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416 E 25th St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 70.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

416 E 25th St · Baltimore, MD 21218
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,340 sqft · Townhouse public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1900 1,190 sqft lot Est $240k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Priced to sell fast—this one won’t last, so schedule your showing today. Solid mixed-use investment opportunity just steps from Charles Village on a desirable 25th Street block. This residential/commercial property is currently leased to a stable, low-maintenance nonprofit tenant who has been in place for over 10 years and wishes to remain on a flexible month-to-month basis—turnkey income from day one. The full basement offers exceptional storage and has served the tenant well, and a coveted private parking pad sits at the rear. With its prime location and versatile zoning, the property also presents strong upside: convert to a single residence to capture higher long-term

Key facts

  • Private parking pad
  • Versatile zoning
  • Full basement

Tags

STABLE NONPROFIT TENANTFULL BASEMENTPRIVATE PARKING PADPRIME LOCATIONVERSATILE ZONING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Ground rent paid annually

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Electric with circuit breakers; Natural gas for heating and hot water; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Property in good condition
  • Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Flat rubber roof; Built according to assessor records
  • Exterior features: Public water and public sewer; Located within city limits; Bus stop within 1 mile; metro/subway 1–3 miles; commuter rail 1–5 miles; commuter lots within 5 miles

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level); One half bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Drywall walls and ceilings; Basement with front and outside entrances; Basement partially finished (about half finished)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $149,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$239,860) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $441 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 325 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $96k; list at $150k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $149,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
9.82%
Cash-on-cash
12.60%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$239,860
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2540 Greenmount Ave 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,340 (0%) 0mo $79,000 $59 92
326 E 26th St 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,496 (+12%) 2mo $170,000 $114 73
2545 Cecil Ave 0.61mi 3/2.5 1,318 (-2%) 1mo $215,000 $163 66
435 Ilchester Ave 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,531 (+14%) 2mo $123,000 $80 61
1120 Montpelier St 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,260 (-6%) 2mo $70,000 $56 61
3045 Guilford Ave 0.53mi 3/1.5 1,532 (+14%) 0mo $310,000 $202 50
3043 Guilford Ave 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,532 (+14%) 0mo $275,000 $180 49
1234 E Lafayette Ave E 0.73mi 3/2.5 1,225 (-9%) 2mo $219,000 $179 48
2559 Garrett Ave 0.69mi 3/3.0 1,202 (-10%) 2mo $205,000 $171 45
2821 Remington Ave 0.64mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,170 (-13%) 1mo $265,000 $226 43
459 W 24th St 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,144 (-15%) 1mo $224,500 $196 40
3201 Saint Paul St #310 0.70mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,524 (+14%) 2mo $300,000 $197 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.8%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$1,217
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$27,005
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21218

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
325
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,915 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$224 /mo · $2,683/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$402
Net cashflow
$441

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,357
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $525 -5% $483 +0% $441 +5% $398 +10% $356
Rent -10% $289 -5% $365 +0% $441 +5% $516 +10% $592
Rate -1.0pp $516 -0.5pp $479 base $441 +0.5pp $402 +1.0pp $362

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2516 Barclay St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 992 $1,375 $1.39 16d 1 0.06mi
411 E Lorraine Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1344 $2,200 $1.64 24d 1 0.13mi
400 E Lorraine Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,800 $1.20 20d 1 0.15mi
428 E Lorraine Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1344 $1,875 $1.40 24d 1 0.16mi
428 E Lorraine Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1344 $1,875 $1.40 44d 1 0.16mi
450 E Lorraine Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1344 $1,695 $1.26 44d 1 0.16mi
534 E 23rd St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1700 $2,350 $1.38 44d 1 0.21mi
646 Cokesbury Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,299 $1.08 44d 1 0.23mi
2440 Saint Paul St Unit 4E Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 891 $1,625 $1.82 44d 1 0.25mi
2300 N Calvert St Baltimore, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1100 $1,995 $1.81 3d 2 0.25mi
402 E 28th St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1436 $2,200 $1.53 44d 1 0.30mi
519 E 28th St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,000 $1.33 5d 1 0.31mi
436 Ilchester Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1002 $1,350 $1.35 44d 1 0.35mi
2641 N Howard St Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.5 1344 $2,800 $2.08 24d 1 0.49mi
2752 Maryland Ave Unit 2ND FLOOR Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 18d 1 0.50mi
3012 Mathews St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 996 $1,100 $1.10 18d 1 0.51mi
3026 Mathews St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 996 $1,350 $1.36 15d 1 0.54mi
325 W Lorraine Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1470 $3,150 $2.14 5d 1 0.54mi
1711 Latrobe St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,700 $1.70 24d 1 0.59mi
616 Montpelier St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,750 $1.52 11d 1 0.60mi
936 Montpelier St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1260 $1,450 $1.15 24d 1 0.61mi
412 E Lanvale St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1600 $3,100 $1.94 5d 1 0.61mi
2310 Aisquith St Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.0 900 $2,000 $2.22 5d 1 0.62mi
448 Pitman Pl Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 940 $2,145 $2.28 24d 1 0.65mi
1704 Saint Paul St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1141 $1,550 $1.36 5d 1 0.66mi
437 Pitman Pl Baltimore, MD 2.0 3.0 1520 $1,650 $1.09 5d 1 0.67mi
2606 Cecil Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,500 $1.25 44d 1 0.68mi
3221 Guilford Ave Apt A Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1025 $2,925 $2.85 18d 1 0.68mi
456 E Federal St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1450 $1,850 $1.28 44d 1 0.69mi
458 E Federal St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1300 $1,850 $1.42 4d 1 0.69mi
412 E Federal St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1100 $1,700 $1.55 24d 1 0.69mi
3201 Saint Paul St Baltimore, MD 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.0 1532 $3,200 $2.09 3d 1 0.71mi
210 Federal St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 20d 1 0.72mi
315 W 30th St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1250 $2,450 $1.96 16d 1 0.73mi
315 W 30th St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1200 $2,450 $2.04 18d 1 0.73mi
1333 E North Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 1860 $2,200 $1.18 24d 1 0.74mi
348 E University Pkwy Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1809 $2,400 $1.33 44d 1 0.75mi
3222 Ellerslie Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.5 1550 $1,950 $1.26 44d 1 0.77mi
304 W North Ave Baltimore, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 804 $890 $1.11 24d 5 0.78mi
305 W 31st St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1500 $2,499 $1.67 44d 1 0.80mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,900 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    remarks 681-char remark
  9. 2026-06-07
    listed $149,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,683 · $224/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,683 · $224/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,978
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$2,683
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,838
− Management
−$1,838
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$3,112
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$747
After-tax cash flow
$4,540/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
44,014
Household income
$62,488
Rent vs Own
51.9% rent · 48.1% own
Severe rent burden
2564.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 60% White 26% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -463.14%
Current HPI
292.3986
Rent YoY
▲ 1.63%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+808.5% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $95,550 Public Records
  • 2017-10-02 Delisted MRIS
  • 2017-08-09 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2017-06-22 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2017-05-09 Listed MRIS
  • 2017-05-09 Listed $119,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-08-13 Delisted MRIS
  • 2007-08-10 Listed MRIS
  • 2007-07-17 Delisted MRIS
  • 2007-03-28 Listed MRIS
  • 2007-03-24 Delisted MRIS
  • 2006-11-28 Listed MRIS
  • 2006-11-15 Delisted MRIS
  • 2006-09-23 Listed MRIS
  • 2006-07-01 Delisted MRIS
  • 2006-03-03 Listed MRIS
  • 2005-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
  • 2005-02-14 Sold (MLS) $58,900 MRIS
  • 2004-12-15 Delisted MRIS
  • 2004-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $51,200 Public Records
  • 2004-08-14 Listed $59,900 MRIS
  • 1987-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 1984-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.6%/yr

Latest (2020): $2,683 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…