1725 Linnet · Wrightwood, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $946 – $6,584
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 4 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 26 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.6/15.0
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.9/10.0
$418,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Big price improvement! Check out this spacious 3 bedroom 2 bath single family home in the mountain community of Wrightwood offering 1,836 +/- square feet of living space. This 2-story home was just refreshed with new white interior paint downstairs (photos updated) and is incredibly inviting upon arriving with its raised and oversized front covered deck/porch to enjoy the smell and sounds of the mountains. The lowest ground level has a workshop space that can easily be converted back to the single car garage from when the home was built. You enter the home into a large living room that wraps around to the dining room, rear sun room and full kitchen. Additionally there's one bedroom and full bathroom downstairs as well as the laundry room with storage. Upstairs are two good sized bedrooms that benefit from extra large closet spaces. This home can retain its charm and be updated by updating interior paint and flooring. The backyard offers a fenced backyard with several pine trees and a serene, quiet environment to call home. The home is located not too far from downtown Wrightwood with great places to shop and eat as well as the ski resort. Wrightwood is a perfectly placed small community that offers convenient access to highways and freeways for commuting.
Key facts
- Workshop space
- Front covered deck
- Several pine trees
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $418k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-379 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $351k (16.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $327k (21.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $327k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.1% in Wrightwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,155 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A-, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Snowline Joint Unified (rural): math 34% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #722 of 1,400 in CA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 210 days — a 12% lower offer ($368k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $203k; list at $418k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $314/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 210 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.66%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $483,781
- List price
- $418,000
- Delta
- -13.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1799 Betty St | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,876 (+2%) | 7mo | $495,000 | $264 | 84 |
| 1686 Blackbird Rd | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,900 (+4%) | 12mo | $447,500 | $236 | 79 |
| 1876 Sparrow Rd | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,768 (-4%) | 7mo | $497,000 | $281 | 78 |
| 5726 Lodgepole Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,818 (-1%) | 5mo | $460,000 | $253 | 76 |
| 5747 Lodgepole | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,864 (+2%) | 2mo | $432,400 | $232 | 70 |
| 1792 Ash | 0.29mi | 3/2.5 | 1,994 (+9%) | 1mo | $497,950 | $250 | 70 |
| 1818 Irene St | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,729 (-6%) | 11mo | $325,000 | $188 | 68 |
| 5617 Dogwood Rd | 0.42mi | 3/2.5 | 1,793 (-2%) | 10mo | $470,000 | $262 | 66 |
| 1680 Betty St | 0.17mi | 3/2.5 | 1,645 (-10%) | 10mo | $460,000 | $280 | 64 |
| 1235 Lark Rd | 0.68mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,848 (+1%) | 10mo | $490,000 | $265 | 52 |
| 1329 Helen St | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,709 (-7%) | 6mo | $416,000 | $243 | 49 |
| 5435 Heath Creek Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 | 1,583 (-14%) | 6mo | $455,000 | $287 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-91,750
- Equity at exit
- $62,325
- IRR
- -17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.06×
- Total profit
- $-110,553
- Equity at exit
- $36,141
Cash invested: $117,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92397
- Home prices YoY
- -2.0%
- Active inventory
- 104
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,273 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,192
- Tax from tax record
- −$284 /mo · $3,410/yr
- Insurance
- −$174
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$314 /mo · $3,765/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$687
- Net cashflow
- $-379
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $104,500
- Closing costs
- $12,540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1668 Highway 2 Wrightwood, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1629 | $4,200 | $2.58 | 1d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1197 Oriole Rd Wrightwood, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2474 | $2,800 | $1.13 | 12d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1155 Lark Dr Wrightwood, CA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1518 | $3,000 | $1.98 | 4d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 6078 Spruce St Unit C Wrightwood, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1320 | $1,700 | $1.29 | 15d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 959 Quail Rd Wrightwood, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1782 | $3,200 | $1.80 | 12d | 1 | 0.98mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $418,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $418,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $418,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $418,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $418,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $418,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $418,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $418,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $418,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $418,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $418,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $418,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $418,000 1276-char remark
Show marketing remark (1276 chars)
Big price improvement! Check out this spacious 3 bedroom 2 bath single family home in the mountain community of Wrightwood offering 1,836 +/- square feet of living space. This 2-story home was just refreshed with new white interior paint downstairs (photos updated) and is incredibly inviting upon arriving with its raised and oversized front covered deck/porch to enjoy the smell and sounds of the mountains. The lowest ground level has a workshop space that can easily be converted back to the single car garage from when the home was built. You enter the home into a large living room that wraps around to the dining room, rear sun room and full kitchen. Additionally there's one bedroom and full bathroom downstairs as well as the laundry room with storage. Upstairs are two good sized bedrooms that benefit from extra large closet spaces. This home can retain its charm and be updated by updating interior paint and flooring. The backyard offers a fenced backyard with several pine trees and a serene, quiet environment to call home. The home is located not too far from downtown Wrightwood with great places to shop and eat as well as the ski resort. Wrightwood is a perfectly placed small community that offers convenient access to highways and freeways for commuting.
-
2026-04-10price $429,900 1276-char remark
Show marketing remark (1276 chars)
Big price improvement! Check out this spacious 3 bedroom 2 bath single family home in the mountain community of Wrightwood offering 1,836 +/- square feet of living space. This 2-story home was just refreshed with new white interior paint downstairs (photos updated) and is incredibly inviting upon arriving with its raised and oversized front covered deck/porch to enjoy the smell and sounds of the mountains. The lowest ground level has a workshop space that can easily be converted back to the single car garage from when the home was built. You enter the home into a large living room that wraps around to the dining room, rear sun room and full kitchen. Additionally there's one bedroom and full bathroom downstairs as well as the laundry room with storage. Upstairs are two good sized bedrooms that benefit from extra large closet spaces. This home can retain its charm and be updated by updating interior paint and flooring. The backyard offers a fenced backyard with several pine trees and a serene, quiet environment to call home. The home is located not too far from downtown Wrightwood with great places to shop and eat as well as the ski resort. Wrightwood is a perfectly placed small community that offers convenient access to highways and freeways for commuting.
-
2025-11-19$449,900 Active 1276-char remark
Show marketing remark (1276 chars)
Big price improvement! Check out this spacious 3 bedroom 2 bath single family home in the mountain community of Wrightwood offering 1,836 +/- square feet of living space. This 2-story home was just refreshed with new white interior paint downstairs (photos updated) and is incredibly inviting upon arriving with its raised and oversized front covered deck/porch to enjoy the smell and sounds of the mountains. The lowest ground level has a workshop space that can easily be converted back to the single car garage from when the home was built. You enter the home into a large living room that wraps around to the dining room, rear sun room and full kitchen. Additionally there's one bedroom and full bathroom downstairs as well as the laundry room with storage. Upstairs are two good sized bedrooms that benefit from extra large closet spaces. This home can retain its charm and be updated by updating interior paint and flooring. The backyard offers a fenced backyard with several pine trees and a serene, quiet environment to call home. The home is located not too far from downtown Wrightwood with great places to shop and eat as well as the ski resort. Wrightwood is a perfectly placed small community that offers convenient access to highways and freeways for commuting.
-
2003-03-20soldstatus $203,000 352-char remark
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
IF YOU'RE LOOKING FOR EITHER A MOUNTAIN RETREAT OR A YEAR ROUND HOME THEN THIS HOME IS FOR YOU. LOCATED IN THE BEAUTIFUL TOWN OF WRIGHTWOOD JUST A SHORT 45 MINUTE DRIVE FROM THE INLAND EMPIRE. LARGE HOME NESTELED AMOUNG THE TREES. JUST PAINTED INSIDE AND OUT. NEW CARPET, NEW TILE, INDOOR LAUNDRY, VERY LARGE FAMILY ROOM AND BEDROOMS AND MUCH MORE!!!!
-
2003-03-19soldstatus $202,000
-
2003-03-19soldstatus $202,000
-
2002-10-19$219,000 352-char remark
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
IF YOU'RE LOOKING FOR EITHER A MOUNTAIN RETREAT OR A YEAR ROUND HOME THEN THIS HOME IS FOR YOU. LOCATED IN THE BEAUTIFUL TOWN OF WRIGHTWOOD JUST A SHORT 45 MINUTE DRIVE FROM THE INLAND EMPIRE. LARGE HOME NESTELED AMOUNG THE TREES. JUST PAINTED INSIDE AND OUT. NEW CARPET, NEW TILE, INDOOR LAUNDRY, VERY LARGE FAMILY ROOM AND BEDROOMS AND MUCH MORE!!!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,410 · $284/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,410 · $284/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 2/10 Low 4 d/yr ≥86°F today · 8 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 26 unhealthy d/yr today · 30 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,273
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,414
- − Property taxes
- −$3,410
- − Insurance
- −$5,855
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,142
- − Management
- −$3,142
- − Depreciation
- −$12,160
- Taxable loss
- −$11,849
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,844
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,699/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Snowline Joint Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0636970
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,625
- Composite
- 36.84/100
- National rank
- #9157
- State rank
- #722 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Wrightwood
- Score
- 49/100
- State rank
- #1155
- US rank
- #25815
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wrightwood, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,699
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 7% Asian 4% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 5% Romanian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 12% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -6.26%
- Current HPI
- 304.3802
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+90.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $418,000 CRMLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $429,900 CRMLS
- 2025-11-19 Listed $449,900 CRMLS
- 2003-03-20 Sold (MLS) $203,000 CRMLS
- 2003-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $202,000 Public Records
- 2003-03-19 Sold (MLS) $202,000 CRMLS
- 2002-10-19 Listed $219,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,410 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…