Fourplex
41 Terra Vista Ave · San Francisco, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 78°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.1/30.0
- Appreciation +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +8.9/15.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$2,650,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
41 Terra Vista is a four unit mid century building in Anza Vista. Delivered fully vacant at the close of escrow, the property presents a rare opportunity for investors, TIC developers, or owner users seeking flexibility and upside in a prime central location. The building consists of two spacious 2BD/2BA units and two well laid out 2BD/1BA units. The larger residences feature primary suites with walk in closets, formal dining rooms, and expansive living rooms with downtown views and wood burning fireplaces. The 2BD/1BA units offer functional floor plans, abundant natural light, and generously sized rooms throughout. At the garage level, the property offers four oversized parking stalls, eac
Key facts
- Four unit building
- Walk in closets
- Formal dining rooms
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Four vacant units (all units listed as vacant); Units are not furnished
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Garage parking available; Eight garage spaces; Four independent parking spaces; Eight tandem parking spaces; Six total parking spaces reported
- Utilities: Separate gas meters; Separate electric meters
- Home design: Residential income property (quadruplex); Four apartment units; Built in 1959; Asphalt roof
- Construction: Built in 1959; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 5,445 sq ft; No specific lot features listed
Interior
- Bedrooms: Eight bedrooms total (across units)
- Bathrooms: Six full bathrooms total
- Interior features: Coin-operated laundry
- Laundry & utility: Coin-operated laundry (shared)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $2.65M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $336/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $2.49M (6.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $2.49M (6.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+20.6%/yr); 61 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $24,885/mo this rent would consume 197% of the median local household income ($152k/yr) (locally 2151% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $244k of equity ($18k loan paydown + $226k appreciation (8.5% local appreciation)).
- San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (8.5% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $742k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$391k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.18%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $2,733,768
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1671-1673 Hayes St | 0.51mi | 9/6.0 (+1) | 5,175 (-2%) | 3mo | $2,700,000 | $522 | 65 |
| 1650 Baker St | 0.36mi | 8/— | 4,950 (-7%) | 11mo | $1,900,000 | $384 | 63 |
| 618-622 Broderick St | 0.40mi | 9/4.0 (+1) | 4,890 (-8%) | 2mo | $2,050,000 | $419 | 54 |
| 2850-2854 Jackson St | 0.71mi | 7/5.0 (-1) | 4,850 (-8%) | 7mo | $4,028,000 | $831 | 38 |
| 283 Parker Ave | 0.66mi | 8/6.0 | 4,650 (-12%) | 16mo | $2,400,000 | $516 | 36 |
| 102 Baker St | 0.65mi | 7/— (-1) | 4,543 (-14%) | 9mo | $4,999,000 | $1,100 | 33 |
| 1614-1616 Grove St | 0.41mi | 8/4.0 | 4,535 (-14%) | 23mo | $1,370,000 | $302 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.52% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.88×
- Total profit
- $1,397,492
- Equity at exit
- $2,107,163
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.84×
- Total profit
- $4,329,642
- Equity at exit
- $4,275,563
Cash invested: $742,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City San Francisco
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
ZIP-level market 94115
- Home prices YoY
- 3.9%
- Rents YoY
- 20.6%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 35.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $24,885 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$13,897
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$3,312 /mo · $39,750/yr
- Insurance
- −$1,104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$5,226
- Net cashflow
- $1,346
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3,177 | -5% $2,261 | +0% $1,346 | +5% $430 | +10% $-486 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-620 | -5% $363 | +0% $1,346 | +5% $2,329 | +10% $3,312 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,680 | -0.5pp $2,020 | base $1,346 | +0.5pp $659 | +1.0pp $-40 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1.5 | $24,884 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $6,221 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $6,221 |
| #3 | 2 | 1.5 | $6,221 |
| #4 | 2 | 1.5 | $6,221 |
| Total (4 units) | $24,885 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $662,500
- Closing costs
- $79,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-17status $2,650,000 Pending 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $2,650,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $2,650,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $2,650,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $2,650,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $2,650,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $2,650,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $2,650,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$2,650,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥78°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $298,620
- − Mortgage interest
- −$148,441
- − Property taxes
- −$39,750
- − Insurance
- −$13,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$23,890
- − Management
- −$23,890
- − Depreciation
- −$77,091
- Taxable loss
- −$27,691
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,646
- After-tax cash flow
- $22,793/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Francisco Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634410
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,249
- Composite
- 50.14/100
- National rank
- #4088
- State rank
- #322 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Francisco
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3143
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Francisco, CA
- County
- San Francisco County · 827,552 people
- City population
- 827,552
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,629
- Household income
- $151,524
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2151.0
Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,030,936 people
- By 2030
- 1,110,409 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,270,010 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 1,435,001 · +39.2%
- By 2075
- 1,779,074 · +72.6%
- By 2100
- 1,966,767 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Asian 20% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.52%
- Current HPI
- 224.7175
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 20.62%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $2,650,000 San Francisco MLS
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $4,534 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…