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6127 Pontotoc St
A- Composite 83.28
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$55,000

6127 Pontotoc St · Merrydale, LA 70812
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 790 sqft · SingleFamily · 29 Days on market
Built 1971 6,098 sqft lot Est $69k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Home is in need of repairs and offers great investment potential. Seller has limited knowledge of the property and is selling "as is". House is 1/12 houses being sold of a portfolio.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1971

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Greendale subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking for 2 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation; Built (year not provided)
  • Exterior features: Patio; Chain link fencing

Interior

  • Flooring: Tile; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Tile and ceramic tile flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($887 rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 7.8% in Merrydale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#301 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
  • East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $54,175 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
14.34%
Cash-on-cash
28.73%
DSCR
2.28
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$68,730
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6131 Matthews St 0.05mi 3/1.0 786 (-0%) 6mo $105,000 $134 92
6155 Pontotoc St 0.04mi 3/1.0 860 (+9%) 2mo $95,900 $112 82
5851 Denova St 0.20mi 3/1.0 800 (+1%) 10mo $50,000 $63 80
6219 Pontotoc St 0.07mi 3/1.0 750 (-5%) 11mo $45,000 $60 79
5726 Matthews St 0.27mi 3/1.0 825 (+4%) 2mo $44,900 $54 78
5667 Denova St 0.36mi 3/1.0 802 (+2%) 10mo $70,000 $87 73

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.93% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.6%
Equity multiple
3.54×
Total profit
$39,115
Equity at exit
$34,332
10-year hold
IRR
36.9%
Equity multiple
7.28×
Total profit
$96,697
Equity at exit
$62,051

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70812

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$887 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$21 /mo · $249/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$186
Net cashflow
$369

Break-even live

Break-even rent $420
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5665 McClelland Dr Apt 201 Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 1.5 870 $1,050 $1.21 43d 1 1.30mi
5665 McClelland Dr Apt 133 Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.0 775 $825 $1.06 43d 1 1.30mi
5665 McClelland Dr Unit 245 Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.5 765 $800 $1.05 43d 1 1.30mi
5665 McClelland Dr Apt 220 Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 1.5 870 $950 $1.09 14d 1 1.30mi
5665 McClelland Dr Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.0 775 $825 $1.06 23d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,000 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $55,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $55,000 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,000 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $55,000 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,000 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 12 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 11 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 10 DOM
  16. 2026-05-20
    listed $55,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (192 chars)

    Home is in need of repairs and offers great investment potential. Seller has limited knowledge of the property and is selling "as is". House is 1/12 houses being sold of a portfolio.

  17. 2026-05-20
    listed $55,000 Active 192-char remark
    Show marketing remark (192 chars)

    Home is in need of repairs and offers great investment potential. Seller has limited knowledge of the property and is selling "as is". House is 1/12 houses being sold of a portfolio.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$249 · $21/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$302 · $25/mo
Expected delta
+$53/yr (+$4/mo · 21.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,645
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$249
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$852
− Management
−$852
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$3,736
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$897
After-tax cash flow
$3,527/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Baton Rouge Parish
NCES district ID
2200540
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -36.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -31.00%
Median HH income
$46,263
Composite
24.14/100
National rank
#7745
State rank
#47 of 98 in LA

Livability — Merrydale

Score
58/100
State rank
#301
US rank
#21115

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Merrydale, LA
City population
11,124
Population (ZIP)
11,124

Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
464,810 people
By 2030
472,137 · +1.6%
By 2040
480,243 · +3.3%
By 2050
484,422 · +4.2%
By 2075
492,069 · +5.9%
By 2100
476,347 · +2.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (97%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 97% Hispanic / Latino 2% White 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge

2024 margin
D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
+8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.93%
Current HPI
174.6882
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $55,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $55,000 GBRMLS

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $249 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…