63 Lamplighter Rd · Pearl, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.1/30.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- ARV discount +3.5/15.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this well-maintained home in a quiet, established neighborhood in Pearl. Built in 1994, this well-maintained property offers 1,333 square feet with 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Price: $199,500 This home has been freshly painted throughout the interior and includes a brand new stove/cooktop. The dishwasher will remain. The bedrooms feature updated flooring, and the layout is comfortable and functional for everyday living. There is also an enclosed room (formerly a side patio) with a window that works well as a home office, guest space, or flex room depending on your needs. Located in a convenient area with easy access to Flowood, Brandon, and the surrounding Rankin County are
Key facts
- Well maintained home
- Brand new stove
- Convenient area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-117 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $183k (8.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (20.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $160k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#19 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Pearl Public School District (suburban): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #32 of 130 in MS (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Pearl Lower Elementary School (782 students, 100% FRL); Pearl Junior High School (math 46% / reading 40%, grade D-, #47 of 179 statewide, top 26%, 1,001 students, 100% FRL); Pearl High School (math 46% / reading 49%, grade D, #28 of 197 statewide, top 14%, 1,262 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 57% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 277 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 343 units permitted in Rankin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rankin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.52%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $183,294
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3443 Marguerite Dr | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,244 (+4%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $149 | 81 |
| 3340 Harle St | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,188 (-1%) | 3mo | $186,000 | $157 | 78 |
| 237 Trojan Dr | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 | 1,316 (+10%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $87 | 71 |
| 126 Harle Cir | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,149 (-4%) | 6mo | $184,400 | $160 | 69 |
| 217 Ann Dr | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-8%) | 1mo | $169,000 | $154 | 68 |
| 3454 Janet St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,125 (-6%) | 1mo | $172,500 | $153 | 68 |
| 512 Flynn Ct | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,117 (-7%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $175 | 67 |
| 257 Ann Dr | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,277 (+7%) | 5mo | $85,000 | $67 | 62 |
| 282 Belaire Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (+14%) | 4mo | $207,000 | $151 | 60 |
| 3257 Harle St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,288 (+8%) | 6mo | $162,000 | $126 | 60 |
| 206 Areo Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,212 (+1%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $144 | 55 |
| 525 Oak Park Cir | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,352 (+13%) | 8mo | $239,900 | $177 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.34% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-34,238
- Equity at exit
- $29,746
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-14,974
- Equity at exit
- $17,249
Cash invested: $55,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39208
- Home prices YoY
- -20.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 277
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,597 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,046
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$249 /mo · $2,992/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $-117
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $20 | -5% $-48 | +0% $-117 | +5% $-186 | +10% $-255 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-244 | -5% $-180 | +0% $-117 | +5% $-54 | +10% $9 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-17 | -0.5pp $-67 | base $-117 | +0.5pp $-169 | +1.0pp $-222 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,875
- Closing costs
- $5,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3569 Old Brandon Rd Pearl, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,135 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 180 Pemberton Dr Pearl, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $1,700 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-01soldstatus
-
2026-04-15soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,159
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,175
- − Property taxes
- −$2,992
- − Insurance
- −$998
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,533
- − Management
- −$1,533
- − Depreciation
- −$5,804
- Taxable loss
- −$4,876
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,170
- After-tax cash flow
- $-239/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pearl Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2803520
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,525
- Composite
- 36.29/100
- National rank
- #4699
- State rank
- #32 of 130 in MS
Livability — Pearl
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #5662
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pearl, MS
- County
- Rankin County · 123,614 people
- City population
- 34,442
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,442
- Household income
- $65,480
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1235.0
Population outlook (Rankin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,317 people
- By 2030
- 171,013 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 182,723 · +11.2%
- By 2050
- 192,376 · +17.1%
- By 2075
- 209,535 · +27.5%
- By 2100
- 209,534 · +27.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rankin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.9% · R 73.0% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.4pp toward D · 2008: -53.5pp · 2024: -47.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.1 2020: R+45.4 2016: R+52.9 2012: R+51.9 2008: R+53.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.11%
- Current HPI
- 193.0609
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.34%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $182 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…