CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
162 Northwoods Dr #162
B Composite 70.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$128,600

162 Northwoods Dr #162 · Smyrna, DE 19977
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Manufactured · 751 Days on market
Built 2024 Excellent condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your brand new spacious home with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. With its premium entry doors, custom cabinets, and wood style floors, you will be excited to have a space like this to call home. Enjoy the variety of amenities our community has to offer such as a picnic area / pavilion / grill, community events, a playground, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

  • Picnic area
  • Custom cabinets
  • Premium entry doors

Tags

PREMIUM ENTRY DOORSCUSTOM CABINETSWOOD STYLE FLOORSPICNIC AREACOMMUNITY EVENTSPLAYGROUND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $129k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $744 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 3.5% in Smyrna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#29 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Smyrna School District (rural): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #16 of 26 in DE (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 220 active listings in the ZIP; 1,201 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $889 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 751 days — a 12% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,168 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 751 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
13.24%
Cash-on-cash
24.80%
DSCR
2.10
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.2%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$26,593
Equity at exit
$19,175
10-year hold
IRR
26.6%
Equity multiple
3.34×
Total profit
$84,319
Equity at exit
$11,119

Cash invested: $36,008 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
70 Landlord-Friendly
State Delaware
70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

ZIP-level market 19977

Home prices YoY
-29.1%
Active inventory
220
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,067 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$674
Tax est. 1.5%
$161 /mo · $1,929/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$434
Net cashflow
$744

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,125
Max offer price $128,600
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $833 -5% $789 +0% $744 +5% $700 +10% $655
Rent -10% $581 -5% $663 +0% $744 +5% $826 +10% $908
Rate -1.0pp $809 -0.5pp $777 base $744 +0.5pp $711 +1.0pp $677

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,150
Closing costs
$3,858
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $128,600 Active 751 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $128,600 Active 750 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $128,600 Active 749 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $128,600 Active 748 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $128,600 Active 747 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $128,600 Active 745 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $128,600 Active 744 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $128,600 Active 742 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $128,600 Active 741 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $128,600 Active 740 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $128,600 Active 739 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $128,600 Active 736 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $128,600 Active 734 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $128,600 Active 733 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $128,600 Active 732 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $128,600 Active 731 DOM
  17. 2024-06-04
    status Active 489-char remark
    Show marketing remark (489 chars)

    Welcome to your brand new spacious home with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. With its premium entry doors, custom cabinets, and wood style floors, you will be excited to have a space like this to call home. Enjoy the variety of amenities our community has to offer such as a picnic area / pavilion / grill, community events, a playground, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  18. 2024-06-04
    historical 489-char remark
    Show marketing remark (489 chars)

    Welcome to your brand new spacious home with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. With its premium entry doors, custom cabinets, and wood style floors, you will be excited to have a space like this to call home. Enjoy the variety of amenities our community has to offer such as a picnic area / pavilion / grill, community events, a playground, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  19. 2024-05-29
    listed $128,600 Active 489-char remark
    Show marketing remark (489 chars)

    Welcome to your brand new spacious home with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. With its premium entry doors, custom cabinets, and wood style floors, you will be excited to have a space like this to call home. Enjoy the variety of amenities our community has to offer such as a picnic area / pavilion / grill, community events, a playground, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,804
− Mortgage interest
−$7,204
− Property taxes
−$1,929
− Insurance
−$643
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,984
− Management
−$1,984
− Depreciation
−$3,741
Taxable income
$7,319
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,757
After-tax cash flow
$7,174/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This manufactured home is in excellent condition with a spacious layout and modern finishes. It is move-in ready and would benefit from minor updates to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Adding a small outdoor patio or seating area — This can increase the home's appeal for both buyers and renters.
  • Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Installing smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers and renters.
  • Both Adding a smart thermostat — This can improve energy efficiency and comfort for both buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Adding a small outdoor patio or seating area — This can increase the home's appeal for both buyers and renters.
  • Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Installing smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers and renters.
  • Both Adding a smart thermostat — This can improve energy efficiency and comfort for both buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Smyrna School District
NCES district ID
1001620
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$61,704
Composite
27.67/100
National rank
#6915
State rank
#16 of 26 in DE

Livability — Smyrna

Score
69/100
State rank
#29
US rank
#8702

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
27,164

Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
194,477 people
By 2030
204,351 · +5.1%
By 2040
222,135 · +14.2%
By 2050
236,483 · +21.6%
By 2075
266,327 · +36.9%
By 2100
275,335 · +41.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 29% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Hispanic 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Kent

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 48.2% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-7.8pp toward R · 2008: 9.8pp · 2024: 2.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.0 2020: D+4.1 2016: R+4.9 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+9.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.14%
Current HPI
267.998
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2024-06-04 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-06-04 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-05-29 Listed $128,600 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…