609 Colorado Ave · Louisville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- ARV discount +4.1/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
**BACK ON MARKET & PRICED TO SELL!!SOLD AS IS. ENCLOSED FRONT PORCH, UNFINISHED BASEMENT WITH FULL BATH. STOVE & REFRIGERATOR TO REMAIN. GOOD SIZE LOT WITH COVERED BACK PATIO. 24 HOURS NOTICE TO SHOW. BETTER HURRY!!!
Key facts
- Vinyl flooring
- Bungalow
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: CHURCHILL
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with driveway (1 garage space)
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas available
- Home design: Bungalow-style single-family home; 2 stories; Built in 1929
- Construction: Shingle roof; Poured concrete foundation; Construction includes vinyl siding, wood frame, and brick
- Exterior features: Sidewalk on the lot; Lot is cleared and level; Privacy and chain-link fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor; Dining room on the first floor
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor; Total of 3 bedrooms (1 on first floor, 2 on second floor), plus additional finished basement bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Primary bathroom on the first floor; Full bathroom in the basement; 2 full bathrooms total
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas) and electric; Central air conditioning; One HVAC unit for heating and one for cooling
- Interior features: 10 rooms total (13 rooms listed in some sources); Partially finished basement; 4 closets
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in the basement (no first-floor laundry)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (1.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $172k (1.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,719/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 1136% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $175k implies a 237% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.20%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $162,712
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 742 Colorado Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,799 (-3%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $67 | 83 |
| 517 Compton St | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,921 (+4%) | 9mo | $161,430 | $84 | 82 |
| 717 Creel Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,996 (+8%) | 9mo | $170,000 | $85 | 68 |
| 514 Winkler Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,659 (-10%) | 1mo | $142,500 | $86 | 63 |
| 911 Winkler Ave | 0.27mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,834 (-1%) | 17mo | $211,000 | $115 | 63 |
| 415 Creel Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 | 1,978 (+7%) | 19mo | $175,000 | $88 | 62 |
| 617 Creel Ave | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,616 (-13%) | 8mo | $180,000 | $111 | 62 |
| 414 M St | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,998 (+8%) | 1mo | $144,100 | $72 | 61 |
| 716 Algonquin Pkwy | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,108 (+14%) | 6mo | $96,000 | $46 | 54 |
| 1721 S 4th St | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,700 (-8%) | 10mo | $268,000 | $158 | 44 |
| 1210 Lincoln Ave | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,700 (-8%) | 14mo | $207,000 | $122 | 43 |
| 1214 Central Ave | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (-9%) | 11mo | $224,000 | $133 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-4,241
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $44,003
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40208
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,719 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $885/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$361
- Net cashflow
- $294
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 516 Colorado Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,800 | $0.90 | 16d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 510 Colorado Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 2501 S 4th St Louisville, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 897 | $6,345 | $7.07 | 3d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1147 Lincoln Ave Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1323 | $1,295 | $0.98 | 3d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1161 Lincoln Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1358 | $1,150 | $0.85 | 16d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2718 S 3rd St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,800 | $1.40 | 12d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2711 S 3rd St Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,400 | $1.33 | 12d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2 Eutropia Ct Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $1,950 | $1.43 | 17d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1501 Bellamy Pl Louisville, KY | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1074 | $2,217 | $2.06 | 3d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1479 S 4th St Unit 2A Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2400 | $2,200 | $0.92 | 16d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3102 Grant Ave Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1603 | $1,595 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2125 Crittenden Dr Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,800 | $1.24 | 17d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1445 S 2nd St Unit 3 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,500 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1461 S 1st St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 20d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1390 S 1st St Unit 1390-1 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,350 | $0.93 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1382 S 1st St Unit 1382-10 Carriage House Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1375 S 1st St Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2470 | $2,400 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 523 Rawlings St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,495 | $1.15 | 12d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 310 W Kenton St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1295 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 717 Lynn St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1796 | $2,400 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1300 S 3rd St Unit LOFT Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2150 | $1,580 | $0.73 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1300 S 3rd St #3 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1580 | $1,325 | $0.84 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4007 Southern Pkwy Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,395 | $0.93 | 3d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 925 W Evelyn Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1520 | $1,650 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 214 E Ormsby Ave Unit 4 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,100 | $0.69 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1329 S Preston St Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1413 | $1,650 | $1.17 | 16d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1774 Bolling Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1611 | $1,300 | $0.81 | 10d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $175,000 Pending 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active Under Contract 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active Under Contract 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$175,000 Active
-
2005-07-27soldstatus $52,000
-
2004-03-17soldstatus $50,000 224-char remark
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
**BACK ON MARKET & PRICED TO SELL!!SOLD AS IS. ENCLOSED FRONT PORCH, UNFINISHED BASEMENT WITH FULL BATH. STOVE & REFRIGERATOR TO REMAIN. GOOD SIZE LOT WITH COVERED BACK PATIO. 24 HOURS NOTICE TO SHOW. BETTER HURRY!!!
-
2003-12-08$59,000 224-char remark
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
**BACK ON MARKET & PRICED TO SELL!!SOLD AS IS. ENCLOSED FRONT PORCH, UNFINISHED BASEMENT WITH FULL BATH. STOVE & REFRIGERATOR TO REMAIN. GOOD SIZE LOT WITH COVERED BACK PATIO. 24 HOURS NOTICE TO SHOW. BETTER HURRY!!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $885 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,505 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- +$620/yr (+$52/mo · 70.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,634
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$885
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,651
- − Management
- −$1,651
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $678
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$163
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,365/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,605
- Household income
- $39,560
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1136.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 22% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.97%
- Current HPI
- 240.6261
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.06%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+196.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $175,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2005-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 2004-03-17 Sold (MLS) $50,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2003-12-08 Listed $59,000 Metro Search MLS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $885 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…