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1513 Hays St
B+ Composite 77.16
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

1513 Hays St · Homestead, PA 15120
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,373 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 112 Days on market
Built 1937 $51/sqft · 15% below area Est $82k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PROPERTY BEING SOLD IN "AS IS CONDITION" Separately or AS PORTFOLIO or bundle a group. SERIOUS INQUIRIES ONLY. WILL NEED A 5 DAY NOTICE TO VIEW DUE TO TENANT OCCUPANCY, PLEASE DRIVE BY TO VIEW. PLEASE SEE ATTACHED MLS #s 1740802, 1740806, 1740810, 1740811, 1740813, 1740814, 1740916, 1740929, 1740934, 1740939, 1741723 1741727, 1741729, 1741731, 1744133

Key facts

  • Parking
  • Built 1937
  • Listed 111 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $592 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#366 in PA, #3,204 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Steel Valley SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #403 of 539 in PA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 93 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $70k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $63,609 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.01%
Cap rate
16.46%
Cash-on-cash
36.31%
DSCR
2.62
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$82,134
List price
$69,900
Delta
-14.89%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
139 W 16th Ave 0.04mi 3/1.0 1,384 (+1%) 7mo $75,000 $54 91
230 E 15th Ave 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,417 (+3%) 2mo $25,000 $18 80
3430 Lynnwood Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,357 (-1%) 2mo $295,000 $217 68
245 E 18th Ave 0.33mi 3/1.5 1,512 (+10%) 1mo $15,000 $10 65
600 E 14th Ave 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,472 (+7%) 0mo $229,007 $156 64
227 E 15th Ave 0.26mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,490 (+8%) 6mo $55,000 $37 60
293 W Schwab 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,308 (-5%) 4mo $105,000 $80 53
145 Marham Rd 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,488 (+8%) 3mo $235,000 $158 46
700 E 19th Ave 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,167 (-15%) 5mo $100,000 $86 44
255 W Schwab Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,476 (+8%) 6mo $193,000 $131 44
228 W Marigold St 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,168 (-15%) 1mo $179,900 $154 37
2441 Dewey St 0.67mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,180 (-14%) 2mo $239,900 $203 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.3%
Equity multiple
2.43×
Total profit
$27,956
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
40.9%
Equity multiple
5.06×
Total profit
$79,457
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15120

Home prices YoY
-16.9%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
93
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,408 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$124 /mo · $1,493/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$592

Break-even live

Break-even rent $658
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $632 -5% $612 +0% $592 +5% $572 +10% $553
Rent -10% $481 -5% $537 +0% $592 +5% $648 +10% $703
Rate -1.0pp $627 -0.5pp $610 base $592 +0.5pp $574 +1.0pp $556

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
300 W 13th Ave Homestead, PA 2.0 1.0 1088 $1,125 $1.03 17d 1 0.15mi
300 W 13th Ave Unit 302 Homestead, PA 2.0 1.0 1088 $1,150 $1.06 17d 1 0.15mi
623 E 18th Ave Homestead, PA 2.0 1.0 1156 $1,600 $1.38 44d 1 0.45mi
1254 Edgewood Dr Homestead, PA 3.0 1.0 1144 $1,725 $1.51 44d 1 0.49mi
621 E 9th Ave Homestead, PA 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,425 $1.02 24d 1 0.67mi
218 Mary St Homestead, PA 3.0 1.0 1776 $1,400 $0.79 22d 1 0.77mi
3305 W Run Rd Munhall, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,365 $1.24 24d 1 0.79mi
214 Vine St Homestead, PA 2.0 1.0 1034 $1,150 $1.11 44d 1 0.87mi
308 Lea St Homestead, PA 4.0 2.0 1480 $1,490 $1.01 4d 1 0.87mi
931 Hilltop St Homestead, PA 3.0 1.5 1312 $1,500 $1.14 15d 1 0.93mi
3705 Botsford St Apt 2 Munhall, PA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 44d 1 1.10mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $69,900 Active 112 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 109 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 108 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 107 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 106 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $69,900 Active 104 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,000 Active 100 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,000 Active 99 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,000 Active 98 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,000 Active 95 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,000 Active 94 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,000 Active 93 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,000 Active 92 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,000 Active 91 DOM
  15. 2026-05-19
    price $79,000 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    PROPERTY BEING SOLD IN "AS IS CONDITION" Separately or AS PORTFOLIO or bundle a group. SERIOUS INQUIRIES ONLY. WILL NEED A 5 DAY NOTICE TO VIEW DUE TO TENANT OCCUPANCY, PLEASE DRIVE BY TO VIEW. PLEASE SEE ATTACHED MLS #s 1740802, 1740806, 1740810, 1740811, 1740813, 1740814, 1740916, 1740929, 1740934, 1740939, 1741723 1741727, 1741729, 1741731, 1744133

  16. 2026-05-11
    status Active 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    PROPERTY BEING SOLD IN "AS IS CONDITION" Separately or AS PORTFOLIO or bundle a group. SERIOUS INQUIRIES ONLY. WILL NEED A 5 DAY NOTICE TO VIEW DUE TO TENANT OCCUPANCY, PLEASE DRIVE BY TO VIEW. PLEASE SEE ATTACHED MLS #s 1740802, 1740806, 1740810, 1740811, 1740813, 1740814, 1740916, 1740929, 1740934, 1740939, 1741723 1741727, 1741729, 1741731, 1744133

  17. 2026-04-06
    historical Contingent 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    PROPERTY BEING SOLD IN "AS IS CONDITION" Separately or AS PORTFOLIO or bundle a group. SERIOUS INQUIRIES ONLY. WILL NEED A 5 DAY NOTICE TO VIEW DUE TO TENANT OCCUPANCY, PLEASE DRIVE BY TO VIEW. PLEASE SEE ATTACHED MLS #s 1740802, 1740806, 1740810, 1740811, 1740813, 1740814, 1740916, 1740929, 1740934, 1740939, 1741723 1741727, 1741729, 1741731, 1744133

  18. 2026-03-01
    listed $80,000 Active 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    PROPERTY BEING SOLD IN "AS IS CONDITION" Separately or AS PORTFOLIO or bundle a group. SERIOUS INQUIRIES ONLY. WILL NEED A 5 DAY NOTICE TO VIEW DUE TO TENANT OCCUPANCY, PLEASE DRIVE BY TO VIEW. PLEASE SEE ATTACHED MLS #s 1740802, 1740806, 1740810, 1740811, 1740813, 1740814, 1740916, 1740929, 1740934, 1740939, 1741723 1741727, 1741729, 1741731, 1744133

  19. 2010-11-26
    soldstatus $30,000
  20. 2010-11-11
    price $37,500 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    Large bright rooms and eat in kitchen is just the beginning of this well maintained home with many updates. Newer windows, H2O 2 years young and furnance 7 yrs. New electric system and entrance cable. Quiet neighborhood with great front porch and fenced in level back yard.

  21. 2010-11-11
    soldstatus $30,000 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    Large bright rooms and eat in kitchen is just the beginning of this well maintained home with many updates. Newer windows, H2O 2 years young and furnance 7 yrs. New electric system and entrance cable. Quiet neighborhood with great front porch and fenced in level back yard.

  22. 2010-02-22
    listed $30,000 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    Large bright rooms and eat in kitchen is just the beginning of this well maintained home with many updates. Newer windows, H2O 2 years young and furnance 7 yrs. New electric system and entrance cable. Quiet neighborhood with great front porch and fenced in level back yard.

  23. 2004-09-24
    soldstatus $27,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,493 · $124/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,493 · $124/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,896
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$1,493
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,352
− Management
−$1,352
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$6,402
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,536
After-tax cash flow
$5,571/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Steel Valley SD
NCES district ID
4222790
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$39,505
Composite
30.94/100
National rank
#6111
State rank
#403 of 539 in PA

Livability — Homestead

Score
77/100
State rank
#366
US rank
#3204

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Homestead, PA
County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
18,029
Household income
$55,714
Rent vs Own
36.8% rent · 63.2% own
Severe rent burden
669.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 20% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
3% · South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.52%
Current HPI
292.5607
Rent YoY
▲ 4.06%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+187.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $79,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-05-11 Relisted West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-06 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2026-03-01 Listed $80,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2010-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 2010-11-11 Sold (MLS) $30,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2010-11-11 Price Changed $37,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2010-02-22 Listed $30,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2004-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,493 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…