Duplex
2760 W 15th St · New York, NY
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 69.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$999,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
prime location investment opportunity , money making property 2 family with finished bsmt , pvt entrance . Near subway D<Q<F and N . bus line ( B64 & B68). Easy access to Belt pkwy b & Major Roadways. Located in Opportunity ZONE. land has M1-2 zoning . FRONT garage and Entrance , 2 family House located back of the lot , money producing property with having business Front of the houseone of the kind in the area, WINNER. ..
Key facts
- Pvt entrance
- Front garage
- Near subway
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property configured as a 2-unit multi-family building
- Financial info: Financing options: Bank mortgage or cash; Reported annual rent income: rental income period 12 months (income listed); Utility expense listed
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: Private drive; Built-in garage with 4 parking spaces
- Security: No security features specified
- Utilities: Electric: 110V, 200 Amp; Hot water: Gas; Heating fuel: Gas; Typical utility expense reported
- Home design: Attached building; Residential property
- Construction: Wood frame construction; Brick exterior; Flat roof; Other type foundation
- Exterior features: Front yard; Storage rooms
Interior
- Kitchen: Each unit includes stove/oven and refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units (one on the 1st floor, one on the 2nd floor)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: Unit 1: 1 full bath; Unit 2: 2 full baths; Additional: 1 three-quarter bath reported for the property
- Heating & cooling: Steam/radiator heat; Gas hot water; Electrical service: 110V, 200 Amp
- Interior features: Finished basement; Hardwood floors; No central air units reported
- Laundry & utility: No washer/dryer specified
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $999k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $590 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $295/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $879k (12.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $879k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $8,788/mo this rent would consume 242% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 4426% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $57k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $50k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $280k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$91k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($879k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $365k; list at $999k implies a 174% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.36%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,213,596
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78 28th Ave | 0.62mi | 6/3.0 | 1,740 (-5%) | 5mo | $1,150,000 | $661 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.98% appreciation · 7.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $303,670
- Equity at exit
- $565,028
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.47×
- Total profit
- $971,351
- Equity at exit
- $974,260
Cash invested: $279,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11224
- Home prices YoY
- 1.0%
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 114
- Price-to-rent
- 18.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,788 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,239
- Tax from tax record
- −$271 /mo · $3,252/yr
- Insurance
- −$416
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,845
- Net cashflow
- $590
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1.5 | $8,788 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.5 | $4,394 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.5 | $4,394 |
| Total (2 units) | $8,788 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $249,750
- Closing costs
- $29,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $999,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $999,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $999,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $999,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $999,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $999,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $999,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $999,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $999,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $999,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2025-12-18price $999,000
-
2025-12-17$9,999,000 Active
-
2004-07-08soldstatus $365,000
-
2002-08-15soldstatus $325,000
-
1998-07-14soldstatus $205,000
-
1986-02-25soldstatus $22,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,252 · $271/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,067 · $839/mo
- Expected delta
- +$6,816/yr (+$568/mo · 209.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $105,456
- − Mortgage interest
- −$55,960
- − Property taxes
- −$3,252
- − Insurance
- −$10,114
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,436
- − Management
- −$8,436
- − Depreciation
- −$29,062
- Taxable loss
- −$9,803
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,353
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,432/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,822
- Household income
- $43,648
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4426.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 19% Asian 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 10% Subsaharan African 7% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 48% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 32% Spanish 11% Chinese 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.98%
- Current HPI
- 505.1405
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.03%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+4440.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $999,000 BNYMLS
- 2025-12-17 Listed $9,999,000 BNYMLS
- 2004-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $365,000 Public Records
- 2002-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $325,000 Public Records
- 1998-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $205,000 Public Records
- 1986-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,252 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…