888 7th St #330 · San Francisco, CA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 78°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.7/30.0
- Appreciation +7.4/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$450,762
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1-bedroom Below Market Rate (BMR) housing opportunity available at 100% Area Median Income (AMI). Maximum income for 1 person = $104,900, 2 = $119,900; 3 = $134,850; 4 = $149,850, etc. Must be 1st-time homebuyer & income eligible. Unit available thru the Mayor's Office of Housing and Community Development (MOHCD) & subject to resale controls, monitoring & other restrictions. The unit will be available on a first come first served basis starting on 5/27/2025 at 8:00 AM PST. Please visit https://housing. sfgov.org/listings/a0W7y000004ZnoLEAS to view the listing and for application & program info. Fair Housing Opportunity.
Key facts
- $550 HOA
- Garage
- Built 2007
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $451k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-131 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $428k (5.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $427k (5.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $397k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+18.9%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $25k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
- San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 436 days — a 12% lower offer ($397k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 436 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.24%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $550,044
- List price
- $450,762
- Delta
- -18.05%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
4.81% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $113,542
- Equity at exit
- $250,236
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.23×
- Total profit
- $407,627
- Equity at exit
- $427,629
Cash invested: $126,213 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City San Francisco
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
ZIP-level market 94107
- Home prices YoY
- 2.6%
- Rents YoY
- 18.9%
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,271 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,364
- Tax from tax record
- −$403 /mo · $4,839/yr
- Insurance
- −$188
- HOA
- −$550
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$897
- Net cashflow
- $-131
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $124 | -5% $-3 | +0% $-131 | +5% $-258 | +10% $-386 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-468 | -5% $-300 | +0% $-131 | +5% $38 | +10% $207 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $96 | -0.5pp $-16 | base $-131 | +0.5pp $-248 | +1.0pp $-366 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $112,690
- Closing costs
- $13,523
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Henry Adams St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 873 | $6,587 | $7.54 | 2d | 3 | 0.15mi |
| 855 Brannan St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 958 | $5,133 | $5.36 | 2d | 5 | 0.23mi |
| 291 15th St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $2,695 | $4.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 360 Berry St San Francisco, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 842 | $4,512 | $5.36 | 2d | 4 | 0.29mi |
| 355 Berry St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 707 | $4,968 | $7.02 | 2d | 4 | 0.29mi |
| 1010 16th St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 963 | $4,816 | $5.00 | 3d | 8 | 0.30mi |
| 88 Arkansas St #105 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 604 | $4,000 | $6.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 975 Bryant St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 697 | $4,814 | $6.91 | 2d | 10 | 0.35mi |
| 673 Brannan St San Francisco, CA | 1.0–5.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1302 | $3,912 | $3.00 | 2d | 2 | 0.36mi |
| 300 Berry St #907 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 732 | $5,000 | $6.83 | 8d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 451 Kansas St #375 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 661 | $4,350 | $6.58 | 19d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1222 Harrison St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 853 | $4,798 | $5.62 | 3d | 34 | 0.52mi |
| 1201 4th St Unit 1297791P San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $6,148 | $8.29 | 16d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1155 4th St San Francisco, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 864 | $5,360 | $6.20 | 3d | 4 | 0.59mi |
| 255 King St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1228 | $5,620 | $4.58 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 99 Rausch St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 655 | $4,250 | $6.49 | 25d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 84 Harriet St Unit A San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 718 | $3,295 | $4.59 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1532 Harrison St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 617 | $3,984 | $6.46 | 3d | 11 | 0.66mi |
| 900 Folsom St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 863 | $5,020 | $5.82 | 3d | 24 | 0.71mi |
| 555 Bryant St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 687 | $5,220 | $7.60 | 2d | 10 | 0.72mi |
| 1023 3rd St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 743 | $7,675 | $10.33 | 2d | 13 | 0.74mi |
| 601 Tennessee St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 426 | $3,695 | $8.67 | 44d | 2 | 0.74mi |
| 400 Clementina St #1449 San Francisco, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $3,970 | $5.12 | 2d | 2 | 0.75mi |
| 603 Natoma St Apt 406 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 556 | $2,950 | $5.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 603 Tennessee St Unit 202 San Francisco, CA | — | 1.0 | 482 | $3,995 | $8.29 | 8d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1288 Howard St #1908 San Francisco, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 782 | $4,190 | $5.35 | 2d | 2 | 0.77mi |
| 829 Folsom St #408 San Francisco, CA | — | 1.0 | 495 | $2,860 | $5.78 | 16d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2823 18th St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 519 | $4,718 | $9.08 | 3d | 4 | 0.78mi |
| 1288 Howard St #604 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 431 | $3,400 | $7.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 821 Folsom St #401 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $3,650 | $5.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2121 3rd St San Francisco, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 774 | $6,103 | $7.89 | 2d | 4 | 0.85mi |
| 1188 Mission St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 448 | $3,269 | $7.29 | 2d | 17 | 0.85mi |
| 1190 Mission St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 508 | $3,136 | $6.17 | 2d | 5 | 0.86mi |
| 434 Minna St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 719 | $5,246 | $7.29 | 2d | 15 | 0.86mi |
| 33 8th St San Francisco, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 646 | $3,744 | $5.79 | 3d | 10 | 0.90mi |
| 800 Indiana St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 952 | $5,434 | $5.71 | 0d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 570 Jessie St San Francisco, CA | — | 1.0 | 430 | $2,495 | $5.80 | 3d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 55 9th St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 861 | $4,430 | $5.14 | 3d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1395 22nd St San Francisco, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 772 | $5,123 | $6.64 | 0d | 3 | 0.93mi |
| 2874 16th St Unit 2872A San Francisco, CA | — | 1.0 | 400 | $2,450 | $6.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $550 · $6,600/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $450,762 Active 436 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $450,762 Active 433 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $450,762 Active 432 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $450,762 Active 431 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $450,762 Active 430 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $450,762 Active 428 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $450,762 Active 427 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $450,762 Active 424 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $450,762 Active 423 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $450,762 Active 422 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $450,762 Active 419 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $450,762 Active 418 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $450,762 Active 417 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $450,762 Active 416 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $450,762 Active 415 DOM
-
2025-04-11$450,762 Active 654-char remark
Show marketing remark (654 chars)
1-bedroom Below Market Rate (BMR) housing opportunity available at 100% Area Median Income (AMI). Maximum income for 1 person = $104,900, 2 = $119,900; 3 = $134,850; 4 = $149,850, etc. Must be 1st-time homebuyer & income eligible. Unit available thru the Mayor's Office of Housing and Community Development (MOHCD) & subject to resale controls, monitoring & other restrictions. The unit will be available on a first come first served basis starting on 5/27/2025 at 8:00 AM PST. Please visit https://housing. sfgov.org/listings/a0W7y000004ZnoLEAS to view the listing and for application & program info. Fair Housing Opportunity.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,839 · $403/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,839 · $403/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥78°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $51,252
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,250
- − Property taxes
- −$4,839
- − Insurance
- −$2,254
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,100
- − Management
- −$4,100
- − HOA
- −$6,600
- − Depreciation
- −$13,113
- Taxable loss
- −$9,004
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,161
- After-tax cash flow
- $591/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Francisco Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634410
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,249
- Composite
- 50.14/100
- National rank
- #4088
- State rank
- #322 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Francisco
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3143
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Francisco, CA
- County
- San Francisco County · 827,552 people
- City population
- 827,552
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,823
- Household income
- $182,897
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1851.0
Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,030,936 people
- By 2030
- 1,110,409 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,270,010 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 1,435,001 · +39.2%
- By 2075
- 1,779,074 · +72.6%
- By 2100
- 1,966,767 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Asian 32% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 12% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 36% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Chinese 12% Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.81%
- Current HPI
- 192.3569
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 18.89%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-04-11 Listed $450,762 San Francisco MLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,839 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…