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1073 Alston Ln
D Composite 41.88
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.8/5.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$400,000

1073 Alston Ln · Englewood, FL 34223
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,448 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 129 Days on market
Built 1972 9,300 sqft lot Est $271k · 48% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bring your boat to beautiful Rocky Creek with only two bridges to the bay. This charming three bedroom/2 bath home awaits the avid fisherman and boater. Situated on a dead-end street in the heart of town, close to shopping, restaurants, beaches, schools and a hospital. All your qualifications are met in this home! As an extra perk, buyers are eligible to join the Englewood Gardens Beach Club.

Key facts

  • Marble backsplash
  • Open floor plan
  • Quartz countertops

Tags

WATERFRONTOPEN FLOOR PLANUPDATED KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSMARBLE BACKSPLASH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: On waterfront with canal access (brackish) and approximately 100 feet of water frontage; Water view of canal (Rocky Creek); Water extras include fixed bridges and a lift; Lot may require flood insurance; Located on a dead-end street
  • HOA & community: No association indicated; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Street access via asphalt road
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Canal/lake water available for irrigation; Public sewer connected; Electricity connected; Cable available; Broadband/high-speed internet available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; North-facing
  • Construction: Concrete and stucco construction; Metal roof; Slab foundation; Built on a lot approximately 0.21 acre (100 x 93)
  • Exterior features: Front screened porch; Shade shutters; Storage shed(s); Additional storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Water purifier; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Terrazzo flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen open to family room; Open floorplan; Split bedroom floorplan; Shutters on windows; Family room; Wood-burning fireplace in living room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup (electric); Laundry room inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $400k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-137 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $376k (6.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $351k (12.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $351k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.8% in Englewood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#321 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, health & safety A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: L. A. Ainger Middle School (math 65% / reading 53%, grade B, #144 of 571 statewide, top 26%, 720 students, 40% FRL); Lemon Bay High School (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #148 of 667 statewide, top 23%, 1,360 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 34% FRL vs 54% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.0%/yr); 726 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,507/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 290% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($352k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $59k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $290k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $350,717 (12.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
7.16%
Cash-on-cash
3.11%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$270,776
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6 Cove Ln 0.07mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,400 (-3%) 7mo $430,000 $307 79
1157 North Ln 0.16mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,356 (-6%) 9mo $187,000 $138 66
1720 Florence Ave 0.59mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,293 (-11%) 14mo $250,000 $193 38
1220 Greaza St 0.73mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,527 (+6%) 17mo $285,500 $187 38
1725 Blue Bird Ln 0.62mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,238 (-14%) 6mo $215,000 $174 37
1665 Manor Rd 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,298 (-10%) 14mo $230,000 $177 36
1575 Loralin Dr 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,322 (-9%) 22mo $410,000 $310 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.0%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-54,848
Equity at exit
$59,641
10-year hold
IRR
2.6%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$25,959
Equity at exit
$34,585

Cash invested: $112,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34223

Home prices YoY
-34.2%
Rents YoY
9.0%
Active inventory
726
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,507 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,098
Tax from tax record
$217 /mo · $2,598/yr
Insurance
$167
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$737
Net cashflow
$-137

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,680
Max offer price $375,851
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $90 -5% $-23 +0% $-137 +5% $-250 +10% $-363
Rent -10% $-414 -5% $-275 +0% $-137 +5% $2 +10% $140
Rate -1.0pp $65 -0.5pp $-35 base $-137 +0.5pp $-240 +1.0pp $-346

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$100,000
Closing costs
$12,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1120 Lampp Dr Englewood, FL 3.0 2.0 1212 $4,000 $3.30 23d 1 0.28mi
1081 Humboldt St Englewood, FL 3.0 2.0 1838 $2,400 $1.31 23d 1 0.31mi
1531 Placida Rd #203 Englewood, FL 2.0 2.0 1056 $3,900 $3.69 23d 1 0.44mi
1531 Placida Rd #204 Englewood, FL 2.0 2.0 1056 $3,500 $3.31 23d 1 0.45mi
858 E 7th St Englewood, FL 3.0 2.0 1244 $1,995 $1.60 23d 1 0.46mi
2275 S McCall Rd #201 Englewood, FL 2.0 2.0 1050 $2,000 $1.90 15d 1 0.64mi
1575 Loralin Dr Englewood, FL 3.0 2.0 1322 $5,000 $3.78 23d 1 0.73mi
1501 Helene Ave Englewood, FL 3.0 2.0 1608 $3,200 $1.99 15d 1 0.79mi
1210 S Maryknoll Rd Englewood, FL 2.0 2.0 1063 $2,600 $2.45 23d 1 0.89mi
1401 S McCall Rd Unit 301A Englewood, FL 2.0 2.0 1093 $3,300 $3.02 23d 1 0.99mi
2643 Lear Rd Englewood, FL 2.0 2.0 1206 $5,800 $4.81 23d 1 1.13mi
1960 Oregon Trl Unit 2A Englewood, FL 2.0 2.0 1360 $3,750 $2.76 23d 1 1.24mi
6699 San Casa Dr Englewood, FL 2.0 2.0 1028 $1,900 $1.85 23d 1 1.27mi
1375 Beach Rd #311 Englewood, FL 3.0 2.0 1686 $4,950 $2.94 23d 1 1.32mi
6688 San Casa Dr Englewood, FL 2.0 2.0 1143 $1,600 $1.40 23d 1 1.38mi
1945 Michigan Ave Englewood, FL 4.0 3.0 1579 $8,000 $5.07 23d 1 1.45mi
1970 Georgia Ave Englewood, FL 3.0 2.0 1160 $11,790 $10.16 23d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-07
    price $400,000
  3. 2026-03-12
    price $439,000
  4. 2025-12-21
    listed $459,000 Active
  5. 2024-09-30
    historical $3,200
  6. 2024-05-31
    listed $3,200
  7. 2020-09-01
    soldstatus $290,000
  8. 2020-08-28
    soldstatus $290,000 Sold 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Bring your boat to beautiful Rocky Creek with only two bridges to the bay. This charming three bedroom/2 bath home awaits the avid fisherman and boater. Situated on a dead-end street in the heart of town, close to shopping, restaurants, beaches, schools and a hospital. All your qualifications are met in this home! As an extra perk, buyers are eligible to join the Englewood Gardens Beach Club.

  9. 2020-07-29
    status Pending 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Bring your boat to beautiful Rocky Creek with only two bridges to the bay. This charming three bedroom/2 bath home awaits the avid fisherman and boater. Situated on a dead-end street in the heart of town, close to shopping, restaurants, beaches, schools and a hospital. All your qualifications are met in this home! As an extra perk, buyers are eligible to join the Englewood Gardens Beach Club.

  10. 2020-06-30
    price $304,999 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Bring your boat to beautiful Rocky Creek with only two bridges to the bay. This charming three bedroom/2 bath home awaits the avid fisherman and boater. Situated on a dead-end street in the heart of town, close to shopping, restaurants, beaches, schools and a hospital. All your qualifications are met in this home! As an extra perk, buyers are eligible to join the Englewood Gardens Beach Club.

  11. 2020-03-16
    price $310,000 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Bring your boat to beautiful Rocky Creek with only two bridges to the bay. This charming three bedroom/2 bath home awaits the avid fisherman and boater. Situated on a dead-end street in the heart of town, close to shopping, restaurants, beaches, schools and a hospital. All your qualifications are met in this home! As an extra perk, buyers are eligible to join the Englewood Gardens Beach Club.

  12. 2020-03-09
    price $332,500 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Bring your boat to beautiful Rocky Creek with only two bridges to the bay. This charming three bedroom/2 bath home awaits the avid fisherman and boater. Situated on a dead-end street in the heart of town, close to shopping, restaurants, beaches, schools and a hospital. All your qualifications are met in this home! As an extra perk, buyers are eligible to join the Englewood Gardens Beach Club.

  13. 2020-02-04
    listed $340,000 Active 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Bring your boat to beautiful Rocky Creek with only two bridges to the bay. This charming three bedroom/2 bath home awaits the avid fisherman and boater. Situated on a dead-end street in the heart of town, close to shopping, restaurants, beaches, schools and a hospital. All your qualifications are met in this home! As an extra perk, buyers are eligible to join the Englewood Gardens Beach Club.

  14. 2003-07-15
    soldstatus $187,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,598 · $217/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,320 · $277/mo
Expected delta
+$722/yr (+$60/mo · 27.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,086
− Mortgage interest
−$22,406
− Property taxes
−$2,598
− Insurance
−$7,118
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,367
− Management
−$3,367
− Depreciation
−$11,636
Taxable loss
−$8,407
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,018
After-tax cash flow
$377/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charlotte
NCES district ID
1200240
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,864
Composite
45.62/100
National rank
#2586
State rank
#22 of 73 in FL

Livability — Englewood

Score
73/100
State rank
#321
US rank
#5655

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Englewood, FL
County
Sarasota County · 448,376 people
City population
35,420
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
19,884
Household income
$76,016
Rent vs Own
12.5% rent · 87.5% own
Severe rent burden
290.0

Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
198,646 people
By 2030
210,507 · +6.0%
By 2040
230,857 · +16.2%
By 2050
247,148 · +24.4%
By 2075
281,777 · +41.8%
By 2100
293,609 · +47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -146.26%
Current HPI
281.0529
Rent YoY
▲ 9.02%
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+113.9% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $400,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $439,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-21 Listed $459,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-30 Rental Removed $3,200 STELLARMLS
  • 2024-05-31 Listed for Rent $3,200 STELLARMLS
  • 2020-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $290,000 Public Records
  • 2020-08-28 Sold (MLS) $290,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-29 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-06-30 Price Changed $304,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-16 Price Changed $310,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-09 Price Changed $332,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-02-04 Listed $340,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $187,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,598 · -36.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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