555 Kentucky St · Gary, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.4/10.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
$39,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom 1 bath home. Investor home, Rehab needed.
Key facts
- 5,009 sq ft lot
- Built 1924
- Listed 5 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $851 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Cap rate 31.8% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,434/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 336% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 31.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 91.23%
- DSCR
- 5.06
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $39,168
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 655 Vermont St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (-6%) | 13mo | $36,500 | $34 | 72 |
| 647 Vermont St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-4%) | 13mo | $36,500 | $33 | 70 |
| 713 Maryland St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,232 (+7%) | 4mo | $25,000 | $20 | 59 |
| 720 Maryland St | 0.47mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,316 (+14%) | 1mo | $169,900 | $129 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 92.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.27×
- Total profit
- $47,764
- Equity at exit
- $5,963
- IRR
- 94.8%
- Equity multiple
- 10.96×
- Total profit
- $111,508
- Equity at exit
- $3,458
Cash invested: $11,197 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46402
- Home prices YoY
- -2.8%
- Active inventory
- 46
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,434 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $659/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$301
- Net cashflow
- $851
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,998
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1030 E 6th Ave Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 1d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 844 Tennessee St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 672 Connecticut St Apt 1S Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1247 | $875 | $0.70 | 15d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1329 Delaware St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1316 Delaware St Unit 2 Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 20d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 501 Madison St Gary, IN | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0 | 883 | $1,362 | $1.54 | 1d | 11 | 0.97mi |
| 1843 Illinois St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,200 | $1.66 | 16d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2025 Central Dr Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,550 | $1.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2061 Maryland St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $950 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2257 Central Dr Gary, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,650 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2022 Massachusetts St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 965 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 1d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-04-28historical Active Under Contract 51-char remark
Show marketing remark (51 chars)
3 bedroom 1 bath home. Investor home, Rehab needed.
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-22$39,990 Active 51-char remark
Show marketing remark (51 chars)
3 bedroom 1 bath home. Investor home, Rehab needed.
-
2026-04-21$39,990 Active
-
2024-01-16soldstatus $70,000 Closed 396-char remark
Show marketing remark (396 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER!!! Come see this move-in ready large 2 Story Home. Updates and upgrades have been made throughout the home and many areas have been freshly painted. The roof is approximately 3 years old and there is more than plenty storage. The home was pleasantly taken care of and yet, has so much potential. Seconds from RT 20 and minutes from I-65. (LOW TAXES)!! Definitely worth a showing.
-
2023-11-21historical Active Under Contract 396-char remark
Show marketing remark (396 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER!!! Come see this move-in ready large 2 Story Home. Updates and upgrades have been made throughout the home and many areas have been freshly painted. The roof is approximately 3 years old and there is more than plenty storage. The home was pleasantly taken care of and yet, has so much potential. Seconds from RT 20 and minutes from I-65. (LOW TAXES)!! Definitely worth a showing.
-
2023-09-06price $78,000 396-char remark
Show marketing remark (396 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER!!! Come see this move-in ready large 2 Story Home. Updates and upgrades have been made throughout the home and many areas have been freshly painted. The roof is approximately 3 years old and there is more than plenty storage. The home was pleasantly taken care of and yet, has so much potential. Seconds from RT 20 and minutes from I-65. (LOW TAXES)!! Definitely worth a showing.
-
2023-07-14price $85,000 396-char remark
Show marketing remark (396 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER!!! Come see this move-in ready large 2 Story Home. Updates and upgrades have been made throughout the home and many areas have been freshly painted. The roof is approximately 3 years old and there is more than plenty storage. The home was pleasantly taken care of and yet, has so much potential. Seconds from RT 20 and minutes from I-65. (LOW TAXES)!! Definitely worth a showing.
-
2023-02-21price $95,000 396-char remark
Show marketing remark (396 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER!!! Come see this move-in ready large 2 Story Home. Updates and upgrades have been made throughout the home and many areas have been freshly painted. The roof is approximately 3 years old and there is more than plenty storage. The home was pleasantly taken care of and yet, has so much potential. Seconds from RT 20 and minutes from I-65. (LOW TAXES)!! Definitely worth a showing.
-
2022-10-26price $104,900 396-char remark
Show marketing remark (396 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER!!! Come see this move-in ready large 2 Story Home. Updates and upgrades have been made throughout the home and many areas have been freshly painted. The roof is approximately 3 years old and there is more than plenty storage. The home was pleasantly taken care of and yet, has so much potential. Seconds from RT 20 and minutes from I-65. (LOW TAXES)!! Definitely worth a showing.
-
2022-09-09$109,900 Active 396-char remark
Show marketing remark (396 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER!!! Come see this move-in ready large 2 Story Home. Updates and upgrades have been made throughout the home and many areas have been freshly painted. The roof is approximately 3 years old and there is more than plenty storage. The home was pleasantly taken care of and yet, has so much potential. Seconds from RT 20 and minutes from I-65. (LOW TAXES)!! Definitely worth a showing.
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2022-09-01historical
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2022-06-30price $60,000
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2022-06-14status Active
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2022-06-09status Pending
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2022-06-02$63,500 Active
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2019-12-24soldstatus $10,777
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2019-09-14$13,900
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2007-01-26historical
-
2006-10-24$69,900
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2006-08-02historical
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2006-05-01$72,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $659 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $659 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,204
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,240
- − Property taxes
- −$659
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,376
- − Management
- −$1,376
- − Depreciation
- −$1,163
- Taxable income
- $10,189
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,445
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,770/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gary Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803870
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,739
- Composite
- 4.98/100
- National rank
- #10039
- State rank
- #299 of 301 in IN
Livability — Gary
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #5592
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gary, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 63,701
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,836
- Household income
- $33,529
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 336.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 87% Two or more races 5% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Ukrainian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.21%
- Current HPI
- 250.2464
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
-44.5% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Contingent — IRMLS
- 2026-04-27 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Listed $39,990 IRMLS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $39,990 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-16 Sold (MLS) $70,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-21 Contingent — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-06 Price Changed $78,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-14 Price Changed $85,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-21 Price Changed $95,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-26 Price Changed $104,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-09 Listed $109,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-01 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-30 Price Changed $60,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-14 Relisted — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-09 Pending — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-02 Listed $63,500 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-12-24 Sold (MLS) $10,777 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-14 Listed $13,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-01-26 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-10-24 Listed $69,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-08-02 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-05-01 Listed $72,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-0.8%/yrLatest (2024): $659 · +43.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…