5644 Hartford St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$88,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 4-bedroom, 1-bath Detroit bungalow featuring an updated kitchen and renovated bathroom, spacious living areas, and a Michigan basement for additional storage. Enjoy a large backyard and a convenient location close to schools, shopping, parks, and major roadways. Great opportunity for homeowners or investors! Home currently has a tenant that will be out by closing, unless new buyer would like to keep the property tenant occupied. For any questions please reach out to Julie Golich.
Key facts
- Renovated bathroom
- Large backyard
- Michigan basement
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual taxes listed (amount available in listing)
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry with steps; Aluminum siding
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.07 acres (30 x 103)
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing gas oven; Free-standing refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: Free-standing gas oven; Free-standing refrigerator; Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $401 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $608 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 10 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $2k; list at $88k implies a 3420% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.53%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $11,292
- Equity at exit
- $13,121
- IRR
- 20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $42,749
- Equity at exit
- $7,609
Cash invested: $24,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48210
- Home prices YoY
- -22.3%
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,250 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$461
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,059/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $401
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $451 | -5% $426 | +0% $401 | +5% $376 | +10% $351 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $302 | -5% $352 | +0% $401 | +5% $450 | +10% $500 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $445 | -0.5pp $423 | base $401 | +0.5pp $378 | +1.0pp $355 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,000
- Closing costs
- $2,640
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4619 16th St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 4d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $88,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-19remarks 493-char remark
-
2026-06-19$88,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,059 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,207 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- +$148/yr (+$12/mo · 14.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,929
- − Property taxes
- −$1,059
- − Insurance
- −$440
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,200
- − Management
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$2,560
- Taxable income
- $3,612
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$867
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,946/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- City population
- 572,865
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,925
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% White 20% Black 17% Two or more races 16% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 44% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Danish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 39% English-only · Spanish 50% Arabic 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.82%
- Current HPI
- 299.5909
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+8700.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $88,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-18 Listed $88,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-02-19 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-02-19 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-01-18 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-01-18 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-01-16 Coming Soon — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-12-06 Sold (MLS) $2,500 REALCOMP
- 2010-09-10 Listed $6,000 REALCOMP
- 2009-09-01 Sold (MLS) $1 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-09-01 Sold (MLS) $1 REALCOMP
- 2009-08-13 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-06-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2009-06-12 Listed $500 REALCOMP
- 2009-03-10 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2009-03-10 Listed $500 REALCOMP
- 2009-02-19 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2009-02-19 Listed $1,000 REALCOMP
- 2009-01-16 Listed $1 REALCOMP
- 2009-01-16 Listed $500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+12.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,059 · +341.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…