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502 E Harrison St
B- Composite 69.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$37,500

502 E Harrison St · Kirksville, MO 63501
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,325 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 135 Days on market
Built 1920 $28/sqft · 75% below area ↓ 28% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits with this 2-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow situated on a corner lot and featuring a 1-car detached garage. Whether you're looking to finish this home with your own touches or an investment property with potential, this home is ready for your vision. With solid bones and a desirable lot location, it's the perfect chance to add value and build equity. This property is being sold as is. Schedule your personal tour today—call Mark Hunolt at 660-341-0802 #LookWithLegacyInMind

Key facts

  • Investment property
  • Corner lot
  • Detached garage

Tags

CORNER LOTDETACHED GARAGEINVESTMENT PROPERTYDESIRABLE LOT LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $38k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $546 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $38k).
  • Recommended offer: $33k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.7% vs local median 5.2% in Kirksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#211 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety B+; Watch: schools C-, crime D, amenities F.
  • Kirksville R-III (town): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #194 of 324 in MO (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Adair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $259 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $33,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.71%
Cap rate
23.75%
Cash-on-cash
62.34%
DSCR
3.77
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$139,537
List price
$37,500
Delta
-73.13%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
61.1%
Equity multiple
3.71×
Total profit
$28,498
Equity at exit
$5,591
10-year hold
IRR
65.6%
Equity multiple
7.56×
Total profit
$68,861
Equity at exit
$3,242

Cash invested: $10,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63501

Home prices YoY
-31.5%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
234
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,016 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$197
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $538/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$213
Net cashflow
$546

Break-even live

Break-even rent $325
Max offer price $37,500
Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,375
Closing costs
$1,125
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $37,500 Active 135 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $37,500 Active 134 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $37,500 Active 133 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $37,500 Active 132 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $37,500 Active 131 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $37,500 Active 129 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $37,500 Active 128 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,500 Active 125 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,500 Active 124 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,500 Active 123 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,500 Active 122 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $39,500 Active 119 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,500 Active 118 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,500 Active 117 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,500 Active 116 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,500 Active 115 DOM
  17. 2026-04-28
    price $39,500 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Opportunity awaits with this 2-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow situated on a corner lot and featuring a 1-car detached garage. Whether you're looking to finish this home with your own touches or an investment property with potential, this home is ready for your vision. With solid bones and a desirable lot location, it's the perfect chance to add value and build equity. This property is being sold as is. Schedule your personal tour today—call Mark Hunolt at 660-341-0802 #LookWithLegacyInMind

  18. 2026-02-04
    listed $49,500 Active 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Opportunity awaits with this 2-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow situated on a corner lot and featuring a 1-car detached garage. Whether you're looking to finish this home with your own touches or an investment property with potential, this home is ready for your vision. With solid bones and a desirable lot location, it's the perfect chance to add value and build equity. This property is being sold as is. Schedule your personal tour today—call Mark Hunolt at 660-341-0802 #LookWithLegacyInMind

  19. 2025-09-19
    soldstatus
  20. 2024-01-30
    listed $69,900 Active
  21. 2023-05-25
    soldstatus Closed
  22. 2023-05-25
    soldstatus
  23. 2023-05-15
    status Pending
  24. 2023-05-02
    price $35,000
  25. 2023-04-20
    price $43,000
  26. 2023-04-12
    price $49,900
  27. 2023-03-22
    listed $55,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$538 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$538 · $45/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,192
− Mortgage interest
−$2,101
− Property taxes
−$538
− Insurance
−$188
− Repairs & maintenance
−$975
− Management
−$975
− Depreciation
−$1,091
Taxable income
$6,324
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,518
After-tax cash flow
$5,028/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kirksville R-III
NCES district ID
2916740
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$33,570
Composite
31.21/100
National rank
#6037
State rank
#194 of 324 in MO

Livability — Kirksville

Score
67/100
State rank
#211
US rank
#10590

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A Health & safety B+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kirksville, MO
County
Adair County · 21,218 people
City population
21,218
Metro
Kirksville, MO
Population (ZIP)
21,218
Household income
$60,729
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
702.0

Population outlook (Adair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,570 people
By 2030
25,728 · +0.6%
By 2040
25,556 · -0.1%
By 2050
25,811 · +0.9%
By 2075
29,164 · +14.1%
By 2100
31,846 · +24.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Adair

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.6% · R 66.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -33.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.6 2020: R+26.2 2016: R+24.9 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+1.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -77.58%
Current HPI
168.7332
Rent YoY
▲ 2.82%
Metro
Kirksville, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-28.2% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $39,500 NECAR
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $49,500 NECAR
  • 2025-09-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-01-30 Listed $69,900 NECAR
  • 2023-05-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-05-25 Sold (MLS) NECAR
  • 2023-05-15 Pending NECAR
  • 2023-05-02 Price Changed $35,000 NECAR
  • 2023-04-20 Price Changed $43,000 NECAR
  • 2023-04-12 Price Changed $49,900 NECAR
  • 2023-03-22 Listed $55,000 NECAR

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $538 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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