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B Composite 70.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.5/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

1112 Oak Park Ave · Des Moines, IA 50313
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,174 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1919 8,712 sqft lot ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Built 1919

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $430 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.1% in Des Moines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#63 in IA, #1,432 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Des Moines Independent Community School District (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #289 of 289 in IA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.1%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $120,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
10.59%
Cash-on-cash
15.34%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$241,314
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3507 11th St 0.06mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,334 (+7%) 2mo $440,000 $189 76
1140 Clinton Ave 0.14mi 4/2.5 1,997 (-8%) 14mo $361,500 $181 66
1018 Euclid Ave 0.08mi 4/2.0 1,974 (-9%) 24mo $170,000 $86 61
3700 5th Ave 0.48mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,251 (+4%) 18mo $240,000 $107 52
3846 3rd St 0.67mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,311 (+6%) 22mo $257,000 $111 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.7%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$16,577
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
24.5%
Equity multiple
3.65×
Total profit
$89,065
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50313

Rents YoY
13.1%
Active inventory
154
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,631 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$179 /mo · $2,152/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$342
Net cashflow
$430

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,087
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3410 5th Ave Des Moines, IA 4.0 2.0 1474 $1,550 $1.05 43d 1 0.48mi
3416 2nd Ave Des Moines, IA 5.0 2.0 2275 $1,581 $0.69 43d 1 0.66mi
1637 23rd St Des Moines, IA 4.0 2.0 1743 $1,595 $0.92 43d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-17
    listed $120,000
  2. 2026-04-17
    historical
  3. 2026-02-03
    historical
  4. 2025-08-06
    listed $150,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,152 · $179/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,152 · $179/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,568
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$2,152
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,565
− Management
−$1,565
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$3,472
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$833
After-tax cash flow
$4,322/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Des Moines Independent Community School District
NCES district ID
1908970
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$45,905
Composite
37.83/100
National rank
#4331
State rank
#289 of 289 in IA

Livability — Des Moines

Score
81/100
State rank
#63
US rank
#1432

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Des Moines, IA
County
Polk County · 453,298 people
City population
203,612
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
Population (ZIP)
17,440
Household income
$68,361
Rent vs Own
23.1% rent · 76.9% own
Severe rent burden
454.0

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
548,042 people
By 2030
588,557 · +7.4%
By 2040
670,629 · +22.4%
By 2050
752,830 · +37.4%
By 2075
955,069 · +74.3%
By 2100
1,115,436 · +103.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Portuguese 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
D (+10.9) · D 54.8% · R 43.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-3.7pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 10.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.9 2020: D+15.2 2016: D+11.5 2012: D+14.2 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -162.17%
Current HPI
285.5708
Rent YoY
▲ 13.11%
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Listing Removed DMMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $120,000 DMMLS
  • 2026-02-03 Listing Removed DMMLS
  • 2025-08-06 Listed $150,000 DMMLS

Property tax history

-1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,152 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…