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151 4th Ave
C- Composite 50.88
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

151 4th Ave · Springfield, OH 45505
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,206 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1926 5,720 sqft lot Est $188k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Own for less than rent with this lovely 3 bed 1 bath Cape Cod! From the entryway is a spacious living room straight into a bonus room that could be used as a play room or formal dining area. Large eat in kitchen, and covered patio where the owner moved the laundry room for convenience and space! Two of the bedrooms are on the first floor and the attic has been finished to make a spacious third bedroom. 1 car detached garage and back yard is near fully fenced in! Fresh new paint on the interior and ready for your personal touches! Entry deck and shutters will be painted black once the weather cooperates! Conveniently located near shopping and highway access! Call to schedule a showing today!

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Upstairs area
  • Detached garage

Tags

UPSTAIRS AREASPACIOUS YARDDETACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached one-car garage
  • Home design: Single-family residence
  • Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Irregular lot; Residential zoning

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (9 x 19)
  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms (11 x 10 and 11 x 11)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Bonus room on the second level (24 x 12); Florida room on the main level (23 x 8); Living room on the main level (13 x 13); Dining room on the main level (11 x 13)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (7.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $130k (7.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.7% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,108 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Springfield City School District (urban): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #616 of 656 in OH (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mann Elementary School (math 29% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,151 of 1,584 statewide, top 73%, 383 students, 0% FRL); Schaefer Middle School (math 20% / reading 27%, grade F, #597 of 654 statewide, top 92%, 268 students, 0% FRL); Springfield High School (math 17% / reading 31%, grade F, #665 of 781 statewide, top 85%, 1,516 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 75% district-wide (75 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 232 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clark County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $97k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $129,733 (7.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.04%
Cash-on-cash
2.67%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$188,136
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
451 Lawnview Ave 0.36mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,226 (+2%) 2mo $205,000 $167 69
121 Willis Ave 0.19mi 2/1.0 1,042 (-14%) 3mo $169,900 $163 66
3332 E High St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,228 (+2%) 2mo $200,000 $163 61
262 Raffensperger Ave 0.68mi 2/1.0 1,148 (-5%) 4mo $54,500 $47 57
438 Lawnview Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,327 (+10%) 7mo $160,000 $121 57
120 S Fostoria Ave 0.25mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,342 (+11%) 8mo $170,500 $127 56
507 Elbron Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,232 (+2%) 2mo $265,000 $215 56
106 Cottage Pl 0.60mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,056 (-12%) 1mo $164,900 $156 44
532 Gruen Dr 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,041 (-14%) 6mo $155,000 $149 42
314 Raffensperger Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,352 (+12%) 1mo $170,000 $126 38
501 Elbron Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,072 (-11%) 6mo $275,000 $257 37
127 Bellevue Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,040 (-14%) 7mo $129,900 $125 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-17,108
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
-2.9%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-7,731
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45505

Home prices YoY
-34.3%
Active inventory
158
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,297 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$146 /mo · $1,748/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$272
Net cashflow
$87

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,187
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $166 -5% $127 +0% $87 +5% $48 +10% $8
Rent -10% $-15 -5% $36 +0% $87 +5% $139 +10% $190
Rate -1.0pp $158 -0.5pp $123 base $87 +0.5pp $51 +1.0pp $14

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
190 Skyway Dr Springfield, OH 3.0 2.5 1460 $2,200 $1.51 4d 1 1.01mi
127 N Belmont Ave Unit 1 Springfield, OH 2.0 1.0 1052 $1,050 $1.00 3d 1 1.04mi
515 Ludlow Ave Springfield, OH 3.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 45d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $139,900 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $139,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    remarks 368-char remark
  5. 2026-06-17
    listed $139,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,748 · $146/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,965 · $164/mo
Expected delta
+$217/yr (+$18/mo · 12.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,568
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,748
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,245
− Management
−$1,245
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$1,277
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$306
After-tax cash flow
$1,354/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield City School District
NCES district ID
3904481
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$32,541
Composite
19.12/100
National rank
#8834
State rank
#616 of 656 in OH

Livability — Springfield

Score
56/100
State rank
#1108
US rank
#22551

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Clark County · 33,261 people
City population
33,261
Metro
Springfield, OH
Population (ZIP)
19,826
Household income
$43,819
Rent vs Own
47.3% rent · 52.7% own
Severe rent burden
950.0

Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
130,703 people
By 2030
126,952 · -2.9%
By 2040
118,344 · -9.5%
By 2050
109,590 · -16.2%
By 2075
89,464 · -31.6%
By 2100
68,810 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 14% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% German 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clark

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
2008→2024 swing
-27.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -29.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.5 2020: R+23.3 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+1.8 2008: R+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.16%
Current HPI
258.9037
Rent YoY
Metro
Springfield, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+337.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $139,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records
  • 2022-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
  • 2022-06-13 Sold (MLS) $102,000 WRIST
  • 2022-05-09 Pending WRIST
  • 2022-05-06 Listed $95,000 WRIST
  • 2004-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
  • 2003-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,748 · +59.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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