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2901 E 2nd St #96
B+ Composite 75.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,500

2901 E 2nd St #96 · Newberg, OR 97132
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 105 Days on market
Built 1987 $91/sqft · 13% below area Est $97k · 13% under ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming single-wide manufactured home located in a quiet 55+ community. This 2 bedroom, 2 full bathroom home features a newer heat pump for year-round comfort, a storage shed, carport, skylights, partially enclosed front porch, washer & dryer in home and affordable park rent.

Key facts

  • Carport
  • Storage shed
  • Newer heat pump

Tags

NEWER HEAT PUMPSTORAGE SHEDCARPORTSKYLIGHTSPARTIALLY ENCLOSED FRONT PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $84k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $845 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $84k).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.3% vs local median 2.4% in Newberg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#77 in OR, #3,395 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, commute F.
  • Newberg SD 29J (town): math 30% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #17 of 58 in OR (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 230 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 282 units permitted in Yamhill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $584 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Yamhill County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $76,895 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.04%
Cap rate
18.29%
Cash-on-cash
42.84%
DSCR
2.91
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$96,800
List price
$84,500
Delta
-12.71%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2902 E 2nd St #12 0.14mi 2/1.0 924 (0%) 1mo $98,000 $106 92
2902 E 2nd St #54 0.09mi 2/2.0 924 (0%) 3mo $95,600 $103 90
2902 E 2nd St #108 0.02mi 3/2.0 (+1) 924 (0%) 6mo $115,500 $125 86
2902 E 2nd St #106 0.02mi 2/1.0 840 (-9%) 3mo $94,000 $112 82
2901 E 2nd St #126 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,008 (+9%) 4mo $37,000 $37 78
2902 E 2nd St #18 0.13mi 2/1.0 1,008 (+9%) 6mo $82,000 $81 74
2901 E 2nd St #110 0.00mi 2/1.0 992 (+7%) 20mo $89,000 $90 71
1103 N Springbrook Rd #6 0.74mi 2/2.0 924 (0%) 2mo $110,000 $119 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.9%
Equity multiple
2.52×
Total profit
$35,950
Equity at exit
$12,599
10-year hold
IRR
42.4%
Equity multiple
4.56×
Total profit
$84,333
Equity at exit
$7,306

Cash invested: $23,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97132

Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
230
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,721 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$443
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $441/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$361
Net cashflow
$845

Break-even live

Break-even rent $652
Max offer price $84,500
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,125
Closing costs
$2,535
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2501 E 2nd St #12 Newberg, OR 2.0 2.0 910 $1,500 $1.65 23d 1 0.36mi
704 N Elliott Rd Newberg, OR 2.0 1.5 850 $1,700 $2.00 16d 1 0.53mi
901 N Pecan Ct Newberg, OR 2.0 1.0 827 $1,550 $1.87 1d 2 0.63mi
401 S Everest St Newberg, OR 2.0 1.0 950 $1,625 $1.71 1d 1 0.69mi
611 Sitka Ave Unit 03 Newberg, OR 2.0 1.5 900 $1,550 $1.72 43d 1 0.72mi
1536 E 3rd St Unit 20 Newberg, OR 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,725 $1.73 43d 1 0.73mi
2400 E Haworth Ave Newberg, OR 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1025 $1,638 $1.60 1d 2 0.76mi
1005 Wynooski St Unit 7 Newberg, OR 2.0 1.0 825 $1,675 $2.03 43d 1 0.80mi
601 Wynooski St Unit 201 Newberg, OR 2.0 2.0 1122 $1,850 $1.65 43d 1 0.82mi
1418 E 2nd St Unit 10 Newberg, OR 2.0 1.0 850 $1,550 $1.82 43d 1 0.82mi
601 Wynooski St Unit 100 Newberg, OR 2.0 2.0 1064 $1,745 $1.64 14d 1 0.82mi
1401 N Springbrook Rd Newberg, OR 2.0 1.0 960 $1,550 $1.61 16d 4 0.88mi
1401 N Springbrook Rd Apt 128 Newberg, OR 2.0 1.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 2d 1 0.88mi
2507 Hawthorne Dr Newberg, OR 2.0 1.0 950 $1,700 $1.79 1d 1 0.89mi
1401 N Springbrook Rd Unit 220 Newberg, OR 2.0 1.0 960 $1,600 $1.67 23d 1 0.90mi
1200 E 4th St Apt 1 Newberg, OR 1.0 1.0 600 $1,425 $2.38 17d 1 0.94mi
500 S River St #20 Newberg, OR 2.0 1.0 800 $1,425 $1.78 2d 1 0.99mi
4001 E Jory St Newberg, OR 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 941 $1,950 $2.07 1d 1 1.07mi
1404 E Park Ln Newberg, OR 1.0–2.0 1.0 783 $1,670 $2.13 1d 4 1.17mi
507 N Meridian St Apt 1 Newberg, OR 2.0 1.0 700 $1,375 $1.96 2d 1 1.19mi
1109 S River St Newberg, OR 2.0 2.0 969 $1,812 $1.87 1d 3 1.19mi
4460 E Jory St Unit 114 Newberg, OR 2.0 2.0 909 $1,899 $2.09 10d 1 1.21mi
1210 S College St Unit 335-218 Newberg, OR 1.0 1.0 640 $1,400 $2.19 10d 1 1.30mi
606 E Ninth St Apt 34 Newberg, OR 2.0 1.0 920 $1,550 $1.68 4d 1 1.30mi
606 E 9th St Newberg, OR 2.0 1.0–1.5 920 $1,550 $1.68 20d 2 1.30mi
1200 N Meridian St Newberg, OR 2.0 1.5 950 $1,595 $1.68 43d 1 1.32mi
611 S Blaine St Newberg, OR 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 860 $1,645 $1.91 43d 2 1.46mi
912 Charles St Apt B Newberg, OR 2.0 1.0 1087 $1,750 $1.61 43d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,500 Active 105 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,500 Active 104 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,500 Active 103 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,500 Active 102 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,500 Active 100 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,500 Active 96 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,500 Active 95 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,500 Active 94 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $84,500 Active 91 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $84,500 Active 90 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,500 Active 89 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,500 Active 88 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,500 Active 87 DOM
  14. 2026-04-22
    price $84,500 281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Charming single-wide manufactured home located in a quiet 55+ community. This 2 bedroom, 2 full bathroom home features a newer heat pump for year-round comfort, a storage shed, carport, skylights, partially enclosed front porch, washer & dryer in home and affordable park rent.

  15. 2026-03-05
    listed $89,500 Active 281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Charming single-wide manufactured home located in a quiet 55+ community. This 2 bedroom, 2 full bathroom home features a newer heat pump for year-round comfort, a storage shed, carport, skylights, partially enclosed front porch, washer & dryer in home and affordable park rent.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$441 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$820 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$379/yr (+$32/mo · 86.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,655
− Mortgage interest
−$4,733
− Property taxes
−$441
− Insurance
−$422
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,652
− Management
−$1,652
− Depreciation
−$2,458
Taxable income
$9,295
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,231
After-tax cash flow
$7,906/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Newberg SD 29J
NCES district ID
4108720
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$62,898
Composite
33.6/100
National rank
#5414
State rank
#17 of 58 in OR

Livability — Newberg

Score
76/100
State rank
#77
US rank
#3395

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living D Crime C+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Newberg, OR
County
Yamhill County · 71,150 people
City population
32,486
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
Population (ZIP)
32,486
Household income
$96,493
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
1311.0

Population outlook (Yamhill County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
109,295 people
By 2030
112,060 · +2.5%
By 2040
115,975 · +6.1%
By 2050
118,155 · +8.1%
By 2075
120,968 · +10.7%
By 2100
116,163 · +6.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Portuguese 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Yamhill

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.1) · D 45.3% · R 51.4% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-4.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.4pp · 2024: -6.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.1 2020: R+4.0 2016: R+8.8 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+1.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -265.11%
Current HPI
320.8972
Rent YoY
▲ 0.55%
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $84,500 WVMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $89,500 WVMLS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $441 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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