402 Loblolly Dr · Centerville, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderfully maintained brick home in Loblolly. Home features a wonderful den with fireplace and a formal dining room that opens to a formal living room. Bedrooms are all nice sizes and all have access to bathrooms ( there is a jack and jill bath between two of the bedrooms. A half bath off the large laundry room is great for guests! There is also a sunroom off the den with a patio and fenced backyard. . Two large workshop type storage buildings ( a his and a hers, both with power). Water could easily be added to the "hers" building and it would make a great mother in law suite or small apartment. Also included is a huge 40 FOOT LONG RV GARAGE!
Key facts
- 0.51 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1978
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway; Garage door opener
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Brick construction; Architectural shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Property is outside city limits; Level lot; Located in a subdivision
- Construction: Built 31–50 years ago; Brick construction; Architectural shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; Yard fenced
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Smooth cooktop; Plumbed for ice maker; Eat-in kitchen; Solid surface counters
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; 2 main-level bathrooms; Jack and Jill bath; Walk-in shower; Low threshold shower
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Fireplace; Jack and Jill bath; Solid surface counters; Walk-in shower; Window treatments; Blinds; Insulated windows; Low threshold shower; Workshop
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry room on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $75 ($901/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (19.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $161k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.9% in Centerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#108 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Anderson 05 (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #20 of 80 in SC (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Centerville Elementary (math 41% / reading 41%, grade F, #276 of 597 statewide, top 48%, 620 students, 100% FRL); Westside High (math 53% / reading 75%, grade B-, #92 of 196 statewide, top 48%, 1,769 students, 89% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 52% district-wide (43 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 331 active listings in the ZIP; 1,255 units permitted in Anderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Anderson County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.61%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $269,808
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 402 Loblolly Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,870 (+1%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $120 | 97 |
| 602 Loblolly Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,795 (-3%) | 2mo | $262,000 | $146 | 81 |
| 1215 Ravenswood Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,834 (-1%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $144 | 80 |
| 103 Pine Needle Trl | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (-9%) | 3mo | $280,000 | $167 | 76 |
| 209 Loblolly Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 2,004 (+8%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $122 | 73 |
| 642 Hunters Ln | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,955 (+6%) | 2mo | $259,000 | $132 | 72 |
| 510 Hunters Ln | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,924 (+4%) | 4mo | $248,000 | $129 | 69 |
| 402 Tiffany Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,882 (+2%) | 3mo | $290,000 | $154 | 63 |
| 100 Featherfilled Ct | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,916 (+4%) | 4mo | $260,000 | $136 | 61 |
| 126 Carling Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (-3%) | 2mo | $265,900 | $148 | 60 |
| 658 Hunters Ln | 0.22mi | 3/3.5 | 1,586 (-14%) | 4mo | $245,000 | $154 | 59 |
| 204 Bristol Ct | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 | 1,991 (+8%) | 6mo | $315,000 | $158 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-31,272
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- -11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-35,389
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29625
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 331
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,606 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$61 /mo · $735/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $75
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $188 | -5% $132 | +0% $75 | +5% $19 | +10% $-38 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-52 | -5% $12 | +0% $75 | +5% $139 | +10% $202 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $176 | -0.5pp $126 | base $75 | +0.5pp $23 | +1.0pp $-29 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending
-
2026-05-07price $199,999
-
2026-04-27status Active
-
2026-03-21historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-06price $254,900
-
2026-02-25$255,000 Active
-
2018-07-12soldstatus $179,900
-
2018-07-10soldstatus $175,000 Sold 661-char remark
Show marketing remark (661 chars)
Wonderfully maintained brick home in Loblolly. Home features a wonderful den with fireplace and a formal dining room that opens to a formal living room. Bedrooms are all nice sizes and all have access to bathrooms ( there is a jack and jill bath between two of the bedrooms. A half bath off the large laundry room is great for guests! There is also a sunroom off the den with a patio and fenced backyard. . Two large workshop type storage buildings ( a his and a hers, both with power). Water could easily be added to the "hers" building and it would make a great mother in law suite or small apartment. Also included is a huge 40 FOOT LONG RV GARAGE!
-
2018-05-25status Pending 661-char remark
Show marketing remark (661 chars)
Wonderfully maintained brick home in Loblolly. Home features a wonderful den with fireplace and a formal dining room that opens to a formal living room. Bedrooms are all nice sizes and all have access to bathrooms ( there is a jack and jill bath between two of the bedrooms. A half bath off the large laundry room is great for guests! There is also a sunroom off the den with a patio and fenced backyard. . Two large workshop type storage buildings ( a his and a hers, both with power). Water could easily be added to the "hers" building and it would make a great mother in law suite or small apartment. Also included is a huge 40 FOOT LONG RV GARAGE!
-
2018-05-11$179,900 Active 661-char remark
Show marketing remark (661 chars)
Wonderfully maintained brick home in Loblolly. Home features a wonderful den with fireplace and a formal dining room that opens to a formal living room. Bedrooms are all nice sizes and all have access to bathrooms ( there is a jack and jill bath between two of the bedrooms. A half bath off the large laundry room is great for guests! There is also a sunroom off the den with a patio and fenced backyard. . Two large workshop type storage buildings ( a his and a hers, both with power). Water could easily be added to the "hers" building and it would make a great mother in law suite or small apartment. Also included is a huge 40 FOOT LONG RV GARAGE!
-
2005-11-14soldstatus $148,000
-
2005-11-10soldstatus $148,000 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
40 FOOT LONG RV GARAGE; TWO VERY NICE STORAGE BUILDINGS; HOME HAS MANY UPDATES AND IS VERY WELL MAINTAINED.
-
2005-09-14$152,900 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
40 FOOT LONG RV GARAGE; TWO VERY NICE STORAGE BUILDINGS; HOME HAS MANY UPDATES AND IS VERY WELL MAINTAINED.
-
2000-11-10soldstatus $117,500
-
1996-04-04soldstatus $63,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $735 · $61/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,140 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- +$405/yr (+$34/mo · 55.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,269
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$735
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,542
- − Management
- −$1,542
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$2,571
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$617
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,518/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anderson 05
- NCES district ID
- 4500900
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,718
- Composite
- 38.89/100
- National rank
- #4098
- State rank
- #20 of 80 in SC
Livability — Centerville
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #11094
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Centerville, SC
- County
- Anderson County · 99,076 people
- Metro
- Greenville-Anderson, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,012
- Household income
- $61,960
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 773.0
Population outlook (Anderson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 210,546 people
- By 2030
- 217,791 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 230,643 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 240,220 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 259,518 · +23.3%
- By 2100
- 258,696 · +22.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 15% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Anderson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.7% · R 73.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.1pp toward R · 2008: -33.3pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+42.0 2016: R+43.7 2012: R+36.4 2008: R+33.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -186.36%
- Current HPI
- 307.3451
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.75%
- Metro
- Greenville-Anderson, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+217.5% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Pending — WUMLS
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $199,999 WUMLS
- 2026-04-27 Relisted — WUMLS
- 2026-03-21 Contingent — WUMLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $254,900 WUMLS
- 2026-02-25 Listed $255,000 WUMLS
- 2018-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $179,900 Public Records
- 2018-07-10 Sold (MLS) $175,000 WUMLS
- 2018-05-25 Pending — WUMLS
- 2018-05-11 Listed $179,900 WUMLS
- 2005-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $148,000 Public Records
- 2005-11-10 Sold (MLS) $148,000 WUMLS
- 2005-09-14 Listed $152,900 WUMLS
- 2000-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $117,500 Public Records
- 1996-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-10.4%/yrLatest (2025): $735 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…