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411 Spruce St
B- Composite 66.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$79,900

411 Spruce St · Mahanoy City, PA 17948
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,372 sqft · Townhouse public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1890 819 sqft lot Est $58k · 39% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 Bedroom, 1 Bath townhouse. Move-in ready with little repairs needed. No yard. Sold AS-IS

Key facts

  • Built 1890
  • Listed 22 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount listed

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential townhouse; Three or more levels; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 13 x 63; Residential zoning

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Baseboard heating
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms; Basement present

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $503 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,129 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, commute F.
  • Mahanoy Area SD (town): math 11% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #494 of 539 in PA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
  • Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $58k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $78,701 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
13.84%
Cash-on-cash
26.96%
DSCR
2.20
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$57,624
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
411 W Spruce St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,372 (0%) 2mo $57,500 $42 98
114 W South St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,394 (+2%) 10mo $8,500 $6 81
114 W Mahanoy St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,360 (-1%) 12mo $78,000 $57 81
639 W Centre 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,456 (+6%) 2mo $40,777 $28 78
532 W Mahanoy St 0.09mi 3/1.5 1,456 (+6%) 8mo $88,000 $60 77
29 Mahanoy St 0.21mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,326 (-3%) 4mo $37,000 $28 76
101 S Catawissa St 0.08mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,536 (+12%) 1mo $104,000 $68 69
217 W Mahanoy 0.12mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,536 (+12%) 5mo $109,000 $71 65
16 E Pine St 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,212 (-12%) 1mo $72,000 $59 63
217 W Pine St 0.14mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,534 (+12%) 9mo $45,000 $29 61
324 E Market St 0.46mi 3/1.5 1,314 (-4%) 12mo $41,000 $31 60
221 E Mahanoy St 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,508 (+10%) 10mo $30,000 $20 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.94% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.6%
Equity multiple
3.04×
Total profit
$45,687
Equity at exit
$40,234
10-year hold
IRR
33.9%
Equity multiple
6.05×
Total profit
$112,989
Equity at exit
$65,587

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17948

Home prices YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $865/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$503

Break-even live

Break-even rent $664
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $548 -5% $525 +0% $503 +5% $480 +10% $457
Rent -10% $400 -5% $451 +0% $503 +5% $554 +10% $605
Rate -1.0pp $543 -0.5pp $523 base $503 +0.5pp $482 +1.0pp $461

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
324 E Market St Mahanoy City, PA 3.0 1.5 1314 $1,300 $0.99 44d 1 0.42mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $79,900 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $79,900 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,900 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 2 DOM
  16. 2026-05-27
    listed $89,900 Active
  17. 2026-04-17
    soldstatus $57,500
  18. 2026-04-08
    soldstatus $57,500 Closed 90-char remark
    Show marketing remark (90 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 1 Bath townhouse. Move-in ready with little repairs needed. No yard. Sold AS-IS

  19. 2026-03-13
    status Pending 90-char remark
    Show marketing remark (90 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 1 Bath townhouse. Move-in ready with little repairs needed. No yard. Sold AS-IS

  20. 2026-02-26
    price $60,000 90-char remark
    Show marketing remark (90 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 1 Bath townhouse. Move-in ready with little repairs needed. No yard. Sold AS-IS

  21. 2026-02-09
    listed $65,000 Active 90-char remark
    Show marketing remark (90 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 1 Bath townhouse. Move-in ready with little repairs needed. No yard. Sold AS-IS

  22. 1993-02-05
    soldstatus $21,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$865 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,064 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$199/yr (+$17/mo · 22.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,600
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$865
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,248
− Management
−$1,248
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$5,039
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,209
After-tax cash flow
$4,822/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mahanoy Area SD
NCES district ID
4214430
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$36,347
Composite
16.95/100
National rank
#9136
State rank
#494 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mahanoy City

Score
65/100
State rank
#1129
US rank
#12973

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mahanoy City, PA
Population (ZIP)
4,124

Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
137,447 people
By 2030
133,121 · -3.1%
By 2040
124,172 · -9.7%
By 2050
115,611 · -15.9%
By 2075
100,796 · -26.7%
By 2100
86,667 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Iranian 3% Hungarian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.94%
Current HPI
234.7484
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+328.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $89,900 LCAR
  • 2026-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
  • 2026-04-08 Sold (MLS) $57,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-13 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $60,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-09 Listed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1993-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $865 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…