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1014 2nd St NW
D+ Composite 48.39
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,900

1014 2nd St NW · Byron, MN 55920
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,750 sqft · Townhouse public records · 8 Days on market
Built 2001 1,393 sqft lot $250/mo HOA · 10% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

'Mint', stunningly finished on 3 levels! Yet so affordable. 'Rare' find in growing Byron! 3 bedrooms on one level, only $95 per month association fees. Possible 4th bedroom in lower level! Possible contract for deed.

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • $250 HOA
  • Garage

Tags

FRESH PAINTLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGMULTIPLE LIVING SPACESMAJOR COSMETIC UPDATES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: FHA mortgage type indicated
  • HOA & community: Part of Cheery Meadows Ninth Townhome Owners Association; Monthly association fee of $250 covering lawn care, grounds maintenance and snow removal

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space
  • Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas; Electric service with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Residential attached property; Two levels
  • Construction: Block construction; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (three on the upper level, one on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the upper level; Half bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Finished basement with block construction, drain tile and sump pump; Kitchen/dining room combination; Family room; Living room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry room on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $115 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $240k).
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 2.5% in Byron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#30 in MN, #956 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety D-.
  • Byron Public School District (town): math 60% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #24 of 301 in MN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 162 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,267 units permitted in Olmsted County in 2024 (915 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Olmsted County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $172k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $239,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
6.87%
Cash-on-cash
2.05%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.0%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-31,410
Equity at exit
$35,770
10-year hold
IRR
-3.9%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-17,290
Equity at exit
$20,742

Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55920

Home prices YoY
-21.4%
Active inventory
162
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,258
Tax from tax record
$252 /mo · $3,028/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$250
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$525
Net cashflow
$115

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,355
Max offer price $239,900
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,975
Closing costs
$7,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
214 Byron Ave N Byron, MN 4.0 2.0 1800 $2,500 $1.39 13d 1 0.80mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$250 · $3,000/yr

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $239,900 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $239,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $239,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $239,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $239,900 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $239,900 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $239,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,028 · $252/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,028 · $252/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,000
− Mortgage interest
−$13,438
− Property taxes
−$3,028
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,400
− Management
−$2,400
− HOA
−$3,000
− Depreciation
−$6,979
Taxable loss
−$2,445
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$587
After-tax cash flow
$1,962/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Byron Public School District
NCES district ID
2707350
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$78,267
Composite
55.01/100
National rank
#1296
State rank
#24 of 301 in MN

Livability — Byron

Score
83/100
State rank
#30
US rank
#956

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Byron, MN
Population (ZIP)
8,747

Population outlook (Olmsted County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
165,999 people
By 2030
172,425 · +3.9%
By 2040
183,785 · +10.7%
By 2050
192,981 · +16.3%
By 2075
215,284 · +29.7%
By 2100
224,887 · +35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 16% Romanian 7% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Olmsted

2024 margin
D (+10.7) · D 54.3% · R 43.6% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.4pp toward D · 2008: 3.3pp · 2024: 10.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.7 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+0.8 2012: D+3.2 2008: D+3.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -70.79%
Current HPI
260.7113
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+83.3% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $239,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-12-11 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-12-10 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $172,500 Public Records
  • 2018-05-25 Sold (MLS) $172,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-11-03 Listed $178,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-07-30 Sold (MLS) $112,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-07-30 Sold (MLS) $112,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-04-16 Listed $116,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-04-16 Listed $116,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $131,000 Public Records
  • 2005-07-28 Sold (MLS) $128,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-06-08 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-01-25 Listed $130,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,028 · -3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…