338 E Martin St · East Palestine, OH
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.2/30.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- ARV discount +4.7/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
East Palestine, OH - Nestled on a charming tree-lined street within the village of East Palestine is where you will find this 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home. Once you step inside you will realize this home has good bones and offers a desirable floor plan. The first floor features a spacious living room, dining room, open kitchen and 1/2 bath. The second floor is where you will find 3 bedrooms, a full bath and access to the partially finished third floor which offers approximately an additional 672 square feet for storage or would be ideal for future expansion. This fixer upper showcases gorgeous woodwork, including oversized baseboards, trim moldings and pocket doors. Whether you're an investor o
Key facts
- Gorgeous woodwork
- Oversized baseboards
- Trim moldings
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount reported
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; Parking pad
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family property; Asphalt and fiberglass roof; Block foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt/Fiberglass roof; Block foundation; Year built per public records
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Lot recorded at 0.175 acres
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Forced air heating; Gas heating
- Interior features: Has basement with sump pump; 6 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $258 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#325 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
- East Palestine City (town): math 50% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #405 of 656 in OH (top 62%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: East Palestine Elementary School (math 67% / reading 47%, grade C+, #729 of 1,584 statewide, top 48%, 441 students, 47% FRL); East Palestine Middle School (math 46% / reading 61%, grade C+, #362 of 654 statewide, top 57%, 273 students, 44% FRL); East Palestine High School (math 32% / reading 62%, grade D-, #435 of 781 statewide, top 59%, 274 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 46% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Columbiana County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Columbiana County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.51%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $122,304
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 185 E North Ave | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 1,428 (+6%) | 3mo | $40,000 | $28 | 80 |
| 274 Alice St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 10mo | $120,000 | $89 | 78 |
| 295 E Martin St | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+12%) | 6mo | $160,000 | $106 | 70 |
| 382 E Martin St | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 1,164 (-13%) | 7mo | $35,000 | $30 | 68 |
| 389 E Martin St | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (-12%) | 10mo | $63,000 | $54 | 67 |
| 850 E Taggart St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,280 (-5%) | 4mo | $132,500 | $104 | 65 |
| 1047 Howell Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,323 (-2%) | 2mo | $158,000 | $119 | 62 |
| 440 Lyons Ave | 0.42mi | 3/3.0 | 1,428 (+6%) | 11mo | $285,000 | $200 | 55 |
| 288 North Ave W | 0.59mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,380 (+3%) | 7mo | $142,000 | $103 | 55 |
| 442 East St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (-8%) | 10mo | $112,000 | $91 | 54 |
| 167 S Market St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,496 (+11%) | 2mo | $39,000 | $26 | 46 |
| 55 West St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,184 (-12%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $68 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-4,640
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $17,017
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44413
- Home prices YoY
- -20.4%
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,367 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,043/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $258
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $332 | -5% $295 | +0% $258 | +5% $221 | +10% $185 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $150 | -5% $204 | +0% $258 | +5% $312 | +10% $366 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $323 | -0.5pp $291 | base $258 | +0.5pp $224 | +1.0pp $190 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $129,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-24$129,900 Active
-
2004-08-30historical
-
2004-03-29$83,900
-
2003-12-31historical
-
2003-07-20$83,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,043 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,535 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$492/yr (+$41/mo · 47.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,409
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,043
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,313
- − Management
- −$1,313
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $1,036
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$249
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,848/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Palestine City
- NCES district ID
- 3904392
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,573
- Composite
- 44.86/100
- National rank
- #2726
- State rank
- #405 of 656 in OH
Livability — East Palestine
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #325
- US rank
- #5335
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Palestine, OH
- County
- Columbiana · 99,532 people
- City population
- 7,329
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,329
- Household income
- $51,071
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11.1
Population outlook (Columbiana County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 98,353 people
- By 2030
- 94,225 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 85,169 · -13.4%
- By 2050
- 76,157 · -22.6%
- By 2075
- 58,451 · -40.6%
- By 2100
- 42,805 · -56.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbiana
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.0) · D 25.1% · R 74.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.4pp toward R · 2008: -7.6pp · 2024: -49.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.0 2020: R+44.9 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+7.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -48.19%
- Current HPI
- 188.3714
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+54.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-24 Listed $129,900 MLSNOW
- 2004-08-30 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2004-03-29 Listed $83,900 MLSNOW
- 2003-12-31 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2003-07-20 Listed $83,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,043 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…