1466 Private road 300H · Seminole, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Brand new 16 by 40 cabin style house with central heating and cooling system built with 2 bedrooms full bathroom laundry and pantry very nice house for small family or for someone how loves hunting. It is completely ready for move in with your desired appliance and furniture a 30gallon water heater is provided. price includes delivery within 30 miles of Seminole tx further out would be additional cost
Key facts
- Built 2026
- Listed 29 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $60k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $243 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($833 rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#7 in TX, #618 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, commute F.
- Seminole ISD (town): math 50% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #228 of 826 in TX (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 227 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Gaines County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gaines County population projected at +58% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.37%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $5,780
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.49×
- Total profit
- $25,029
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79360
- Active inventory
- 227
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $833 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $900/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$175
- Net cashflow
- $243
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $285 | -5% $264 | +0% $243 | +5% $222 | +10% $202 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $177 | -5% $210 | +0% $243 | +5% $276 | +10% $309 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $273 | -0.5pp $258 | base $243 | +0.5pp $228 | +1.0pp $212 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
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- Total cash needed
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Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
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2026-06-19days on market $60,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $60,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $60,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $60,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $60,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-05-21$60,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,993
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$900
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$799
- − Management
- −$799
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $2,087
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$501
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,417/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This brand new cabin-style house is completely ready for move-in, with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a great opportunity for a small family or someone who loves hunting.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Seminole ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4839750
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,745
- Composite
- 40.28/100
- National rank
- #3762
- State rank
- #228 of 826 in TX
Livability — Seminole
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #618
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,284
Population outlook (Gaines County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,287 people
- By 2030
- 27,989 · +10.7%
- By 2040
- 33,895 · +34.0%
- By 2050
- 40,001 · +58.2%
- By 2075
- 55,259 · +118.5%
- By 2100
- 65,681 · +159.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 3% German 3% Scotch-Irish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · German/W. Germanic 43% Spanish 15%
Political lean MEDSL · Gaines
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+82.6) · D 8.4% · R 91.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.4pp toward R · 2008: -67.2pp · 2024: -82.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+82.6 2020: R+79.7 2016: R+71.8 2012: R+72.5 2008: R+67.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.01%
- Current HPI
- 171.5513
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $60,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…