18502 Creekfield Ct · Houston, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Wonderful one-story home tucked on a corner cul-de-sac lot in Oakwood Glen West. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a comfortable and functional layout with generous living spaces, built-ins in the living room, a formal dining area, breakfast room, and an in-house utility room. The living room features high ceilings and a cozy fireplace, creating an inviting space to gather and unwind. With a 2-car garage, nice lot placement, and a convenient location close to shopping, dining, schools, and everyday amenities, this home is a great opportunity for a first-time buyer, investor, or anyone looking for a home with solid potential in an established neighborhood.
Key facts
- Breakfast room
- Formal dining area
- Cozy fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family home; 1 story
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Central air conditioning
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($405/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (7.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $204k (7.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Klein ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #213 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ehrhardt El (math 27% / reading 34%, grade F, #2,464 of 4,322 statewide, top 58%, 813 students, 65% FRL); Doerre Int (math 59% / reading 58%, grade B, #185 of 1,662 statewide, top 12%, 1,327 students, 30% FRL); Klein H S (math 58% / reading 67%, grade B-, #234 of 1,632 statewide, top 14%, 3,352 students, 45% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 634 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.66%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $260,130
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18423 Hazycrest Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 | 1,885 (0%) | 1mo | $259,900 | $138 | 86 |
| 6910 Norvara Trl | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,862 (-1%) | 0mo | $249,000 | $134 | 73 |
| 7735 Leafbrook Ln | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,758 (-7%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $154 | 71 |
| 7210 Lyndhurst Village Ln | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,940 (+3%) | 7mo | $285,000 | $147 | 71 |
| 7022 Genesis Cove Ct | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,886 (+0%) | 3mo | $329,000 | $174 | 66 |
| 18423 Vanhorn Ct | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,745 (-7%) | 5mo | $229,000 | $131 | 66 |
| 6903 Norvara Trl | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,780 (-6%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $135 | 63 |
| 7202 N Fawn River Cir | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,770 (-6%) | 1mo | $248,000 | $140 | 60 |
| 6907 Five Forks Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,799 (-5%) | 2mo | $249,000 | $138 | 59 |
| 7015 Oakwood Glen Cir | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,810 (-4%) | 4mo | $206,000 | $114 | 55 |
| 17610 Mill Springs Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 | 1,954 (+4%) | 7mo | $250,000 | $128 | 53 |
| 7026 Bristol Memorial Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,690 (-10%) | 4mo | $289,000 | $171 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-39,420
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- -19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-54,423
- Equity at exit
- $19,022
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77379
- Home prices YoY
- -34.7%
- Rents YoY
- -1.9%
- Active inventory
- 634
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,043 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$275 /mo · $3,300/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$60
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$429
- Net cashflow
- $34
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $186 | -5% $110 | +0% $34 | +5% $-42 | +10% $-118 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-128 | -5% $-47 | +0% $34 | +5% $114 | +10% $195 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $145 | -0.5pp $90 | base $34 | +0.5pp $-23 | +1.0pp $-81 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7410 Songwind Ln Spring, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1885 | $1,995 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 7315 Spg Cypress Rd Spring, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 930 | $2,065 | $2.22 | 0d | 20 | 0.47mi |
| 17743 Seven Pines Dr Spring, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2265 | $2,795 | $1.23 | 9d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 7042 Bristol Memorial Dr Spring, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2443 | $2,650 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 7015 Windy Run Ct Spring, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2186 | $5,500 | $2.52 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 19025 Stuebner Airline Rd Spring, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1079 | $1,940 | $1.80 | 1d | 27 | 0.83mi |
| 17111 Oakwood Chase Dr Spring, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1704 | $1,800 | $1.06 | 26d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 6415 Willow Pine Dr Spring, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2499 | $2,800 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 19000 Champion Forest Dr Spring, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $1,877 | $1.48 | 26d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $60 · $720/yr
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $220,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 664-char remark
-
2026-06-17$220,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,518
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$3,300
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,961
- − Management
- −$1,961
- − HOA
- −$720
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable loss
- −$3,248
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$780
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,185/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Klein ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4825740
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,288
- Composite
- 40.91/100
- National rank
- #3615
- State rank
- #213 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 85,190
- Household income
- $107,486
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2220.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 15% Black 11% Asian 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.58%
- Current HPI
- 218.9608
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.95%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…