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units (one 3-bedroom, 1-bath; one 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Total: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom across units; Unit 1: 1 full bathroom; Unit 2: 1 full bathroom and 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Forced air; Hot water heating; Multiple heating units
  • Interior features: Cedar closet(s); Ceiling fan(s); Programmable thermostat; Storm windows
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $220k).
  • Cap rate 16.7% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,037/mo this rent would consume 100% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 723% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $90k; list at $220k implies a 144% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $220,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.84%
Cap rate
16.66%
Cash-on-cash
37.01%
DSCR
2.65
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$157,352
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
497-499 Riley St 0.34mi 6/2.0 2,380 (+3%) 2mo $105,900 $44 78
396 Guilford St 0.36mi 6/3.0 2,144 (-7%) 2mo $135,000 $63 65
502 Glenwood Ave 0.57mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,294 (-1%) 7mo $20,500 $9 61
511 Dodge St 0.12mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,564 (+11%) 8mo $80,000 $31 61
361 E North St Unit S 0.29mi 5/2.5 (-1) 2,544 (+10%) 3mo $172,500 $68 60
248 Peach St 0.37mi 6/2.0 2,612 (+13%) 4mo $191,000 $73 58
37 Pershing Ave 0.24mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,641 (+14%) 1mo $85,000 $32 55
211 Riley St 0.51mi 6/3.0 2,522 (+9%) 7mo $210,000 $83 51
213 Winslow Ave 0.63mi 6/2.0 2,484 (+7%) 8mo $242,000 $97 51
144 Grey St 0.67mi 6/2.0 2,568 (+11%) 8mo $70,000 $27 44
159 Purdy St 0.75mi 6/2.0 2,080 (-10%) 6mo $212,500 $102 43
24 Winslow Ave 0.60mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,024 (-12%) 8mo $220,000 $109 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.9%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$85,271
Equity at exit
$32,803
10-year hold
IRR
39.9%
Equity multiple
4.73×
Total profit
$229,731
Equity at exit
$19,022

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14208

Home prices YoY
-3.4%
Active inventory
54
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,037 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $528/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$848
Net cashflow
$1,900

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,632
Max offer price $220,000
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,024 -5% $1,962 +0% $1,900 +5% $1,838 +10% $1,775
Rent -10% $1,581 -5% $1,740 +0% $1,900 +5% $2,059 +10% $2,219
Rate -1.0pp $2,011 -0.5pp $1,956 base $1,900 +0.5pp $1,843 +1.0pp $1,785

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,037

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
518 Wilson St Buffalo, NY 5.0 1.5 1848 $1,500 $0.81 24d 1 0.67mi
15 Hughes Ave Buffalo, NY 7.0 2.0 1650 $3,000 $1.82 45d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $220,000 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $220,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $220,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $220,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $220,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $220,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 385-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $220,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$528 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,123 · $177/mo
Expected delta
+$1,595/yr (+$133/mo · 301.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$48,444
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$528
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,876
− Management
−$3,876
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable income
$20,341
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,882
After-tax cash flow
$17,916/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
12,572
Household income
$48,476
Rent vs Own
46.2% rent · 53.8% own
Severe rent burden
723.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 72% White 15% Asian 6% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 1% Hispanic 0%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea, Philippines
Languages at home
89% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.37%
Current HPI
459.2084
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1005.5% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $220,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2025-09-02 Listed $189,900 WNYREIS
  • 2022-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 2021-10-21 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2021-08-08 Price Changed $127,900 WNYREIS
  • 2021-07-21 Listed $129,900 WNYREIS
  • 2013-09-06 Sold (MLS) $16,000 WNYREIS
  • 2013-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
  • 2013-07-01 Listed $19,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+12.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $528 · +154.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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