Duplex
2228 E 30th St · Lorain, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.7/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Solid investment opportunity with built-in income! This duplex offers two occupied units, each with 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. A great option for investors looking to add to their portfolio, or for buyers who want to live in one unit while renting the other to help pay the mortgage.
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1900
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $905 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $452/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 5.7% in Lorain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#595 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, health & safety D.
- Lorain City (suburban): math 13% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #633 of 656 in OH (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,233/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 1140% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $125k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.02%
- DSCR
- 2.38
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $134,672
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -7.18%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2374 E 37th St | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 | 1,792 (-2%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $81 | 65 |
| 2323/2325 Homewood Dr | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 1,792 (-2%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $75 | 65 |
| 2315/2317 Homewood Dr | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 1,792 (-2%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $70 | 63 |
| 3934 Gary Ave | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 1,792 (-2%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $78 | 62 |
| 3756 Palm Ave | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 | 1,792 (-2%) | 11mo | $120,000 | $67 | 59 |
| 3884 Gary Ave | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 | 1,792 (-2%) | 9mo | $145,000 | $81 | 58 |
| 2224 E 31st St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,569 (-14%) | 18mo | $100,000 | $64 | 47 |
| 1923 E 34th St | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 1,680 (-8%) | 21mo | $145,000 | $86 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $37,391
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 33.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.05×
- Total profit
- $106,875
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44055
- Home prices YoY
- -30.5%
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,233 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$152 /mo · $1,822/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$469
- Net cashflow
- $905
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $975 | -5% $940 | +0% $905 | +5% $869 | +10% $834 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $728 | -5% $816 | +0% $905 | +5% $993 | +10% $1,081 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $968 | -0.5pp $936 | base $905 | +0.5pp $872 | +1.0pp $839 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $2,232 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,116 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,116 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,233 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1813 E 30th St Lorain, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,450 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1763 E 36th St Lorain, OH | 5.0 | 1.5 | 2000 | $1,895 | $0.95 | 3d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1639 E 31st St Unit 1637 Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18status $125,000 Pending 55 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Contingent 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Contingent 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Contingent 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Contingent 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Contingent 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $125,000 Contingent 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 308-char remark
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2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-30status Active 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Solid investment opportunity with built-in income! This duplex offers two occupied units, each with 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. A great option for investors looking to add to their portfolio, or for buyers who want to live in one unit while renting the other to help pay the mortgage.
-
2026-04-06status Pending 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Solid investment opportunity with built-in income! This duplex offers two occupied units, each with 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. A great option for investors looking to add to their portfolio, or for buyers who want to live in one unit while renting the other to help pay the mortgage.
-
2026-03-31$125,000 Active 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Solid investment opportunity with built-in income! This duplex offers two occupied units, each with 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. A great option for investors looking to add to their portfolio, or for buyers who want to live in one unit while renting the other to help pay the mortgage.
-
2021-12-02soldstatus $72,000
-
2020-05-13historical
-
2020-04-13status Active
-
2020-04-09historical
-
2020-01-09status Active
-
2020-01-09price $69,000
-
2020-01-08historical
-
2019-07-08$79,900 Active
-
2008-05-12historical
-
2007-08-11$89,900
-
2004-07-28soldstatus $76,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,822 · $152/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,886 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- +$64/yr (+$5/mo · 3.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,796
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,822
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,144
- − Management
- −$2,144
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $9,423
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,262
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,594/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lorain City
- NCES district ID
- 3904426
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,823
- Composite
- 15.81/100
- National rank
- #9266
- State rank
- #633 of 656 in OH
Livability — Lorain
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #595
- US rank
- #10183
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lorain, OH
- County
- Lorain County · 219,437 people
- City population
- 69,409
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,043
- Household income
- $40,636
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1140.0
Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,924 people
- By 2030
- 317,546 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 317,962 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 312,872 · -0.7%
- By 2075
- 301,806 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 278,271 · -11.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 24% Black 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 27%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 23%
Political lean MEDSL · Lorain
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.26%
- Current HPI
- 180.9309
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+64.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-06 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-03-31 Listed $125,000 MLSNOW
- 2021-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 2020-05-13 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2020-04-13 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2020-04-09 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2020-01-09 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2020-01-09 Price Changed $69,000 MLSNOW
- 2020-01-08 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2019-07-08 Listed $79,900 MLSNOW
- 2008-05-12 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2007-08-11 Listed $89,900 MLSNOW
- 2004-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,822 · -4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…