129 Warwick St · Park Forest, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- ARV discount +4.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$178,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this charming 3 bedroom, 2.5 bathroom home on a quiet tree-lined street. This ranch-style property offers low-maintenance curb appeal and a welcoming, tree-lined front yard that speaks to relaxed suburban living. Inside, an expansive central living room awaits, featuring soft carpeting, high ceilings, and warm neutral tones. The kitchen delivers a clean, contemporary feel with white cabinetry, granite-style counters, and cohesive black appliances. A central skylight and large window provide generous natural light, making the space bright and functional from morning through evening. The lower level features a separate family room, utility room and a half bath. Step out back to fin
Key facts
- Central living room
- Natural light
- Shaded yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car); One total parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Split-level design; Built between 61 and 70 years ago; Built before 1978
- Construction: Brick and frame construction
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 120; Lot less than 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level — 16 x 9, ceramic tile flooring
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (second level) — 14 x 10, hardwood floors; Bedroom — 13 x 10, hardwood floors (second level); Bedroom — 10 x 10, hardwood floors (second level)
- Flooring: Hardwood in main bedrooms; Parquet in living and dining rooms; Ceramic tile in kitchen; Vinyl in lower-level family room and laundry
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Basement bathroom(s) present
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Forced air system
- Interior features: Finished partial basement; Seven total rooms; One fireplace located in the family room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level — 15 x 10, vinyl flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $178k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $178k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#148 in IL, #2,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
- Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 15 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $178k implies a 296% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.98%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $166,980
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 251 Westwood Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-1%) | 2mo | $217,000 | $174 | 80 |
| 433 Lakewood Blvd | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,248 (-1%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $132 | 78 |
| 356 Wilshire St | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,248 (-1%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $40 | 73 |
| 306 Winnebago St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,088 (-14%) | 3mo | $105,000 | $97 | 63 |
| 506 Wildwood Dr | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,170 (-8%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $137 | 57 |
| 356 Winnebago St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,088 (-14%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $138 | 56 |
| 356 Waverly St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,419 (+12%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $85 | 54 |
| 3435 218 Pl | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,154 (-9%) | 2mo | $183,000 | $159 | 54 |
| 358 Waverly St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,419 (+12%) | 3mo | $57,000 | $40 | 52 |
| 308 Minocqua St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,148 (-9%) | 1mo | $139,000 | $121 | 48 |
| 118 Well St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (-14%) | 2mo | $177,000 | $162 | 45 |
| 287 Mohawk St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,408 (+11%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $124 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-2,414
- Equity at exit
- $26,540
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $32,018
- Equity at exit
- $15,390
Cash invested: $49,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60466
- Home prices YoY
- -21.1%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,082 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$933
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$222 /mo · $2,670/yr
- Insurance
- −$74
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$437
- Net cashflow
- $414
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,500
- Closing costs
- $5,340
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400 Watseka St Park Forest, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1161 | $2,161 | $1.86 | 16d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 7d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 22d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 12d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3324 Western Ave Park Forest, IL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,995 | $1.94 | 1d | 11 | 0.95mi |
| 372 Oswego St Park Forest, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,600 | $2.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3905 Tower Dr Richton Park, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 905 | $1,795 | $1.98 | 1d | 19 | 1.02mi |
| 411 Huron St Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $2,300 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 19 Apple Ln Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1541 | $2,300 | $1.49 | 12d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3838 216th Pl Matteson, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,996 | $1.72 | 19d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 631 Andover St Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3538 212th Pl Matteson, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1209 | $2,000 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 277 Somonauk St Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $2,000 | $2.07 | 3d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 111 Nashua St Park Forest, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4200 Arlington Dr Richton Park, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1595 | $2,061 | $1.29 | 19d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 441 Talala St Park Forest, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1740 | $2,500 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 490 Shabbona Dr Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,895 | $1.46 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22411-506 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,325 | $1.50 | 7d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22411-514 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1021 | $1,365 | $1.34 | 7d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22400-311 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,360 | $1.54 | 7d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22415-207 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 944 | $1,360 | $1.44 | 7d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $178,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $178,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $178,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $178,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $178,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $178,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $178,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $178,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $178,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $178,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $178,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $178,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $178,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-04-24price $180,000
-
2026-03-20price $184,000
-
2026-01-30price $186,000
-
2026-01-22$194,000 Active
-
2026-01-22historical
-
2026-01-09price
-
2025-12-05price
-
2025-11-14price
-
2025-10-24Active
-
2025-10-24historical
-
2025-10-17price
-
2025-09-26price
-
2025-09-12price
-
2025-09-05price
-
2025-08-29price
-
2025-08-22price
-
2025-08-15price
-
2025-07-31Active
-
2024-06-07historical $1,645
-
2024-06-06historical $1,645
-
2024-05-30$1,645
-
2024-05-30$1,645
-
2024-05-21historical $1,645
-
2024-05-20historical $1,645
-
2024-05-18price $1,645
-
2024-05-18$1,645
-
2024-05-14historical $1,695
-
2024-05-12price $1,695
-
2024-05-11price $1,695
-
2024-05-07price $1,745
-
2024-05-07price $1,745
-
2024-05-04$1,825
-
2024-05-04$1,825
-
2024-03-28historical $1,825
-
2024-03-28historical $1,825
-
2024-03-20price $1,825
-
2024-03-20price $1,825
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,981
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,971
- − Property taxes
- −$2,670
- − Insurance
- −$890
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,998
- − Management
- −$1,998
- − Depreciation
- −$5,178
- Taxable income
- $2,275
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$546
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,428/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rich Twp Hsd 227
- NCES district ID
- 1733420
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,056
- Composite
- 8.93/100
- National rank
- #9885
- State rank
- #577 of 620 in IL
Livability — Park Forest
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #148
- US rank
- #2726
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Park Forest, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 21,461
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,461
- Household income
- $61,654
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 900.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% White 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.87%
- Current HPI
- 219.9692
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+71.4% since first listed58 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $180,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $184,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $186,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-22 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-22 Listed $194,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-09 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-05 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-14 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-24 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-24 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-17 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-12 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-05 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-29 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-22 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-15 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-31 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-07 Rental Removed $1,645 RENTLY
- 2024-06-06 Rental Removed $1,645 RENT.
- 2024-05-30 Listed for Rent $1,645 RENTLY
- 2024-05-30 Listed for Rent $1,645 RENT.
- 2024-05-21 Rental Removed $1,645 RENTLY
- 2024-05-20 Rental Removed $1,645 RENT.
- 2024-05-18 Price Changed $1,645 RENTLY
- 2024-05-18 Listed for Rent $1,645 RENT.
- 2024-05-14 Rental Removed $1,695 RENT.
- 2024-05-12 Price Changed $1,695 RENT.
- 2024-05-11 Price Changed $1,695 RENTLY
- 2024-05-07 Price Changed $1,745 RENT.
- 2024-05-07 Price Changed $1,745 RENTLY
- 2024-05-04 Listed for Rent $1,825 RENTLY
- 2024-05-04 Listed for Rent $1,825 RENT.
- 2024-03-28 Rental Removed $1,825 RENTLY
- 2024-03-28 Rental Removed $1,825 RENT.
- 2024-03-20 Price Changed $1,825 RENT.
- 2024-03-20 Price Changed $1,825 RENTLY
- 2024-03-16 Price Changed $1,860 RENT.
- 2024-03-14 Price Changed $1,860 RENTLY
- 2024-02-24 Listed for Rent $1,985 RENTLY
- 2024-02-24 Listed for Rent $1,985 RENT.
- 2013-07-23 Sold (MLS) $45,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-06-12 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-06-12 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-05-29 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-05-24 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-23 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-05 Listed $50,250 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-11-22 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-07-20 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-07-05 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-06-17 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-06-03 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-05-23 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2010-04-30 Sold (MLS) $104,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-03-17 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-03-01 Listed $104,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+11.6%/yrLatest (2023): $10,899 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…