212 N 2nd St · Pottsville, PA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.65%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.9/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$121,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 Bedroom, 1.5 Bathroom Brick Home in Pottsville. Tenant occupied. Low taxes. Downtown location. Over 2200 sq ft. Sold as-is. Cash sales only. Call for more info!
Key facts
- Brick home
- Downtown location
- Built 1900
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $122k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $237 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $122k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#442 in PA, #4,025 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
- Pottsville Area SD (town): math 29% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #395 of 539 in PA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 177 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $843 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 632 days — a 12% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $122k implies a 442% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 632 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.34%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $82,569
- List price
- $121,900
- Delta
- 47.63%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 436 Wheeler St | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,678 (-8%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $179 | 64 |
| Railroad St W #220 | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,684 (-8%) | 11mo | $174,000 | $103 | 59 |
| 718 Seneca St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,751 (-4%) | 16mo | $154,900 | $88 | 52 |
| 1128 W Norwegian St | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,796 (-1%) | 22mo | $121,000 | $67 | 51 |
| 1324 W Norwegian St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,747 (-4%) | 20mo | $38,000 | $22 | 40 |
| 612 Carbon St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,699 (-7%) | 23mo | $140,000 | $82 | 40 |
| 1112 Mahantongo St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,980 (+9%) | 23mo | $110,000 | $56 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,212
- Equity at exit
- $18,176
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $33,287
- Equity at exit
- $10,540
Cash invested: $34,132 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17901
- Home prices YoY
- -21.2%
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 177
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,244 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$639
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $662/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$261
- Net cashflow
- $237
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $306 | -5% $272 | +0% $237 | +5% $203 | +10% $168 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $139 | -5% $188 | +0% $237 | +5% $286 | +10% $336 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $299 | -0.5pp $268 | base $237 | +0.5pp $206 | +1.0pp $174 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,475
- Closing costs
- $3,657
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 612 N 2nd St Pottsville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1742 | $1,295 | $0.74 | 45d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 631 W Race St Pottsville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1340 | $1,200 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 536 E Arch St Pottsville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1360 | $975 | $0.72 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1023 W Market St Pottsville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1950 | $1,100 | $0.56 | 45d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 8 N Wolfe St Pottsville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,795 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 72 E Bacon St Pottsville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1640 | $1,300 | $0.79 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $121,900 Active 632 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $121,900 Active 630 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $121,900 Active 629 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $121,900 Active 628 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $121,900 Active 627 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $121,900 Active 626 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $121,900 Active 624 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $121,900 Active 623 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $121,900 Active 620 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $121,900 Active 619 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $121,900 Active 618 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $121,900 Active 617 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $121,900 Active 615 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $121,900 Active 614 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $121,900 Active 613 DOM
-
2025-12-08status Active 162-char remark
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
3 Bedroom, 1.5 Bathroom Brick Home in Pottsville. Tenant occupied. Low taxes. Downtown location. Over 2200 sq ft. Sold as-is. Cash sales only. Call for more info!
-
2025-12-01historical 162-char remark
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
3 Bedroom, 1.5 Bathroom Brick Home in Pottsville. Tenant occupied. Low taxes. Downtown location. Over 2200 sq ft. Sold as-is. Cash sales only. Call for more info!
-
2025-05-22price $121,900 162-char remark
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
3 Bedroom, 1.5 Bathroom Brick Home in Pottsville. Tenant occupied. Low taxes. Downtown location. Over 2200 sq ft. Sold as-is. Cash sales only. Call for more info!
-
2024-09-17$125,900 Active 162-char remark
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
3 Bedroom, 1.5 Bathroom Brick Home in Pottsville. Tenant occupied. Low taxes. Downtown location. Over 2200 sq ft. Sold as-is. Cash sales only. Call for more info!
-
2024-09-01historical
-
2024-02-23status Active
-
2023-12-01historical
-
2022-12-03$125,900 Active
-
2019-10-01status Pending
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2019-10-01soldstatus $22,500 Closed
-
2019-08-24price $22,900
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2019-07-22$24,900 Active
-
2001-07-26soldstatus $14,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $662 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,294 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- +$632/yr (+$53/mo · 95.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,924
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,828
- − Property taxes
- −$662
- − Insurance
- −$610
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,194
- − Management
- −$1,194
- − Depreciation
- −$3,546
- Taxable income
- $890
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$214
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,634/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pottsville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219710
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,157
- Composite
- 31.32/100
- National rank
- #6002
- State rank
- #395 of 539 in PA
Livability — Pottsville
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #442
- US rank
- #4025
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pottsville, PA
- County
- Schuylkill County · 22,371 people
- City population
- 22,371
- Metro
- Pottsville, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,371
- Household income
- $62,484
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 622.0
Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 137,447 people
- By 2030
- 133,121 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 124,172 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 115,611 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 100,796 · -26.7%
- By 2100
- 86,667 · -36.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Iranian 5% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.14%
- Current HPI
- 200.6516
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.70%
- Metro
- Pottsville, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+740.7% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-08 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-22 Price Changed $121,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-09-17 Listed $125,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-09-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-02-23 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-12-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-12-03 Listed $125,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-10-01 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-10-01 Sold (MLS) $22,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-08-24 Price Changed $22,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-07-22 Listed $24,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2001-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $14,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $662 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…