3804 Ward Blvd · West Pensacola, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!
Key facts
- Built 1958
- Listed 524 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a ?-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $223 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#629 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 525 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $130k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 525 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.36%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $155,974
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- -16.65%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-4,196
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $25,967
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32505
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 198
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,352 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,309/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $223
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $297 | -5% $260 | +0% $223 | +5% $186 | +10% $150 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $116 | -5% $170 | +0% $223 | +5% $277 | +10% $330 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $289 | -0.5pp $256 | base $223 | +0.5pp $190 | +1.0pp $155 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 852 Garnet St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,150 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3740 Frontera Cir Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,295 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 419 N Wentworth St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2802 W Gonzalez St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $1,600 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4519 Martha Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 190 N Old Corry Field Rd Pensacola, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 915 | $1,174 | $1.28 | 14d | 3 | 1.07mi |
| 2303 W Brainerd St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 955 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 707 New York Dr Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1266 | $1,185 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 101 Vanderbilt Rd Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 315 N Pace Blvd Unit b Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 315 N Pace Blvd Unit A Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,850 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 309 N Pace Blvd Unit B Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4600 Twin Oaks Dr Pensacola, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 838 | $1,499 | $1.79 | 14d | 29 | 1.32mi |
| 3417 W Fisher St Unit C Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,350 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1804 W Belmont St Unit A Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $995 | $1.08 | 22d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1717 W Cervantes St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 974 | $1,169 | $1.20 | 14d | 3 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 525 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 524 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 523 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 522 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 520 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $130,000 Active 517 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 516 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 515 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 514 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 510 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 509 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 508 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $130,000 Active 507 DOM
-
2026-02-17status Active 420-char remark
Show marketing remark (420 chars)
CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!
-
2026-02-04status Contingent 420-char remark
Show marketing remark (420 chars)
CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!
-
2026-02-01historical 420-char remark
Show marketing remark (420 chars)
CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!
-
2026-01-03status Active 420-char remark
Show marketing remark (420 chars)
CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!
-
2026-01-03historical 420-char remark
Show marketing remark (420 chars)
CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!
-
2025-12-29price $140,000 420-char remark
Show marketing remark (420 chars)
CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!
-
2025-09-05status Active 420-char remark
Show marketing remark (420 chars)
CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!
-
2025-09-03historical 420-char remark
Show marketing remark (420 chars)
CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!
-
2025-08-21status Active 420-char remark
Show marketing remark (420 chars)
CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!
-
2025-05-16historical Contingent 420-char remark
Show marketing remark (420 chars)
CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!
-
2025-01-02$180,000 Active 420-char remark
Show marketing remark (420 chars)
CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!
-
2008-03-12soldstatus $60,000
-
1986-07-01soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,309 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,309 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,227
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,309
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,298
- − Management
- −$1,298
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $607
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$146
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,533/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Pensacola
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #629
- US rank
- #12275
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Pensacola, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,877
- Household income
- $44,783
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1458.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.10%
- Current HPI
- 205.45
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.92%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+337.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-17 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2026-02-04 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2026-02-01 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2026-01-03 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2026-01-03 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2025-12-29 Price Changed $140,000 PARMLS
- 2025-09-05 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2025-09-03 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2025-08-21 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2025-05-16 Contingent — PARMLS
- 2025-01-02 Listed $180,000 PARMLS
- 2008-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 1986-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,309 · +26.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…