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315 Ritchey St
F Composite 34.98
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.4/30.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0
  • DSCR +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$190,000

315 Ritchey St · Gainesville, TX 76240
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 800 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 71 Days on market
Built 1940 6,273 sqft lot $238/sqft · 66% above area Est $245k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

**INVESTOR SPECIAL** Great investment opportunity featuring two dwellings on one lot—a main house and a separate rear apartment. The properties feature a functional layout with warm wood cabinetry, durable flooring throughout, and comfortable living spaces. This is the perfect investment opportunity for investors looking to expand their portfolio! Property is currently occupied by tenants through Spring of 2027 offering immediate income potential. *This property can be sold individually or along with MLS# 21217417 and MLS# 21217423.*

Key facts

  • Warm wood cabinetry
  • Durable flooring
  • Two dwellings

Tags

TWO DWELLINGSMAIN HOUSESEPARATE REAR APARTMENTFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTWARM WOOD CABINETRYDURABLE FLOORING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-326 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (30.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (31.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (31.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#602 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Gainesville ISD (rural): math 33% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #606 of 826 in TX (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 462 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 190 units permitted in Cooke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,860 (31.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
4.23%
Cash-on-cash
-7.36%
DSCR
0.67
GRM
12.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$245,434
List price
$190,000
Delta
-22.59%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
420 Cunningham 0.15mi 2/1.0 768 (-4%) 16mo $174,900 $228 73
318 Cunningham St 0.09mi 2/1.0 884 (+10%) 9mo $140,000 $158 70
1507 E Tennie St 0.53mi 2/1.0 816 (+2%) 3mo $90,000 $110 69
1420 Olive St 0.48mi 2/1.0 832 (+4%) 14mo $150,000 $180 60
607 S Taylor St 0.54mi 2/1.0 863 (+8%) 9mo $163,000 $189 54
605 S Howeth St 0.51mi 2/1.0 832 (+4%) 22mo $125,000 $150 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-29.1%
Equity multiple
0.03×
Total profit
$-51,518
Equity at exit
$28,330
10-year hold
IRR
-29.1%
Equity multiple
-0.34×
Total profit
$-71,420
Equity at exit
$16,428

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76240

Active inventory
462
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,309 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$284 /mo · $3,414/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$-326

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,722
Max offer price $132,367
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1610 Elizabeth St Gainesville, TX 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 43d 1 0.41mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $190,000 Pending 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $190,000 Active Option Contract 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $190,000 Active Option Contract 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $190,000 Active Option Contract 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $190,000 Active Option Contract 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $190,000 Active Option Contract 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $190,000 Active Option Contract 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $190,000 Active Option Contract 62 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $190,000 Active Option Contract 61 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $190,000 Active Option Contract 60 DOM
  11. 2026-05-13
    historical Active Option Contract 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    **INVESTOR SPECIAL** Great investment opportunity featuring two dwellings on one lot—a main house and a separate rear apartment. The properties feature a functional layout with warm wood cabinetry, durable flooring throughout, and comfortable living spaces. This is the perfect investment opportunity for investors looking to expand their portfolio! Property is currently occupied by tenants through Spring of 2027 offering immediate income potential. *This property can be sold individually or along with MLS# 21217417 and MLS# 21217423.*

  12. 2026-04-17
    status Active 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    **INVESTOR SPECIAL** Great investment opportunity featuring two dwellings on one lot—a main house and a separate rear apartment. The properties feature a functional layout with warm wood cabinetry, durable flooring throughout, and comfortable living spaces. This is the perfect investment opportunity for investors looking to expand their portfolio! Property is currently occupied by tenants through Spring of 2027 offering immediate income potential. *This property can be sold individually or along with MLS# 21217417 and MLS# 21217423.*

  13. 2026-04-10
    historical Active Option Contract 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    **INVESTOR SPECIAL** Great investment opportunity featuring two dwellings on one lot—a main house and a separate rear apartment. The properties feature a functional layout with warm wood cabinetry, durable flooring throughout, and comfortable living spaces. This is the perfect investment opportunity for investors looking to expand their portfolio! Property is currently occupied by tenants through Spring of 2027 offering immediate income potential. *This property can be sold individually or along with MLS# 21217417 and MLS# 21217423.*

  14. 2026-03-31
    listed $190,000 Active 551-char remark
    Show marketing remark (551 chars)

    **INVESTOR SPECIAL** Great investment opportunity featuring two dwellings on one lot—a main house and a separate rear apartment. The properties feature a functional layout with warm wood cabinetry, durable flooring throughout, and comfortable living spaces. This is the perfect investment opportunity for investors looking to expand their portfolio! Property is currently occupied by tenants through Spring of 2027 offering immediate income potential. *This property can be sold individually or along with MLS# 21217417 and MLS# 21217423.*

  15. 2025-01-22
    historical $1,000
  16. 2024-11-26
    listed $1,000
  17. 2024-11-06
    historical $1,100
  18. 2024-09-24
    listed $1,100
  19. 2024-09-13
    historical $1,100
  20. 2024-08-28
    listed $1,100
  21. 2024-03-14
    historical $1,000
  22. 2024-03-09
    historical $1,000
  23. 2024-03-09
    listed $1,000
  24. 2024-03-08
    listed $1,000
  25. 2024-03-07
    historical $1,100
  26. 2024-02-14
    listed $1,100
  27. 2024-02-01
    historical $1,100
  28. 2023-11-27
    listed $1,100
  29. 2023-11-14
    historical $1,100
  30. 2023-10-26
    price $1,100
  31. 2023-09-28
    price $1,150
  32. 2023-09-14
    listed $1,250
  33. 2005-09-26
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,414 · $284/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,477 · $290/mo
Expected delta
+$63/yr (+$5/mo · 1.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,703
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$3,414
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,256
− Management
−$1,256
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable loss
−$7,343
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,762
After-tax cash flow
$-2,153/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gainesville ISD
NCES district ID
4820220
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$41,772
Composite
26.27/100
National rank
#7252
State rank
#606 of 826 in TX

Livability — Gainesville

Score
66/100
State rank
#602
US rank
#11445

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gainesville, TX
County
Cooke County · 29,419 people
City population
29,419
Metro
Gainesville, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,419
Household income
$71,502
Rent vs Own
32.6% rent · 67.4% own
Severe rent burden
660.0

Population outlook (Cooke County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,965 people
By 2030
39,974 · +0.0%
By 2040
39,772 · -0.5%
By 2050
39,258 · -1.8%
By 2075
37,262 · -6.8%
By 2100
33,363 · -16.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 14% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cooke

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.9) · D 16.2% · R 83.1%
2008→2024 swing
-8.2pp toward R · 2008: -58.7pp · 2024: -66.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.9 2020: R+65.2 2016: R+68.1 2012: R+67.6 2008: R+58.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -198.63%
Current HPI
247.3822
Rent YoY
Metro
Gainesville, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+15100.0% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-04-17 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-04-10 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $190,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-01-22 Rental Removed $1,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-11-26 Listed for Rent $1,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-11-06 Rental Removed $1,100 NTREIS
  • 2024-09-24 Listed for Rent $1,100 NTREIS
  • 2024-09-13 Rental Removed $1,100 NTREIS
  • 2024-08-28 Listed for Rent $1,100 NTREIS
  • 2024-03-14 Rental Removed $1,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-03-09 Rental Removed $1,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-03-09 Listed for Rent $1,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-03-08 Listed for Rent $1,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-03-07 Rental Removed $1,100 NTREIS
  • 2024-02-14 Listed for Rent $1,100 NTREIS
  • 2024-02-01 Rental Removed $1,100 NTREIS
  • 2023-11-27 Listed for Rent $1,100 NTREIS
  • 2023-11-14 Rental Removed $1,100 NTREIS
  • 2023-10-26 Price Changed $1,100 NTREIS
  • 2023-09-28 Price Changed $1,150 NTREIS
  • 2023-09-14 Listed for Rent $1,250 NTREIS
  • 2005-09-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+9.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,414 · +16.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…