411 Spruce St · Mahanoy City, PA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 Bedroom, 1 Bath townhouse. Move-in ready with little repairs needed. No yard. Sold AS-IS
Key facts
- Built 1890
- Listed 22 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount listed
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential townhouse; Three or more levels; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 13 x 63; Residential zoning
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Baseboard heating
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Basement present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $503 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,129 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, commute F.
- Mahanoy Area SD (town): math 11% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #494 of 539 in PA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
- Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $58k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.96%
- DSCR
- 2.20
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $57,624
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 411 W Spruce St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,372 (0%) | 2mo | $57,500 | $42 | 98 |
| 114 W South St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,394 (+2%) | 10mo | $8,500 | $6 | 81 |
| 114 W Mahanoy St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,360 (-1%) | 12mo | $78,000 | $57 | 81 |
| 639 W Centre | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,456 (+6%) | 2mo | $40,777 | $28 | 78 |
| 532 W Mahanoy St | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 1,456 (+6%) | 8mo | $88,000 | $60 | 77 |
| 29 Mahanoy St | 0.21mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,326 (-3%) | 4mo | $37,000 | $28 | 76 |
| 101 S Catawissa St | 0.08mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,536 (+12%) | 1mo | $104,000 | $68 | 69 |
| 217 W Mahanoy | 0.12mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,536 (+12%) | 5mo | $109,000 | $71 | 65 |
| 16 E Pine St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,212 (-12%) | 1mo | $72,000 | $59 | 63 |
| 217 W Pine St | 0.14mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,534 (+12%) | 9mo | $45,000 | $29 | 61 |
| 324 E Market St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,314 (-4%) | 12mo | $41,000 | $31 | 60 |
| 221 E Mahanoy St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,508 (+10%) | 10mo | $30,000 | $20 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.94% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.04×
- Total profit
- $45,687
- Equity at exit
- $40,234
- IRR
- 33.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.05×
- Total profit
- $112,989
- Equity at exit
- $65,587
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17948
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $865/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $503
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $548 | -5% $525 | +0% $503 | +5% $480 | +10% $457 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $400 | -5% $451 | +0% $503 | +5% $554 | +10% $605 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $543 | -0.5pp $523 | base $503 | +0.5pp $482 | +1.0pp $461 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 324 E Market St Mahanoy City, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1314 | $1,300 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $79,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-27$89,900 Active
-
2026-04-17soldstatus $57,500
-
2026-04-08soldstatus $57,500 Closed 90-char remark
Show marketing remark (90 chars)
3 Bedroom, 1 Bath townhouse. Move-in ready with little repairs needed. No yard. Sold AS-IS
-
2026-03-13status Pending 90-char remark
Show marketing remark (90 chars)
3 Bedroom, 1 Bath townhouse. Move-in ready with little repairs needed. No yard. Sold AS-IS
-
2026-02-26price $60,000 90-char remark
Show marketing remark (90 chars)
3 Bedroom, 1 Bath townhouse. Move-in ready with little repairs needed. No yard. Sold AS-IS
-
2026-02-09$65,000 Active 90-char remark
Show marketing remark (90 chars)
3 Bedroom, 1 Bath townhouse. Move-in ready with little repairs needed. No yard. Sold AS-IS
-
1993-02-05soldstatus $21,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $865 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,064 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$199/yr (+$17/mo · 22.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$865
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,248
- − Management
- −$1,248
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $5,039
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,209
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,822/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mahanoy Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4214430
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,347
- Composite
- 16.95/100
- National rank
- #9136
- State rank
- #494 of 539 in PA
Livability — Mahanoy City
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #1129
- US rank
- #12973
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mahanoy City, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,124
Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 137,447 people
- By 2030
- 133,121 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 124,172 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 115,611 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 100,796 · -26.7%
- By 2100
- 86,667 · -36.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Iranian 3% Hungarian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.94%
- Current HPI
- 234.7484
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+328.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $89,900 LCAR
- 2026-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
- 2026-04-08 Sold (MLS) $57,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-13 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $60,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-09 Listed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1993-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $865 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…