🏷️ Likely Rental
6021 Ridgewood Dr · Zephyrhills West, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.6/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This two bedroom, 1 bathroom home is located on a corner lot where you own your own land. This 55+ community has an HOA fee of only $36 per month! Add your own personal touch to make this home just what you've been wanting. Call today to schedule your private showing!
Key facts
- Low hoa fees
- New flooring
- Plush carpet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total lot approximately 0.13 acres; Living area listed as 744 sq ft (public records); Building area listed as 1,129 sq ft (public records)
- HOA & community: HOA with required fees; Monthly HOA approximately $37.50 (annual $450); Community clubhouse; Shuffleboard court; Deed restrictions; Buyer approval required; Senior community (no pets allowed)
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking; Driveway; 1-car carport
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Water connected
- Home design: Residential mobile home (double wide); One story; Northeast facing
- Construction: Metal siding; Roof over; Crawlspace foundation
- Exterior features: Private mailbox; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; 5 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $815 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.3% vs local median 7.8% in Zephyrhills West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#772 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: West Zephyrhills Elementary School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,896 of 2,144 statewide, top 90%, 615 students, 81% FRL); Zephyrhills High School (math 35% / reading 37%, grade F, #359 of 667 statewide, top 55%, 1,656 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 48% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.6%/yr); 297 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 53.72%
- DSCR
- 3.39
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $87,792
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6109 Creston St | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 704 (-5%) | 1mo | $55,500 | $79 | 69 |
| 6124 Crestview Ln | 0.13mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 672 (-10%) | 12mo | $44,500 | $66 | 61 |
| 6049 Minerva St | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 672 (-10%) | 15mo | $52,500 | $78 | 52 |
| 37235 Eileen Ave | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 784 (+5%) | 6mo | $128,000 | $163 | 47 |
| 5509 Barbara St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-3%) | 18mo | $85,000 | $118 | 44 |
| 5346 Vera St | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 816 (+10%) | 18mo | $120,000 | $147 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.00×
- Total profit
- $36,487
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 52.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.38×
- Total profit
- $79,787
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33542
- Home prices YoY
- -20.6%
- Rents YoY
- -3.6%
- Active inventory
- 297
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,684 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$110 /mo · $1,325/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$37
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $815
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $851 | -5% $833 | +0% $815 | +5% $796 | +10% $778 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $682 | -5% $748 | +0% $815 | +5% $881 | +10% $948 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $847 | -0.5pp $831 | base $815 | +0.5pp $798 | +1.0pp $781 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6302 Abbott Station Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 855 | $1,999 | $2.34 | 2d | 142 | 0.37mi |
| 6052 10th St Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $1,200 | $1.86 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 5168 Crooked Ln Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,645 | $2.74 | 22d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4833 Royal Palm Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,090 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 38748 Calumet Ave Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 6d | 1 | 1.31mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $37 · $444/yr
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 234 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 233 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 225 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 224 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 223 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $65,000 Active 220 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 219 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 218 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2025-10-27$65,000 Active
-
2025-08-31historical
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2025-08-04price $65,000
-
2025-05-05price $69,900
-
2025-04-29price $70,000
-
2025-04-01price $73,400
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2025-02-20price $79,900
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2025-01-30$84,900 Active
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2024-07-01soldstatus $65,000
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2024-06-26soldstatus $65,000 Closed 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
This two bedroom, 1 bathroom home is located on a corner lot where you own your own land. This 55+ community has an HOA fee of only $36 per month! Add your own personal touch to make this home just what you've been wanting. Call today to schedule your private showing!
-
2024-03-19status Pending 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
This two bedroom, 1 bathroom home is located on a corner lot where you own your own land. This 55+ community has an HOA fee of only $36 per month! Add your own personal touch to make this home just what you've been wanting. Call today to schedule your private showing!
-
2024-03-08$65,000 Active 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
This two bedroom, 1 bathroom home is located on a corner lot where you own your own land. This 55+ community has an HOA fee of only $36 per month! Add your own personal touch to make this home just what you've been wanting. Call today to schedule your private showing!
-
2014-12-19soldstatus $34,000 Sold
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2014-12-11status Pending
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2014-06-10historical
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2014-05-13status Active
-
2014-05-13price $38,000 Active
-
2014-05-13status Active
-
2014-04-30historical
-
2013-11-24$39,000 Active
-
1996-03-27soldstatus $33,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,325 · $110/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,325 · $110/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,203
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$1,325
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,616
- − Management
- −$1,616
- − HOA
- −$444
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $9,345
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,243
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,533/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Zephyrhills West
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #772
- US rank
- #17403
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Zephyrhills West, FL
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,612
- Household income
- $49,316
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 831.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.25%
- Current HPI
- 313.3993
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.56%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+94.0% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-27 Listed $65,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-04 Price Changed $65,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-05 Price Changed $69,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-29 Price Changed $70,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-01 Price Changed $73,400 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-20 Price Changed $79,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-30 Listed $84,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2024-06-26 Sold (MLS) $65,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-19 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-08 Listed $65,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-12-19 Sold (MLS) $34,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-12-11 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-10 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-05-13 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-05-13 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-05-13 Price Changed $38,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-04-30 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-11-24 Listed $39,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1996-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $33,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,325 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…