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3804 Ward Blvd
C+ Composite 63.49
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

3804 Ward Blvd · West Pensacola, FL 32505
None bd · 2.0 ba · 1,404 sqft · Other public records · 525 Days on market
Built 1958 $93/sqft · 17% below area Est $156k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!

Key facts

  • Built 1958
  • Listed 524 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a ?-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $223 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#629 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 525 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $130k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $114,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 525 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.35%
Cash-on-cash
7.36%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$155,974
List price
$130,000
Delta
-16.65%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.0%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-4,196
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
8.6%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$25,967
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32505

Home prices YoY
-26.5%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
198
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,352 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$109 /mo · $1,309/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$223

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,070
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $297 -5% $260 +0% $223 +5% $186 +10% $150
Rent -10% $116 -5% $170 +0% $223 +5% $277 +10% $330
Rate -1.0pp $289 -0.5pp $256 base $223 +0.5pp $190 +1.0pp $155

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
852 Garnet St Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,150 $1.00 14d 1 0.13mi
3740 Frontera Cir Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,295 $1.26 24d 1 0.31mi
419 N Wentworth St Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,195 $1.09 24d 1 0.46mi
2802 W Gonzalez St Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1824 $1,600 $0.88 24d 1 0.78mi
4519 Martha Ave Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 1104 $1,600 $1.45 24d 1 0.91mi
190 N Old Corry Field Rd Pensacola, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 915 $1,174 $1.28 14d 3 1.07mi
2303 W Brainerd St Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 955 $1,100 $1.15 24d 1 1.11mi
707 New York Dr Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 1266 $1,185 $0.94 24d 1 1.25mi
101 Vanderbilt Rd Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1104 $1,850 $1.68 22d 1 1.26mi
315 N Pace Blvd Unit b Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1342 $1,650 $1.23 24d 1 1.27mi
315 N Pace Blvd Unit A Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1342 $1,850 $1.38 24d 1 1.27mi
309 N Pace Blvd Unit B Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1342 $1,650 $1.23 24d 1 1.29mi
4600 Twin Oaks Dr Pensacola, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 838 $1,499 $1.79 14d 29 1.32mi
3417 W Fisher St Unit C Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1106 $1,350 $1.22 24d 1 1.34mi
1804 W Belmont St Unit A Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 925 $995 $1.08 22d 1 1.45mi
1717 W Cervantes St Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.0 974 $1,169 $1.20 14d 3 1.48mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 525 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 524 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 523 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 522 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $130,000 Active 520 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $130,000 Active 517 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 516 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 515 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 514 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 510 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 509 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 508 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    pricedays on market $130,000 Active 507 DOM
  14. 2026-02-17
    status Active 420-char remark
    Show marketing remark (420 chars)

    CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!

  15. 2026-02-04
    status Contingent 420-char remark
    Show marketing remark (420 chars)

    CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!

  16. 2026-02-01
    historical 420-char remark
    Show marketing remark (420 chars)

    CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!

  17. 2026-01-03
    status Active 420-char remark
    Show marketing remark (420 chars)

    CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!

  18. 2026-01-03
    historical 420-char remark
    Show marketing remark (420 chars)

    CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!

  19. 2025-12-29
    price $140,000 420-char remark
    Show marketing remark (420 chars)

    CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!

  20. 2025-09-05
    status Active 420-char remark
    Show marketing remark (420 chars)

    CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!

  21. 2025-09-03
    historical 420-char remark
    Show marketing remark (420 chars)

    CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!

  22. 2025-08-21
    status Active 420-char remark
    Show marketing remark (420 chars)

    CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!

  23. 2025-05-16
    historical Contingent 420-char remark
    Show marketing remark (420 chars)

    CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!

  24. 2025-01-02
    listed $180,000 Active 420-char remark
    Show marketing remark (420 chars)

    CALLING ALL MULTI_FAMILY INVESTORS! This duplex is conveniently located to all Pensacola has to offer. Each unit of this charming duplex offers 2 beds and 1 bath with a generous 702 square feet of living space, ensuring ample comfort for tenants. The property already has occupants in place eliminating the need for you to invest time and energy in a tenant search. Let's add this amazing buy and hold to your portfolio!

  25. 2008-03-12
    soldstatus $60,000
  26. 1986-07-01
    soldstatus $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,309 · $109/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,309 · $109/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,227
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$1,309
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,298
− Management
−$1,298
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$607
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$146
After-tax cash flow
$2,533/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escambia
NCES district ID
1200510
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,649
Composite
36.04/100
National rank
#4773
State rank
#56 of 73 in FL

Livability — West Pensacola

Score
66/100
State rank
#629
US rank
#12275

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Pensacola, FL
County
Escambia County · 301,722 people
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
27,877
Household income
$44,783
Rent vs Own
47.7% rent · 52.3% own
Severe rent burden
1458.0

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
334,637 people
By 2030
345,779 · +3.3%
By 2040
364,828 · +9.0%
By 2050
378,514 · +13.1%
By 2075
403,220 · +20.5%
By 2100
386,125 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

2024 margin
R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.10%
Current HPI
205.45
Rent YoY
▲ 4.92%
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+337.5% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-17 Relisted PARMLS
  • 2026-02-04 Relisted PARMLS
  • 2026-02-01 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2026-01-03 Relisted PARMLS
  • 2026-01-03 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2025-12-29 Price Changed $140,000 PARMLS
  • 2025-09-05 Relisted PARMLS
  • 2025-09-03 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2025-08-21 Relisted PARMLS
  • 2025-05-16 Contingent PARMLS
  • 2025-01-02 Listed $180,000 PARMLS
  • 2008-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 1986-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,309 · +26.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…