1436 W Spencer Ave · Marion, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Alert! Fixer-upper in Marion, Indiana - a great investment opportunity! This home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a spacious loft on the second floor. Buyer and buyer's agent to perform due diligence;
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1949
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $29k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $706 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $29k).
- Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 35.5% vs local median 8.7% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#337 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion Community Schools (town): math 18% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #277 of 301 in IN (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 52 units permitted in Grant County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $200 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $870 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grant County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 200 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 200 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 35.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 104.39%
- DSCR
- 5.64
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $71,948
- List price
- $29,000
- Delta
- -59.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 N F St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,412 (-2%) | 1mo | $164,900 | $117 | 78 |
| 820 N Oxford Dr | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,492 (+4%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $104 | 71 |
| 1515 W 4th St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,361 (-6%) | 3mo | $161,500 | $119 | 70 |
| 215 N G St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,242 (-14%) | 12mo | $25,000 | $20 | 56 |
| 716 W 7th St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,409 (-2%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $46 | 54 |
| 1710 W Spencer Ave | 0.25mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,289 (-11%) | 12mo | $109,900 | $85 | 54 |
| 1009 N Oxford Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (-4%) | 11mo | $146,500 | $105 | 53 |
| 617 Berkley Dr | 0.51mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,564 (+8%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $93 | 53 |
| 916 N Oxford Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-10%) | 3mo | $142,000 | $109 | 52 |
| 1015 W 3rd St | 0.44mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,298 (-10%) | 7mo | $76,900 | $59 | 49 |
| 502 N Lenfesty Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,292 (-10%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $116 | 46 |
| 614 W 5th St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,574 (+9%) | 0mo | $99,000 | $63 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 5.97×
- Total profit
- $40,330
- Equity at exit
- $4,324
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.48×
- Total profit
- $93,212
- Equity at exit
- $2,507
Cash invested: $8,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46952
- Home prices YoY
- -29.9%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,194 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$152
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $870/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $706
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,250
- Closing costs
- $870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2116 W 2nd St Marion, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 764 | $945 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2145 W 2nd St Marion, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1377 | $1,650 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2111 W Frederick Dr Marion, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 965 | $937 | $0.97 | 43d | 4 | 0.92mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-17status $29,000 Pending 200 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $29,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $29,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $29,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $29,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $29,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $29,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $29,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $29,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $29,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $29,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $29,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $29,000 209-char remark
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Investor Alert! Fixer-upper in Marion, Indiana - a great investment opportunity! This home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a spacious loft on the second floor. Buyer and buyer's agent to perform due diligence;
-
2026-05-15status Active 209-char remark
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Investor Alert! Fixer-upper in Marion, Indiana - a great investment opportunity! This home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a spacious loft on the second floor. Buyer and buyer's agent to perform due diligence;
-
2026-05-07status Pending 209-char remark
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Investor Alert! Fixer-upper in Marion, Indiana - a great investment opportunity! This home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a spacious loft on the second floor. Buyer and buyer's agent to perform due diligence;
-
2026-04-30status Active 209-char remark
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Investor Alert! Fixer-upper in Marion, Indiana - a great investment opportunity! This home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a spacious loft on the second floor. Buyer and buyer's agent to perform due diligence;
-
2026-04-30price $39,000 209-char remark
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Investor Alert! Fixer-upper in Marion, Indiana - a great investment opportunity! This home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a spacious loft on the second floor. Buyer and buyer's agent to perform due diligence;
-
2026-03-01historical 209-char remark
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Investor Alert! Fixer-upper in Marion, Indiana - a great investment opportunity! This home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a spacious loft on the second floor. Buyer and buyer's agent to perform due diligence;
-
2025-09-22$29,000 Active 209-char remark
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Investor Alert! Fixer-upper in Marion, Indiana - a great investment opportunity! This home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a spacious loft on the second floor. Buyer and buyer's agent to perform due diligence;
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $870 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $870 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,324
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,624
- − Property taxes
- −$870
- − Insurance
- −$145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,146
- − Management
- −$1,146
- − Depreciation
- −$844
- Taxable income
- $8,549
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,052
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,424/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1806390
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,415
- Composite
- 17.13/100
- National rank
- #9115
- State rank
- #277 of 301 in IN
Livability — Marion
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #337
- US rank
- #13006
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marion, IN
- County
- Grant County · 41,561 people
- City population
- 41,561
- Metro
- Marion, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,189
- Household income
- $52,880
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 662.0
Population outlook (Grant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 64,394 people
- By 2030
- 62,145 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 57,252 · -11.1%
- By 2050
- 52,968 · -17.7%
- By 2075
- 45,986 · -28.6%
- By 2100
- 39,400 · -38.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Grant
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.8) · D 28.2% · R 70.0% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.1pp · 2024: -41.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.8 2020: R+38.8 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+22.0 2008: R+13.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.69%
- Current HPI
- 180.1174
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Marion, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $29,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-15 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $39,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-01 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-22 Listed $29,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $870 · -14.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…