94 Oakwood Ave · Elmira Heights, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.3/30.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CUTE BUNGALOW IN ELMIRA HEIGHTS, 2 FULL BATHS 1ST FLOOR LAUNDRY ROOM, MODERN KITCHEN, COVERED FRONT PORCH, CERAMIC TILE NICE YARD, TAKE A LOOK
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Move in ready
- Brand new metal roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is rectangular, near public transit, road frontage on a main thoroughfare
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener; One garage space
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electrical
- Home design: One-story property; Resale condition
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal and shingle roof; Stone foundation; Existing year built
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Covered porch; Shed(s)/additional storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Laminate; Varies
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Baseboard heating; Wall cooling unit(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Separate/formal living room; Galley kitchen; Walk-in pantry; Low-threshold shower
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-68 ($-812/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $113k (9.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (9.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $113k (9.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#338 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Elmira Heights Central School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #496 of 590 in NY (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $125k implies a 152% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.32%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $122,404
- List price
- $124,900
- Delta
- 2.04%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 240 Kingsbury Ave | 0.20mi | 2/1.5 | 979 (-4%) | 13mo | $120,000 | $123 | 71 |
| 104 E Mccanns Blvd | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (-2%) | 11mo | $97,000 | $97 | 68 |
| 213 Chapman Pl | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 1,134 (+11%) | 17mo | $125,000 | $110 | 57 |
| 275 W 10th St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-6%) | 6mo | $90,000 | $94 | 56 |
| 109 Garfield St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (-9%) | 11mo | $89,900 | $96 | 55 |
| 445 Braden | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 1,091 (+6%) | 18mo | $85,000 | $78 | 52 |
| 103 Hope St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,140 (+11%) | 6mo | $127,200 | $112 | 51 |
| 128 Lynwood Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 945 (-8%) | 19mo | $122,000 | $129 | 51 |
| 271 W 14th St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,064 (+4%) | 8mo | $76,000 | $71 | 46 |
| 266 W 12th St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 986 (-4%) | 20mo | $87,550 | $89 | 46 |
| 220 W 12th | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,144 (+12%) | 10mo | $141,500 | $124 | 38 |
| 448 Braden | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,160 (+13%) | 18mo | $95,000 | $82 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.8% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $16,183
- Equity at exit
- $61,869
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.64×
- Total profit
- $57,361
- Equity at exit
- $100,047
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14903
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 27
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,135 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$257 /mo · $3,090/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $-68
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3 | -5% $-32 | +0% $-68 | +5% $-103 | +10% $-138 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-157 | -5% $-112 | +0% $-68 | +5% $-23 | +10% $22 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-5 | -0.5pp $-36 | base $-68 | +0.5pp $-100 | +1.0pp $-133 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200-202 Robinwood Ave Elmira Heights, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $995 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 263 W 13th St Unit Lower Elmira Heights, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,241 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2146 College Ave Unit 2C Loft Elmira, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,145 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 258 E 14th St Elmira, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1056 Walnut St Unit 4 Elmira, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $995 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 970 Scio St Elmira, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 911 | $1,200 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $124,900 Pending 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $124,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $124,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-10$124,900 Active 1292-char remark
-
2005-10-11soldstatus $49,500
-
2005-10-06soldstatus $49,500 142-char remark
Show marketing remark (142 chars)
CUTE BUNGALOW IN ELMIRA HEIGHTS, 2 FULL BATHS 1ST FLOOR LAUNDRY ROOM, MODERN KITCHEN, COVERED FRONT PORCH, CERAMIC TILE NICE YARD, TAKE A LOOK
-
2005-05-02$52,900 142-char remark
Show marketing remark (142 chars)
CUTE BUNGALOW IN ELMIRA HEIGHTS, 2 FULL BATHS 1ST FLOOR LAUNDRY ROOM, MODERN KITCHEN, COVERED FRONT PORCH, CERAMIC TILE NICE YARD, TAKE A LOOK
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,090 · $257/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,090 · $257/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,623
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$3,090
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,090
- − Management
- −$1,090
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable loss
- −$2,901
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$696
- After-tax cash flow
- $-116/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elmira Heights Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3610590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,753
- Composite
- 35.85/100
- National rank
- #4821
- State rank
- #496 of 590 in NY
Livability — Elmira Heights
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #338
- US rank
- #5747
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elmira Heights, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,140
Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,931 people
- By 2030
- 80,356 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 74,745 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 69,012 · -16.8%
- By 2075
- 55,689 · -32.8%
- By 2100
- 41,428 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chemung
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- Current HPI
- 234.7884
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+136.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-10 Listed $124,900 UNYREIS
- 2005-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
- 2005-10-06 Sold (MLS) $49,500 UNYREIS
- 2005-05-02 Listed $52,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+9.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,090 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…