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555 Kentucky St
B- Composite 67.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.6/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.4/10.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0

$39,990

555 Kentucky St · Gary, IN 46402
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1924 5,009 sqft lot Est $39k · at est. ↓ 44% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom 1 bath home. Investor home, Rehab needed.

Key facts

  • 5,009 sq ft lot
  • Built 1924
  • Listed 5 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $851 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Cap rate 31.8% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,434/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 336% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 8 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $39,990

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.59%
Cap rate
31.84%
Cash-on-cash
91.23%
DSCR
5.06
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$39,168
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
655 Vermont St 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,080 (-6%) 13mo $36,500 $34 72
647 Vermont St 0.13mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,100 (-4%) 13mo $36,500 $33 70
713 Maryland St 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,232 (+7%) 4mo $25,000 $20 59
720 Maryland St 0.47mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,316 (+14%) 1mo $169,900 $129 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
92.0%
Equity multiple
5.27×
Total profit
$47,764
Equity at exit
$5,963
10-year hold
IRR
94.8%
Equity multiple
10.96×
Total profit
$111,508
Equity at exit
$3,458

Cash invested: $11,197 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46402

Home prices YoY
-2.8%
Active inventory
46
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,434 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$210
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $659/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$851

Break-even live

Break-even rent $356
Max offer price $39,990
Occupancy floor 36%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,998
Closing costs
$1,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1030 E 6th Ave Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,600 $1.14 1d 1 0.05mi
844 Tennessee St Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,500 $1.50 43d 1 0.37mi
672 Connecticut St Apt 1S Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1247 $875 $0.70 15d 1 0.64mi
1329 Delaware St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.93mi
1316 Delaware St Unit 2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 20d 1 0.93mi
501 Madison St Gary, IN 1.0–4.0 1.0 883 $1,362 $1.54 1d 11 0.97mi
1843 Illinois St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 725 $1,200 $1.66 16d 1 1.22mi
2025 Central Dr Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 875 $1,550 $1.77 43d 1 1.38mi
2061 Maryland St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 975 $950 $0.97 43d 1 1.44mi
2257 Central Dr Gary, IN 4.0 2.0 1220 $1,650 $1.35 43d 1 1.48mi
2022 Massachusetts St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 965 $1,000 $1.04 1d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-04-28
    historical Active Under Contract 51-char remark
    Show marketing remark (51 chars)

    3 bedroom 1 bath home. Investor home, Rehab needed.

  2. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  3. 2026-04-22
    listed $39,990 Active 51-char remark
    Show marketing remark (51 chars)

    3 bedroom 1 bath home. Investor home, Rehab needed.

  4. 2026-04-21
    listed $39,990 Active
  5. 2024-01-16
    soldstatus $70,000 Closed 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLER!!! Come see this move-in ready large 2 Story Home. Updates and upgrades have been made throughout the home and many areas have been freshly painted. The roof is approximately 3 years old and there is more than plenty storage. The home was pleasantly taken care of and yet, has so much potential. Seconds from RT 20 and minutes from I-65. (LOW TAXES)!! Definitely worth a showing.

  6. 2023-11-21
    historical Active Under Contract 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLER!!! Come see this move-in ready large 2 Story Home. Updates and upgrades have been made throughout the home and many areas have been freshly painted. The roof is approximately 3 years old and there is more than plenty storage. The home was pleasantly taken care of and yet, has so much potential. Seconds from RT 20 and minutes from I-65. (LOW TAXES)!! Definitely worth a showing.

  7. 2023-09-06
    price $78,000 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLER!!! Come see this move-in ready large 2 Story Home. Updates and upgrades have been made throughout the home and many areas have been freshly painted. The roof is approximately 3 years old and there is more than plenty storage. The home was pleasantly taken care of and yet, has so much potential. Seconds from RT 20 and minutes from I-65. (LOW TAXES)!! Definitely worth a showing.

  8. 2023-07-14
    price $85,000 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLER!!! Come see this move-in ready large 2 Story Home. Updates and upgrades have been made throughout the home and many areas have been freshly painted. The roof is approximately 3 years old and there is more than plenty storage. The home was pleasantly taken care of and yet, has so much potential. Seconds from RT 20 and minutes from I-65. (LOW TAXES)!! Definitely worth a showing.

  9. 2023-02-21
    price $95,000 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLER!!! Come see this move-in ready large 2 Story Home. Updates and upgrades have been made throughout the home and many areas have been freshly painted. The roof is approximately 3 years old and there is more than plenty storage. The home was pleasantly taken care of and yet, has so much potential. Seconds from RT 20 and minutes from I-65. (LOW TAXES)!! Definitely worth a showing.

  10. 2022-10-26
    price $104,900 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLER!!! Come see this move-in ready large 2 Story Home. Updates and upgrades have been made throughout the home and many areas have been freshly painted. The roof is approximately 3 years old and there is more than plenty storage. The home was pleasantly taken care of and yet, has so much potential. Seconds from RT 20 and minutes from I-65. (LOW TAXES)!! Definitely worth a showing.

  11. 2022-09-09
    listed $109,900 Active 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLER!!! Come see this move-in ready large 2 Story Home. Updates and upgrades have been made throughout the home and many areas have been freshly painted. The roof is approximately 3 years old and there is more than plenty storage. The home was pleasantly taken care of and yet, has so much potential. Seconds from RT 20 and minutes from I-65. (LOW TAXES)!! Definitely worth a showing.

  12. 2022-09-01
    historical
  13. 2022-06-30
    price $60,000
  14. 2022-06-14
    status Active
  15. 2022-06-09
    status Pending
  16. 2022-06-02
    listed $63,500 Active
  17. 2019-12-24
    soldstatus $10,777
  18. 2019-09-14
    listed $13,900
  19. 2007-01-26
    historical
  20. 2006-10-24
    listed $69,900
  21. 2006-08-02
    historical
  22. 2006-05-01
    listed $72,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$659 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$659 · $55/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,204
− Mortgage interest
−$2,240
− Property taxes
−$659
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,376
− Management
−$1,376
− Depreciation
−$1,163
Taxable income
$10,189
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,445
After-tax cash flow
$7,770/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
63,701
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
5,836
Household income
$33,529
Rent vs Own
56.6% rent · 43.4% own
Severe rent burden
336.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (87%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 87% Two or more races 5% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Ukrainian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.21%
Current HPI
250.2464
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-44.5% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Contingent IRMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $39,990 IRMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $39,990 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-16 Sold (MLS) $70,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-21 Contingent NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-06 Price Changed $78,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-14 Price Changed $85,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-21 Price Changed $95,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-26 Price Changed $104,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-09 Listed $109,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-01 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-30 Price Changed $60,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-14 Relisted NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-09 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-02 Listed $63,500 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-12-24 Sold (MLS) $10,777 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-09-14 Listed $13,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-01-26 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-10-24 Listed $69,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-08-02 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-05-01 Listed $72,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $659 · +43.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…