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1817 Celia Dr
C- Composite 50.19
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$132,000

1817 Celia Dr · Columbus, GA 31907
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,127 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 53 Days on market
Built 1960 8,712 sqft lot $117/sqft · 54% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully updated 4-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom brick ranch home in East Columbus! From the moment you arrive, the classic brick exterior, bold accent shutters, covered front porch, and mature shade trees give this home undeniable curb appeal and character. Step inside and you'll immediately notice the thoughtful updates throughout. Luxury vinyl plank flooring runs seamlessly through the entire home, combining style with durability. The spacious living room features a modern ceiling fan and flows naturally into the rest of the home, creating an open and comfortable feel for everyday living and entertaining. The separate dining area is highlighted by an elegant chandelier and provides the perfect space for family meals and gatherings. The kitchen is a true standout — boasting granite countertops, shaker-style cabinetry, stainless steel appliances including a French door refrigerator, range, and built-in microwave, plus a tile backsplash and recessed lighting. Whether you're cooking for one or hosting a crowd, this kitchen delivers both function and style. The updated full bathroom features a stylish vessel sink vanity with gold hardware accents, a tiled walk-in shower, and modern fixtures that give it a fresh, spa-inspired feel. A dedicated interior laundry room with washer and dryer hookups adds everyday convenience. The spacious backyard offers plenty of room to relax, entertain, or let the kids and pets play, with mature trees providing natural shade and privacy. No HOA. No flood insurance required. Central heat and air. This move-in ready gem is a must-see!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Brick ranch home
  • Granite countertops

Tags

BRICK RANCH HOMECOVERED FRONT PORCHLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGSEPARATE DINING AREAGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSHAKER-STYLE CABINETRY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $132k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $160 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (1.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.7% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#254 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, commute F.
  • Muscogee County (urban): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #120 of 174 in GA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Lonnie Jackson Academy (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,125 of 1,228 statewide, top 93%, 434 students, 96% FRL); Rothschild Leadership Academy School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #456 of 470 statewide, top 97%, 515 students, 96% FRL); Kendrick High School (math 2% / reading 5%, grade F, #413 of 424 statewide, top 99%, 876 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 61% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 6% at this address vs 26% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Muscogee County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 274 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 291 units permitted in Muscogee County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $913 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Muscogee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $76k; list at $132k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $128,040 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
7.75%
Cash-on-cash
5.20%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$85,981
List price
$132,000
Delta
53.52%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4418 Gardiner Dr 0.21mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,160 (+3%) 3mo $80,000 $69 76
1813 Celia Dr 0.01mi 3/1.5 (-1) 959 (-15%) 2mo $149,900 $156 68
2213 Welch Dr 0.20mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,268 (+12%) 2mo $140,000 $110 63
2307 Skylake Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,152 (+2%) 2mo $147,000 $128 56
4979 Gardiner Dr 0.38mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,000 (-11%) 4mo $118,900 $119 55
4302 Empire St 0.75mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,099 (-2%) 1mo $125,000 $114 53
5255 Eton Dr 0.65mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,075 (-5%) 4mo $60,000 $56 52
1618 Forestside Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,006 (-11%) 3mo $145,000 $144 49
1737 Emerson Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,050 (-7%) 2mo $72,000 $69 47
960 Lake Rushin Dr 0.73mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (-8%) 4mo $120,000 $115 43
5100 Buckingham Ct 0.66mi 4/2.0 1,295 (+15%) 3mo $169,900 $131 40
4 Clausen Dr 0.67mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,274 (+13%) 2mo $152,000 $119 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-8,759
Equity at exit
$19,682
10-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$15,837
Equity at exit
$11,413

Cash invested: $36,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31907

Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
274
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,303 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$692
Tax from tax record
$122 /mo · $1,463/yr
Insurance
$55
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$160

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,100
Max offer price $132,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $235 -5% $198 +0% $160 +5% $123 +10% $86
Rent -10% $57 -5% $109 +0% $160 +5% $212 +10% $263
Rate -1.0pp $227 -0.5pp $194 base $160 +0.5pp $126 +1.0pp $91

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,000
Closing costs
$3,960
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1719 Celia Dr Columbus, GA 3.0 2.0 1249 $1,100 $0.88 46d 1 0.10mi
1519 Baker St Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1088 $1,150 $1.06 23d 1 0.19mi
1502 Baker St Columbus, GA 4.0 2.5 1225 $1,300 $1.06 16d 1 0.24mi
1917 Watkins Dr Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1323 $1,200 $0.91 46d 1 0.27mi
1537 Celia Dr Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1139 $975 $0.86 23d 1 0.30mi
1507 Celia Dr Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 16d 1 0.32mi
4970 Gardiner Dr Columbus, GA 3.0 2.0 1412 $1,400 $0.99 46d 1 0.38mi
4832 Wellborn Dr Columbus, GA 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 16d 1 0.51mi
4414 Forrest Rd Columbus, GA 3.0 2.0 988 $1,195 $1.21 23d 1 0.53mi
2316 Wellborn Dr Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1047 $1,050 $1.00 23d 1 0.55mi
1722 Emerson Ave Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1075 $1,150 $1.07 23d 1 0.67mi
4265 Adams St Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1054 $995 $0.94 46d 1 0.68mi
2353 Agnes Dr Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1290 $1,400 $1.09 23d 1 0.68mi
4135 Forrest Rd Columbus, GA 3.0 2.0 912 $1,375 $1.51 16d 1 0.70mi
4707 Marino St Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1054 $995 $0.94 46d 1 0.76mi
5038 Wellborn Dr Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,175 $1.11 16d 1 0.77mi
1423 Hagan Dr Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1275 $1,250 $0.98 23d 1 0.80mi
1711 Floyd Rd Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 956 $1,300 $1.36 16d 1 0.87mi
920 Rosewood Dr Columbus, GA 4.0 1.0 1325 $1,350 $1.02 23d 1 0.92mi
5530 Hunter Rd Columbus, GA 3.0 2.0 1092 $1,300 $1.19 46d 1 0.99mi
5330 Buena Vista Rd Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1100 $995 $0.90 46d 1 1.05mi
947 Belvedere Dr Columbus, GA 3.0 2.0 1197 $1,425 $1.19 16d 1 1.07mi
800 Goodson Dr Columbus, GA 4.0 1.0 1012 $1,225 $1.21 23d 1 1.12mi
5421 Susan Ln Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1368 $1,100 $0.80 23d 1 1.18mi
1400 Boxwood Blvd Columbus, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1262 $1,355 $1.07 16d 6 1.41mi
1029 Amber Dr Columbus, GA 3.0 1.5 1053 $1,300 $1.23 46d 1 1.42mi
5850 Blueridge Dr Columbus, GA 3.0 1.5 1120 $1,200 $1.07 46d 1 1.43mi
527 Englewood Dr Columbus, GA 3.0 2.0 1469 $1,450 $0.99 16d 1 1.44mi
3911 Steam Mill Rd Columbus, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 959 $1,200 $1.25 16d 12 1.47mi
5501 Ambervista Ct Columbus, GA 3.0 2.0 1402 $1,375 $0.98 46d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 1604-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1604 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully updated 4-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom brick ranch home in East Columbus! From the moment you arrive, the classic brick exterior, bold accent shutters, covered front porch, and mature shade trees give this home undeniable curb appeal and character. Step inside and you'll immediately notice the thoughtful updates throughout. Luxury vinyl plank flooring runs seamlessly through the entire home, combining style with durability. The spacious living room features a modern ceiling fan and flows naturally into the rest of the home, creating an open and comfortable feel for everyday living and entertaining. The separate dining area is highlighted by an elegant chandelier and provides the perfect space for family meals and gatherings. The kitchen is a true standout — boasting granite countertops, shaker-style cabinetry, stainless steel appliances including a French door refrigerator, range, and built-in microwave, plus a tile backsplash and recessed lighting. Whether you're cooking for one or hosting a crowd, this kitchen delivers both function and style. The updated full bathroom features a stylish vessel sink vanity with gold hardware accents, a tiled walk-in shower, and modern fixtures that give it a fresh, spa-inspired feel. A dedicated interior laundry room with washer and dryer hookups adds everyday convenience. The spacious backyard offers plenty of room to relax, entertain, or let the kids and pets play, with mature trees providing natural shade and privacy. No HOA. No flood insurance required. Central heat and air. This move-in ready gem is a must-see!

  2. 2026-04-21
    price $132,000 1604-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1604 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully updated 4-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom brick ranch home in East Columbus! From the moment you arrive, the classic brick exterior, bold accent shutters, covered front porch, and mature shade trees give this home undeniable curb appeal and character. Step inside and you'll immediately notice the thoughtful updates throughout. Luxury vinyl plank flooring runs seamlessly through the entire home, combining style with durability. The spacious living room features a modern ceiling fan and flows naturally into the rest of the home, creating an open and comfortable feel for everyday living and entertaining. The separate dining area is highlighted by an elegant chandelier and provides the perfect space for family meals and gatherings. The kitchen is a true standout — boasting granite countertops, shaker-style cabinetry, stainless steel appliances including a French door refrigerator, range, and built-in microwave, plus a tile backsplash and recessed lighting. Whether you're cooking for one or hosting a crowd, this kitchen delivers both function and style. The updated full bathroom features a stylish vessel sink vanity with gold hardware accents, a tiled walk-in shower, and modern fixtures that give it a fresh, spa-inspired feel. A dedicated interior laundry room with washer and dryer hookups adds everyday convenience. The spacious backyard offers plenty of room to relax, entertain, or let the kids and pets play, with mature trees providing natural shade and privacy. No HOA. No flood insurance required. Central heat and air. This move-in ready gem is a must-see!

  3. 2026-03-14
    listed $135,000 Active 1604-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1604 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully updated 4-bedroom, 1.5-bathroom brick ranch home in East Columbus! From the moment you arrive, the classic brick exterior, bold accent shutters, covered front porch, and mature shade trees give this home undeniable curb appeal and character. Step inside and you'll immediately notice the thoughtful updates throughout. Luxury vinyl plank flooring runs seamlessly through the entire home, combining style with durability. The spacious living room features a modern ceiling fan and flows naturally into the rest of the home, creating an open and comfortable feel for everyday living and entertaining. The separate dining area is highlighted by an elegant chandelier and provides the perfect space for family meals and gatherings. The kitchen is a true standout — boasting granite countertops, shaker-style cabinetry, stainless steel appliances including a French door refrigerator, range, and built-in microwave, plus a tile backsplash and recessed lighting. Whether you're cooking for one or hosting a crowd, this kitchen delivers both function and style. The updated full bathroom features a stylish vessel sink vanity with gold hardware accents, a tiled walk-in shower, and modern fixtures that give it a fresh, spa-inspired feel. A dedicated interior laundry room with washer and dryer hookups adds everyday convenience. The spacious backyard offers plenty of room to relax, entertain, or let the kids and pets play, with mature trees providing natural shade and privacy. No HOA. No flood insurance required. Central heat and air. This move-in ready gem is a must-see!

  4. 2024-12-19
    historical $1,600
  5. 2024-12-15
    listed $1,600
  6. 2024-04-02
    historical $1,650
  7. 2024-03-27
    price $1,650
  8. 2024-03-09
    listed $1,750
  9. 2022-06-13
    soldstatus $76,050
  10. 2020-10-14
    soldstatus $63,000
  11. 2018-11-20
    soldstatus $110,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,463 · $122/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,463 · $122/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,637
− Mortgage interest
−$7,394
− Property taxes
−$1,463
− Insurance
−$660
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,251
− Management
−$1,251
− Depreciation
−$3,840
Taxable loss
−$222
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$53
After-tax cash flow
$1,977/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Muscogee County
NCES district ID
1303870
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,176
Composite
21.6/100
National rank
#8297
State rank
#120 of 174 in GA

Livability — Columbus

Score
64/100
State rank
#254
US rank
#14102

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Columbus, GA
County
Muscogee County · 180,764 people
City population
180,764
Metro
Columbus, GA-AL
Population (ZIP)
59,110
Household income
$54,453
Rent vs Own
42.2% rent · 57.8% own
Severe rent burden
2138.0

Population outlook (Muscogee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
216,729 people
By 2030
224,504 · +3.6%
By 2040
238,318 · +10.0%
By 2050
249,027 · +14.9%
By 2075
264,862 · +22.2%
By 2100
254,786 · +17.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 22% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Muscogee

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 61.4% · R 38.0%
2008→2024 swing
+3.7pp toward D · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+18.6 2012: D+21.3 2008: D+19.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.88%
Current HPI
151.74
Rent YoY
▲ 4.82%
Metro
Columbus, GA-AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+20.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending CBOR
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $132,000 CBOR
  • 2026-03-14 Listed $135,000 CBOR
  • 2024-12-19 Rental Removed $1,600 Avail
  • 2024-12-15 Listed for Rent $1,600 Avail
  • 2024-04-02 Rental Removed $1,650 RENT.
  • 2024-03-27 Price Changed $1,650 RENT.
  • 2024-03-09 Listed for Rent $1,750 RENT.
  • 2022-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $76,050 Public Records
  • 2020-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
  • 2018-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,463 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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