1014 2nd St NW · Byron, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
'Mint', stunningly finished on 3 levels! Yet so affordable. 'Rare' find in growing Byron! 3 bedrooms on one level, only $95 per month association fees. Possible 4th bedroom in lower level! Possible contract for deed.
Key facts
- Fresh paint
- $250 HOA
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: FHA mortgage type indicated
- HOA & community: Part of Cheery Meadows Ninth Townhome Owners Association; Monthly association fee of $250 covering lawn care, grounds maintenance and snow removal
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas; Electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Residential attached property; Two levels
- Construction: Block construction; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (three on the upper level, one on the main level)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the upper level; Half bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished basement with block construction, drain tile and sump pump; Kitchen/dining room combination; Family room; Living room
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry room on lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $115 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $240k).
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 2.5% in Byron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#30 in MN, #956 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety D-.
- Byron Public School District (town): math 60% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #24 of 301 in MN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 162 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,267 units permitted in Olmsted County in 2024 (915 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Olmsted County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $172k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.05%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-31,410
- Equity at exit
- $35,770
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-17,290
- Equity at exit
- $20,742
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55920
- Home prices YoY
- -21.4%
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax from tax record
- −$252 /mo · $3,028/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$250
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $115
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 Byron Ave N Byron, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,500 | $1.39 | 13d | 1 | 0.80mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $250 · $3,000/yr
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $239,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $239,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$239,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,028 · $252/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,028 · $252/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$3,028
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,400
- − Management
- −$2,400
- − HOA
- −$3,000
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable loss
- −$2,445
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$587
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,962/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Byron Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2707350
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,267
- Composite
- 55.01/100
- National rank
- #1296
- State rank
- #24 of 301 in MN
Livability — Byron
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #956
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Byron, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,747
Population outlook (Olmsted County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 165,999 people
- By 2030
- 172,425 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 183,785 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 192,981 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 215,284 · +29.7%
- By 2100
- 224,887 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 16% Romanian 7% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Olmsted
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.7) · D 54.3% · R 43.6% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.4pp toward D · 2008: 3.3pp · 2024: 10.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.7 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+0.8 2012: D+3.2 2008: D+3.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.79%
- Current HPI
- 260.7113
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+83.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $239,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-11 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-10 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $172,500 Public Records
- 2018-05-25 Sold (MLS) $172,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-11-03 Listed $178,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-07-30 Sold (MLS) $112,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-07-30 Sold (MLS) $112,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-16 Listed $116,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-16 Listed $116,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $131,000 Public Records
- 2005-07-28 Sold (MLS) $128,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-06-08 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-01-25 Listed $130,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,028 · -3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…