8622 Goodfellow Blvd · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Attention investors! Don’t miss this opportunity to add a cash-flowing asset to your portfolio. Located at 8622 Goodfellow Blvd. , this tenant-occupied 4-bed/2-bath offers immediate rental income from day one with an established occupant already in place. This property features a functional layout, strong rental demand, and a convenient location with easy access to major highways, public transportation, schools, and local amenities. Whether you’re a seasoned investor looking to expand your holdings or a first-time investor seeking a performing rental property, this home presents an excellent opportunity to generate consistent income.
Key facts
- Strong rental demand
- Functional layout
- Convenient location
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected (Ameren); Natural gas connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Two levels
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Back yard
Interior
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms total; Two bedrooms on the main level; Two bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total; One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom on the upper level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Seven total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $286 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Herzog Elem. (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,072 of 1,115 statewide, top 98%, 247 students, 99% FRL); Vashon High (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #520 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 568 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.42%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $67,392
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5811 Helen Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 806 (-7%) | 0mo | $29,900 | $37 | 65 |
| 2031 Hildred Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 900 (+4%) | 10mo | $124,900 | $139 | 60 |
| 2068 Wedgewood Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 834 (-4%) | 12mo | $110,000 | $132 | 52 |
| 6104 N Pointe Blvd | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 955 (+10%) | 10mo | $84,900 | $89 | 51 |
| 5617 Janet Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 909 (+5%) | 4mo | $39,900 | $44 | 50 |
| 8607 Henry St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 933 (+8%) | 12mo | $49,000 | $53 | 50 |
| 2056 Coleridge Dr | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 949 (+10%) | 7mo | $99,900 | $105 | 48 |
| 2412 Shirley Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 900 (+4%) | 9mo | $70,000 | $78 | 48 |
| 7008 Paisley Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 902 (+4%) | 9mo | $90,000 | $100 | 47 |
| 2060 Coleridge Dr | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 966 (+12%) | 14mo | $75,000 | $78 | 39 |
| 5571 Era Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+11%) | 15mo | $12,900 | $13 | 34 |
| 8572 Oriole Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-11%) | 15mo | $34,999 | $46 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-2,921
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $20,632
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63147
- Home prices YoY
- -31.4%
- Active inventory
- 57
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,332 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $377/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $286
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8527 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 976 | $1,295 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 5932 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,373 | $1.27 | 20d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 8548 Drury Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1107 | $1,420 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2056 Coleridge Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 949 | $1,195 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 5574 Era Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,400 | $1.65 | 12d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5637 Jennings Station Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $895 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2415 Shirley Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,450 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2427 Switzer Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,300 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 7205 Calvin Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $750 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2527 Switzer Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,135 | $1.28 | 16d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 7 Lamar Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,200 | $1.34 | 18d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2546 Main St Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,269 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 5361 Wilborn Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,420 | $1.58 | 18d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5347 Janet Ave Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 893 | $1,350 | $1.51 | 16d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 7315 Albright Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,150 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2623 Avie Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 921 | $1,350 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5936 Theodore Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,350 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1225 Newark Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 944 | $1,400 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 7441 Calvin Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,350 | $1.26 | 12d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5225 Fletcher St Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 918 | $1,295 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 641-char remark
-
2026-06-13$129,900 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $377 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,260 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$883/yr (+$74/mo · 234.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,985
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$377
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,279
- − Management
- −$1,279
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $1,345
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$323
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,104/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,173
- Household income
- $41,182
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 418.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 92% White 5% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.51%
- Current HPI
- 84.224
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+899.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $129,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-07 Price Changed $130,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-19 Listed $135,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-10 Rental Removed $1,250 SHOWMOJO
- 2024-10-31 Price Changed $1,250 SHOWMOJO
- 2024-10-05 Listed for Rent $1,450 SHOWMOJO
- 2024-02-21 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2023-12-05 Price Changed $135,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-31 Price Changed $140,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-23 Listed $145,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-30 Price Changed $54,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-10-29 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-07-10 Listed $13,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-12-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-3.6%/yrLatest (2024): $377 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…