1834 Victoria Ave · North Chicago, IL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.96%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
$135,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SINGLE FAMILY HOME SOLD AS-IS AND READY FOR A NEW FAMILY. THIS HOME IS OFFERED WITH A MOTIVATED SELLER. THIS IS NOT A BANK SHORT SALE OR FORECLOSURE. GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR OWNERSHIP AT THIS PRICE. VACANT AND EASY TO SHOW. PLEASE INSPECT PRIOR TO SUBMITTING AN OFFER SINCE WE ARE SELLING "AS-IS". NO SURVEY. DISCLOSURES UNDER ADDITIONAL DOCUMENTS. AGENT HAS AN OWNERSHIP INTEREST IN THE PROPERTY.
Key facts
- 3,125 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1915
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $136k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $84 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $136k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.7% in North Chicago — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#95 in IL, #1,536 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- North Chicago SD 187 (suburban): math 8% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #574 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.6%/yr); year-one equity from $940 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.40%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $188,983
- List price
- $135,900
- Delta
- -28.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1819 Victoria Ave | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,071 (-2%) | 9mo | $240,500 | $225 | 81 |
| 803 Broadway Ave | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 990 (-10%) | 2mo | $218,000 | $220 | 75 |
| 1738 Seymour Ave | 0.33mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,125 (+3%) | 1mo | $276,000 | $245 | 72 |
| 1646 Victoria Ave | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,031 (-6%) | 12mo | $250,000 | $242 | 66 |
| 1535 Glenn Dr | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,192 (+9%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $122 | 61 |
| 2218 Kristan Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,080 (-1%) | 6mo | $205,000 | $190 | 58 |
| 1306 Park Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,145 (+5%) | 14mo | $175,000 | $153 | 48 |
| 1449 Kristan Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (-10%) | 9mo | $279,900 | $283 | 45 |
| 1511 14th St | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,176 (+8%) | 6mo | $280,000 | $238 | 42 |
| 1521 Seymour Ave | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,230 (+12%) | 6mo | $310,000 | $252 | 42 |
| 1431 Elizabeth Ave | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,258 (+15%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $175 | 39 |
| 1419 Seymour Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 975 (-11%) | 15mo | $283,000 | $290 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.61% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-8,360
- Equity at exit
- $28,888
- IRR
- 2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $7,850
- Equity at exit
- $27,110
Cash invested: $38,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60064
- Home prices YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,686 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$713
- Tax from tax record
- −$424 /mo · $5,083/yr
- Insurance
- −$57
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $84
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $161 | -5% $122 | +0% $84 | +5% $45 | +10% $7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-49 | -5% $17 | +0% $84 | +5% $150 | +10% $217 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $152 | -0.5pp $118 | base $84 | +0.5pp $49 | +1.0pp $13 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,975
- Closing costs
- $4,077
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1634 Victoria Ave North Chicago, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1182 | $1,600 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2403 24th St North Chicago, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $1,695 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2506 24th Pl North Chicago, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,825 | $1.35 | 0d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1724 Green Bay Rd North Chicago, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,875 | $1.95 | 8d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1724 Green Bay Rd North Chicago, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,875 | $1.95 | 11d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-20price $135,900 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
SINGLE FAMILY HOME SOLD AS-IS AND READY FOR A NEW FAMILY. THIS HOME IS OFFERED WITH A MOTIVATED SELLER. THIS IS NOT A BANK SHORT SALE OR FORECLOSURE. GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR OWNERSHIP AT THIS PRICE. VACANT AND EASY TO SHOW. PLEASE INSPECT PRIOR TO SUBMITTING AN OFFER SINCE WE ARE SELLING "AS-IS". NO SURVEY. DISCLOSURES UNDER ADDITIONAL DOCUMENTS. AGENT HAS AN OWNERSHIP INTEREST IN THE PROPERTY.
-
2026-04-07status Active 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
SINGLE FAMILY HOME SOLD AS-IS AND READY FOR A NEW FAMILY. THIS HOME IS OFFERED WITH A MOTIVATED SELLER. THIS IS NOT A BANK SHORT SALE OR FORECLOSURE. GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR OWNERSHIP AT THIS PRICE. VACANT AND EASY TO SHOW. PLEASE INSPECT PRIOR TO SUBMITTING AN OFFER SINCE WE ARE SELLING "AS-IS". NO SURVEY. DISCLOSURES UNDER ADDITIONAL DOCUMENTS. AGENT HAS AN OWNERSHIP INTEREST IN THE PROPERTY.
-
2026-04-07status Pending 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
SINGLE FAMILY HOME SOLD AS-IS AND READY FOR A NEW FAMILY. THIS HOME IS OFFERED WITH A MOTIVATED SELLER. THIS IS NOT A BANK SHORT SALE OR FORECLOSURE. GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR OWNERSHIP AT THIS PRICE. VACANT AND EASY TO SHOW. PLEASE INSPECT PRIOR TO SUBMITTING AN OFFER SINCE WE ARE SELLING "AS-IS". NO SURVEY. DISCLOSURES UNDER ADDITIONAL DOCUMENTS. AGENT HAS AN OWNERSHIP INTEREST IN THE PROPERTY.
-
2026-04-06status Active 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
SINGLE FAMILY HOME SOLD AS-IS AND READY FOR A NEW FAMILY. THIS HOME IS OFFERED WITH A MOTIVATED SELLER. THIS IS NOT A BANK SHORT SALE OR FORECLOSURE. GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR OWNERSHIP AT THIS PRICE. VACANT AND EASY TO SHOW. PLEASE INSPECT PRIOR TO SUBMITTING AN OFFER SINCE WE ARE SELLING "AS-IS". NO SURVEY. DISCLOSURES UNDER ADDITIONAL DOCUMENTS. AGENT HAS AN OWNERSHIP INTEREST IN THE PROPERTY.
-
2026-04-02status Pending 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
SINGLE FAMILY HOME SOLD AS-IS AND READY FOR A NEW FAMILY. THIS HOME IS OFFERED WITH A MOTIVATED SELLER. THIS IS NOT A BANK SHORT SALE OR FORECLOSURE. GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR OWNERSHIP AT THIS PRICE. VACANT AND EASY TO SHOW. PLEASE INSPECT PRIOR TO SUBMITTING AN OFFER SINCE WE ARE SELLING "AS-IS". NO SURVEY. DISCLOSURES UNDER ADDITIONAL DOCUMENTS. AGENT HAS AN OWNERSHIP INTEREST IN THE PROPERTY.
-
2026-03-30$149,900 Active 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
SINGLE FAMILY HOME SOLD AS-IS AND READY FOR A NEW FAMILY. THIS HOME IS OFFERED WITH A MOTIVATED SELLER. THIS IS NOT A BANK SHORT SALE OR FORECLOSURE. GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR OWNERSHIP AT THIS PRICE. VACANT AND EASY TO SHOW. PLEASE INSPECT PRIOR TO SUBMITTING AN OFFER SINCE WE ARE SELLING "AS-IS". NO SURVEY. DISCLOSURES UNDER ADDITIONAL DOCUMENTS. AGENT HAS AN OWNERSHIP INTEREST IN THE PROPERTY.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,083 · $424/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,083 · $424/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,237
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,613
- − Property taxes
- −$5,083
- − Insurance
- −$1,346
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,619
- − Management
- −$1,619
- − Depreciation
- −$3,953
- Taxable loss
- −$996
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$239
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,245/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Chicago SD 187
- NCES district ID
- 1700110
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,812
- Composite
- 9.05/100
- National rank
- #9873
- State rank
- #574 of 620 in IL
Livability — North Chicago
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #95
- US rank
- #1536
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Chicago, IL
- City population
- 29,316
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,047
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 700,217 people
- By 2030
- 693,290 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 673,588 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 643,556 · -8.1%
- By 2075
- 562,792 · -19.6%
- By 2100
- 457,715 · -34.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 54% Black 30% Two or more races 19% White 11% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 47% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% British 1% American 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 47% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.8) · D 59.7% · R 38.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.1pp toward D · 2008: 19.6pp · 2024: 20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.8 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+20.3 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.61%
- Current HPI
- 233.6178
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-9.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $135,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-07 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-07 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-06 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-30 Listed $149,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2024): $5,083 · +12.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…