6127 Pontotoc St · Merrydale, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home is in need of repairs and offers great investment potential. Seller has limited knowledge of the property and is selling "as is". House is 1/12 houses being sold of a portfolio.
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1971
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Greendale subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation; Built (year not provided)
- Exterior features: Patio; Chain link fencing
Interior
- Flooring: Tile; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Tile and ceramic tile flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($887 rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 7.8% in Merrydale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#301 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
- East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
- East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.73%
- DSCR
- 2.28
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $68,730
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6131 Matthews St | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 786 (-0%) | 6mo | $105,000 | $134 | 92 |
| 6155 Pontotoc St | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 860 (+9%) | 2mo | $95,900 | $112 | 82 |
| 5851 Denova St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 800 (+1%) | 10mo | $50,000 | $63 | 80 |
| 6219 Pontotoc St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 750 (-5%) | 11mo | $45,000 | $60 | 79 |
| 5726 Matthews St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 825 (+4%) | 2mo | $44,900 | $54 | 78 |
| 5667 Denova St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 802 (+2%) | 10mo | $70,000 | $87 | 73 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.93% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.54×
- Total profit
- $39,115
- Equity at exit
- $34,332
- IRR
- 36.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.28×
- Total profit
- $96,697
- Equity at exit
- $62,051
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70812
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $887 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$21 /mo · $249/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$186
- Net cashflow
- $369
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5665 McClelland Dr Apt 201 Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 870 | $1,050 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5665 McClelland Dr Apt 133 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $825 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5665 McClelland Dr Unit 245 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 765 | $800 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5665 McClelland Dr Apt 220 Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 870 | $950 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5665 McClelland Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $825 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $55,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $55,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $55,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$55,000 Active
Show marketing remark (192 chars)
Home is in need of repairs and offers great investment potential. Seller has limited knowledge of the property and is selling "as is". House is 1/12 houses being sold of a portfolio.
-
2026-05-20$55,000 Active 192-char remark
Show marketing remark (192 chars)
Home is in need of repairs and offers great investment potential. Seller has limited knowledge of the property and is selling "as is". House is 1/12 houses being sold of a portfolio.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $249 · $21/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $302 · $25/mo
- Expected delta
- +$53/yr (+$4/mo · 21.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,645
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$249
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$852
- − Management
- −$852
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $3,736
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$897
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,527/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Baton Rouge Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200540
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,263
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7745
- State rank
- #47 of 98 in LA
Livability — Merrydale
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #301
- US rank
- #21115
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Merrydale, LA
- City population
- 11,124
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,124
Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 464,810 people
- By 2030
- 472,137 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 480,243 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 484,422 · +4.2%
- By 2075
- 492,069 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 476,347 · +2.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 97% Hispanic / Latino 2% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge
- 2024 margin
- D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.93%
- Current HPI
- 174.6882
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $55,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-20 Listed $55,000 GBRMLS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $249 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…