232 Harrison Cir · Gulf Shores, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$305,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRICE IMPROVED – EVEN MORE VALUE NOW OFFERED! Welcome to this beautifully updated 4-bedroom, 3-bath home offering 2,180 square feet and tucked away on a private cul-de-sac in Gulf Shores with no HOA. Located just minutes from the white sandy beaches of Gulf Shores. This home offers the perfect balance of privacy and coastal convenience.This thoughtfully designed home has been freshly painted inside and out and features a brand-new wood back deck, creating a space to relax or entertain while enjoying your peaceful surroundings. Natural light throughout the home, highlighting the open concept living, dining, and kitchen area that creates an easy flow for everyday living and gatherings.The newer addition of the spacious primary suite offers a true retreat, complete with a large walk-in closet and a well-appointed primary bath featuring a beautiful tiled walk-in shower, large soaking tub, and dedicated vanity area.The home's flexible split floor plan provides options for guests or extended stays. The former primary bedroom and bath function perfectly as a private en suite, while two additional generously sized bedrooms are located on the opposite side of the home and share a large, well-placed bathroom.Situated in a desirable Gulf Shores location with close proximity to shopping, dining, and the area's stunning beaches, this home offers both privacy and convenience. Making this home an ideal for a primary residence, second home, or investment opportunity. At this new price point, this one won't last long, schedule your showing today! Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
Key facts
- Open concept living
- Tiled walk-in shower
- New wood back deck
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No community features; No transfer fees
Exterior
- Parking: Parking for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electric service by Baldwin EMC; Gulf Shores Utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Built with hardboard siding; Slab foundation; Composition roof with Fortified Roof
- Exterior features: Rear porch; Less than 1 acre lot; No waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator with ice maker
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom with attached bathroom (primary bed/bath combo)
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; Master bathroom with single vanity
- Heating & cooling: Central electric cooling; Electric central heating
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fans; No fireplace; Dining/Kitchen combo and living/dining/kitchen combo
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $305k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($820/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (19.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $244k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 0.2% in Gulf Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#61 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Zoned schools: Gulf Shores Elementary School (math 47% / reading 72%, grade B-, #63 of 627 statewide, top 10%, 1,062 students, 44% FRL); Gulf Shores Middle School (math 34% / reading 62%, grade C-, #29 of 257 statewide, top 12%, 589 students, 48% FRL); Gulf Shores High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #22 of 305 statewide, top 8%, 799 students, 37% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 1191 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,883 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (481 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baldwin County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($278k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $54k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $138k; list at $305k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.96%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $382,752
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 221 Howard Cir | 0.13mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,794 (+1%) | 7mo | $280,000 | $156 | 77 |
| 387 Landward Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,706 (-4%) | 2mo | $400,000 | $234 | 72 |
| 423 Gemini St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,706 (-4%) | 6mo | $390,000 | $229 | 72 |
| 379 Gemini St | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,768 (-0%) | 16mo | $419,000 | $237 | 69 |
| 229 Harrison Cir | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,516 (-14%) | 10mo | $305,000 | $201 | 67 |
| 390 Gemini St | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,768 (-0%) | 15mo | $384,000 | $217 | 66 |
| 395 Gemini St | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,856 (+5%) | 10mo | $400,500 | $216 | 65 |
| 379 N Landward Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,622 (-8%) | 4mo | $363,000 | $224 | 63 |
| 5761 Shady Woods Ct | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,792 (+1%) | 16mo | $355,000 | $198 | 55 |
| 3850 Borman Loop | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,584 (-11%) | 4mo | $335,000 | $211 | 53 |
| 3820 Borman Loop | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,948 (+10%) | 8mo | $375,000 | $193 | 48 |
| 3826 Borman Loop | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,958 (+10%) | 6mo | $377,000 | $193 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-43,429
- Equity at exit
- $45,476
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-25,362
- Equity at exit
- $26,371
Cash invested: $85,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36542
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 1191
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,443 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,599
- Tax from tax record
- −$135 /mo · $1,621/yr
- Insurance
- −$127
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$513
- Net cashflow
- $68
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $241 | -5% $155 | +0% $68 | +5% $-18 | +10% $-104 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-125 | -5% $-28 | +0% $68 | +5% $165 | +10% $261 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $222 | -0.5pp $146 | base $68 | +0.5pp $-11 | +1.0pp $-91 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,250
- Closing costs
- $9,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 394 Haise Ln Gulf Shores, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1615 | $2,450 | $1.52 | 21d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 431 Gemini St Gulf Shores, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1856 | $2,400 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 4500 Gulf Shores Pkwy Gulf Shores, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1032 | $1,983 | $1.92 | 14d | 10 | 0.77mi |
| 5652 Dee St Unit A Gulf Shores, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2240 | $1,500 | $0.67 | 21d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4962 Thorp Way Gulf Shores, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1170 | $2,477 | $2.12 | 21d | 45 | 0.86mi |
| 609 Saint Andrews Dr Gulf Shores, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2064 | $5,500 | $2.66 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2519 Bienville Ave Gulf Shores, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2100 | $3,500 | $1.67 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $305,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $305,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $305,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $305,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $305,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $305,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $305,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $305,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $305,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $305,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $305,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $305,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $305,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $305,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-30pricedays on market $305,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-04-14price $329,000 1615-char remark
Show marketing remark (1615 chars)
PRICE IMPROVED – EVEN MORE VALUE NOW OFFERED! Welcome to this beautifully updated 4-bedroom, 3-bath home offering 2,180 square feet and tucked away on a private cul-de-sac in Gulf Shores with no HOA. Located just minutes from the white sandy beaches of Gulf Shores. This home offers the perfect balance of privacy and coastal convenience.This thoughtfully designed home has been freshly painted inside and out and features a brand-new wood back deck, creating a space to relax or entertain while enjoying your peaceful surroundings. Natural light throughout the home, highlighting the open concept living, dining, and kitchen area that creates an easy flow for everyday living and gatherings.The newer addition of the spacious primary suite offers a true retreat, complete with a large walk-in closet and a well-appointed primary bath featuring a beautiful tiled walk-in shower, large soaking tub, and dedicated vanity area.The home's flexible split floor plan provides options for guests or extended stays. The former primary bedroom and bath function perfectly as a private en suite, while two additional generously sized bedrooms are located on the opposite side of the home and share a large, well-placed bathroom.Situated in a desirable Gulf Shores location with close proximity to shopping, dining, and the area's stunning beaches, this home offers both privacy and convenience. Making this home an ideal for a primary residence, second home, or investment opportunity. At this new price point, this one won't last long, schedule your showing today! Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-04-14price $329,000
Show marketing remark (1615 chars)
PRICE IMPROVED – EVEN MORE VALUE NOW OFFERED! Welcome to this beautifully updated 4-bedroom, 3-bath home offering 2,180 square feet and tucked away on a private cul-de-sac in Gulf Shores with no HOA. Located just minutes from the white sandy beaches of Gulf Shores. This home offers the perfect balance of privacy and coastal convenience.This thoughtfully designed home has been freshly painted inside and out and features a brand-new wood back deck, creating a space to relax or entertain while enjoying your peaceful surroundings. Natural light throughout the home, highlighting the open concept living, dining, and kitchen area that creates an easy flow for everyday living and gatherings.The newer addition of the spacious primary suite offers a true retreat, complete with a large walk-in closet and a well-appointed primary bath featuring a beautiful tiled walk-in shower, large soaking tub, and dedicated vanity area.The home's flexible split floor plan provides options for guests or extended stays. The former primary bedroom and bath function perfectly as a private en suite, while two additional generously sized bedrooms are located on the opposite side of the home and share a large, well-placed bathroom.Situated in a desirable Gulf Shores location with close proximity to shopping, dining, and the area's stunning beaches, this home offers both privacy and convenience. Making this home an ideal for a primary residence, second home, or investment opportunity. At this new price point, this one won't last long, schedule your showing today! Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-02-27$359,000 Active 1615-char remark
Show marketing remark (1615 chars)
PRICE IMPROVED – EVEN MORE VALUE NOW OFFERED! Welcome to this beautifully updated 4-bedroom, 3-bath home offering 2,180 square feet and tucked away on a private cul-de-sac in Gulf Shores with no HOA. Located just minutes from the white sandy beaches of Gulf Shores. This home offers the perfect balance of privacy and coastal convenience.This thoughtfully designed home has been freshly painted inside and out and features a brand-new wood back deck, creating a space to relax or entertain while enjoying your peaceful surroundings. Natural light throughout the home, highlighting the open concept living, dining, and kitchen area that creates an easy flow for everyday living and gatherings.The newer addition of the spacious primary suite offers a true retreat, complete with a large walk-in closet and a well-appointed primary bath featuring a beautiful tiled walk-in shower, large soaking tub, and dedicated vanity area.The home's flexible split floor plan provides options for guests or extended stays. The former primary bedroom and bath function perfectly as a private en suite, while two additional generously sized bedrooms are located on the opposite side of the home and share a large, well-placed bathroom.Situated in a desirable Gulf Shores location with close proximity to shopping, dining, and the area's stunning beaches, this home offers both privacy and convenience. Making this home an ideal for a primary residence, second home, or investment opportunity. At this new price point, this one won't last long, schedule your showing today! Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-02-27$359,000 Active
Show marketing remark (1615 chars)
PRICE IMPROVED – EVEN MORE VALUE NOW OFFERED! Welcome to this beautifully updated 4-bedroom, 3-bath home offering 2,180 square feet and tucked away on a private cul-de-sac in Gulf Shores with no HOA. Located just minutes from the white sandy beaches of Gulf Shores. This home offers the perfect balance of privacy and coastal convenience.This thoughtfully designed home has been freshly painted inside and out and features a brand-new wood back deck, creating a space to relax or entertain while enjoying your peaceful surroundings. Natural light throughout the home, highlighting the open concept living, dining, and kitchen area that creates an easy flow for everyday living and gatherings.The newer addition of the spacious primary suite offers a true retreat, complete with a large walk-in closet and a well-appointed primary bath featuring a beautiful tiled walk-in shower, large soaking tub, and dedicated vanity area.The home's flexible split floor plan provides options for guests or extended stays. The former primary bedroom and bath function perfectly as a private en suite, while two additional generously sized bedrooms are located on the opposite side of the home and share a large, well-placed bathroom.Situated in a desirable Gulf Shores location with close proximity to shopping, dining, and the area's stunning beaches, this home offers both privacy and convenience. Making this home an ideal for a primary residence, second home, or investment opportunity. At this new price point, this one won't last long, schedule your showing today! Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2005-12-16soldstatus $138,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,621 · $135/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,621 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,316
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,085
- − Property taxes
- −$1,621
- − Insurance
- −$1,525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,345
- − Management
- −$2,345
- − Depreciation
- −$8,873
- Taxable loss
- −$4,478
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,075
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,895/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Gulf Shores
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #61
- US rank
- #8945
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulf Shores, AL
- County
- Baldwin County · 181,514 people
- City population
- 18,906
- Metro
- Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,906
- Household income
- $79,639
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 522.0
Population outlook (Baldwin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,264 people
- By 2030
- 270,315 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 312,967 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 352,262 · +41.9%
- By 2075
- 438,841 · +76.8%
- By 2100
- 487,736 · +96.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baldwin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.2) · D 20.5% · R 78.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.5pp · 2024: -58.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.2 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+57.8 2012: R+55.8 2008: R+51.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -153.95%
- Current HPI
- 257.6494
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.71%
- Metro
- Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+137.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $329,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $329,000 BCAR
- 2026-02-27 Listed $359,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-02-27 Listed $359,000 BCAR
- 2005-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $138,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,621 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…