229 Bissell Ave · Oil City, PA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$33,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large Home with 3 Bedrooms and a 3/4 Bath with a 1 Car Detached Garage located on the Northside of Oil City. Just minutes from the High School, Hasson Park, Pool, and Ball fields. Call Today for a Private Showing.
Key facts
- 3,484 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1900
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $33k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $458 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $33k).
- Recommended offer: $31k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.0% vs local median 9.6% in Oil City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#704 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Oil City Area SD (town): math 20% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #436 of 539 in PA (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 42 units permitted in Venango County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $946 of equity ($228 loan paydown + $718 appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
- Venango County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 66.70%
- DSCR
- 3.97
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $44,114
- List price
- $33,000
- Delta
- -25.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220 Mylan St | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,216 (+5%) | 2mo | $7,500 | $6 | 87 |
| 309 Seeley Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (+7%) | 6mo | $16,000 | $13 | 78 |
| 276 Linden Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,268 (+10%) | 10mo | $75,000 | $59 | 62 |
| 217 Clarion St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,250 (+8%) | 6mo | $68,900 | $55 | 59 |
| 108 E Fifth St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,268 (+10%) | 2mo | $147,500 | $116 | 44 |
| 80 Halyday St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (+7%) | 19mo | $25,000 | $20 | 41 |
| 526 Merritt St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,311 (+13%) | 22mo | $25,000 | $19 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 63.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.44×
- Total profit
- $31,810
- Equity at exit
- $13,331
- IRR
- 63.9%
- Equity multiple
- 9.04×
- Total profit
- $74,292
- Equity at exit
- $19,442
Cash invested: $9,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16301
- Home prices YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$173
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,076/yr
- Insurance
- −$14
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $458
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $477 | -5% $467 | +0% $458 | +5% $449 | +10% $439 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $379 | -5% $419 | +0% $458 | +5% $498 | +10% $537 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $475 | -0.5pp $466 | base $458 | +0.5pp $449 | +1.0pp $441 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,250
- Closing costs
- $990
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 306 Plummer St Oil City, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,000 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 211 Central Ave Unit 1 Oil City, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $33,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $33,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $33,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $33,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $33,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $33,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $33,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $33,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $33,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $33,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $33,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $33,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $33,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $33,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $33,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-04-15$33,000 Active 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Large Home with 3 Bedrooms and a 3/4 Bath with a 1 Car Detached Garage located on the Northside of Oil City. Just minutes from the High School, Hasson Park, Pool, and Ball fields. Call Today for a Private Showing.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,076 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,076 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,849
- − Property taxes
- −$1,076
- − Insurance
- −$831
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$960
- − Management
- −$960
- − Depreciation
- −$960
- Taxable income
- $5,364
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,287
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,209/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oil City Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4218090
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,451
- Composite
- 27.39/100
- National rank
- #6973
- State rank
- #436 of 539 in PA
Livability — Oil City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #704
- US rank
- #6931
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oil City, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,067
Population outlook (Venango County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,827 people
- By 2030
- 46,061 · -5.7%
- By 2040
- 39,989 · -18.1%
- By 2050
- 34,094 · -30.2%
- By 2075
- 22,500 · -53.9%
- By 2100
- 13,659 · -72.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Iranian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Venango
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+41.4 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.18%
- Current HPI
- 218.0124
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Listed $33,000 AVBREALTORS
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2026): $1,076 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…