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1413 Tennessee St
B- Composite 69.26
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.3/10.0

$70,000

1413 Tennessee St · Louisiana, MO 63353
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,093 sqft · Other public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1890 0.66 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Opportunity! Don't miss this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Louisiana with endless potential. Whether you're looking to add to your rental portfolio, complete your next fix-and-flip project, or find an affordable place to call home, this property offers a great opportunity to build equity. The home is currently vacant and ready for its next chapter, making for a smooth and convenient transition for the new owner. Spacious living areas, a functional layout, and plenty of possibilities await your vision and updates. Some of the features are a triple lot, a birds-eye maple fireplace surround, real wood floors throughout most of the home and over 2,000 SF to enjoy! Schedule your appointment

Key facts

  • 0.66 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1890

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-grade living area approximately 2,093 (assessor)
  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Two covered carport spaces (total parking for 2)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity, water, and sewer available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Entry facing front
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Level lot with few trees and front yard

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: One-level living; Basement with block construction and other features; Dining room fireplace (1)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $493 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 8.4% in Louisiana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#105 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Louisiana R-II (town): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #227 of 324 in MO (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Louisiana Elem. (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #761 of 1,115 statewide, top 72%, 322 students, 74% FRL); Louisiana High (math 17% / reading 44%, grade F, #373 of 521 statewide, top 72%, 226 students, 62% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 38 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pike County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $68,950 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.71%
Cap rate
14.74%
Cash-on-cash
30.16%
DSCR
2.34
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.8%
Equity multiple
2.02×
Total profit
$20,032
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
32.6%
Equity multiple
3.95×
Total profit
$57,846
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63353

Home prices YoY
-5.0%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $710/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$493

Break-even live

Break-even rent $576
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $532 -5% $512 +0% $493 +5% $473 +10% $453
Rent -10% $398 -5% $445 +0% $493 +5% $540 +10% $587
Rate -1.0pp $528 -0.5pp $510 base $493 +0.5pp $474 +1.0pp $456

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
500 Frankford Rd Louisiana, MO 3.0 1.0 1481 $1,200 $0.81 44d 1 0.62mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $70,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $70,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $70,000 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    remarks 699-char remark
  13. 2026-06-04
    status $70,000 Active 1 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    remarks 693-char remark
  15. 2026-06-03
    listed $70,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$710 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$710 · $59/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,400
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$710
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,152
− Management
−$1,152
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$5,079
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,219
After-tax cash flow
$4,692/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Louisiana R-II
NCES district ID
2919260
Math proficiency
31% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$37,149
Composite
29.1/100
National rank
#6595
State rank
#227 of 324 in MO

Livability — Louisiana

Score
71/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#6899

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Louisiana, MO
Population (ZIP)
4,935

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,895 people
By 2030
17,591 · -1.7%
By 2040
17,080 · -4.6%
By 2050
16,589 · -7.3%
By 2075
14,761 · -17.5%
By 2100
11,606 · -35.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.9) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
2008→2024 swing
-48.0pp toward R · 2008: -9.9pp · 2024: -57.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.9 2020: R+53.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+27.3 2008: R+9.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -9.40%
Current HPI
180.6084
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Coming Soon $70,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-03 Price Changed $65,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-19 Price Changed $75,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-26 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-23 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-11 Listed $95,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 1956-03-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $710 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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