1605 W Martin St · Peoria, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful all brick 4 bedroom home lovingly cared for by the last owner for over 40 years! Amenities include; large fenced double lot, 1 car garage, covered front porch, all brick exterior, many replacement windows, freshly painted interior, loads of natural woodwork, brick fireplace, spacious bedroom sizes plus a loft, full basement, central air, immediate occupancy! Add a little TLC! Agent owned. Only $69,900
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Brick fireplace
- Replacement windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $600 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: The Elise Ford Allen Academy (math 0% / reading 2%, grade F, #2,052 of 2,056 statewide, top 100%, 624 students, 0% FRL); Manual High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #659 of 693 statewide, top 100%, 656 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,374/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($26k/yr) (locally 1385% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $925 of equity ($483 loan paydown + $442 appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
- Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $31k; list at $70k implies a 125% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.79%
- DSCR
- 2.64
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $177,395
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1701 W Howett St | 0.26mi | 4/1.0 | 1,952 (-6%) | 6mo | $35,000 | $18 | 72 |
| 1419 W Moss Ave | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 2,074 (-1%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $118 | 69 |
| 2020 W Ayres Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,995 (-4%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $93 | 57 |
| 1801 W Ayres Ave | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 | 1,804 (-14%) | 3mo | $152,500 | $85 | 48 |
| 1820 W Bradley Ave | 0.73mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,955 (-6%) | 2mo | $96,000 | $49 | 45 |
| 2321 W Manor Pkwy | 0.65mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,184 (+5%) | 7mo | $130,000 | $60 | 45 |
| 2315 W Sherman Ave | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 1,992 (-5%) | 14mo | $178,000 | $89 | 43 |
| 1927 W Kellogg Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,996 (-4%) | 13mo | $120,000 | $60 | 43 |
| 2309 W Manor Pkwy | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,906 (-9%) | 12mo | $145,000 | $76 | 42 |
| 316 N Cooper St | 0.42mi | 4/3.0 | 1,819 (-13%) | 13mo | $190,000 | $104 | 41 |
| 2126 W Edna Ct | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,840 (-12%) | 12mo | $174,900 | $95 | 39 |
| 2011 W Barker Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,855 (-11%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $73 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $38,299
- Equity at exit
- $22,536
- IRR
- 41.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.82×
- Total profit
- $94,264
- Equity at exit
- $28,948
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61605
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 42
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,374 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$89 /mo · $1,073/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$288
- Net cashflow
- $600
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1214 W Butler St Peoria, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $795 | $0.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1816 W Callender Ave Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $1,650 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2847 W Howett St Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,150 | $0.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2601 W Kenwood Ave West Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1405 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 100 Walnut St Unit 402 Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $2,400 | $1.64 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2024-05-16status Pending
-
2024-05-14$69,900 Active
-
2024-02-01soldstatus $31,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,073 · $89/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,330 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$257/yr (+$21/mo · 24.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,483
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$1,073
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,319
- − Management
- −$1,319
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $6,474
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,554
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,647/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria SD 150
- NCES district ID
- 1731230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,951
- Composite
- 10.92/100
- National rank
- #9751
- State rank
- #554 of 620 in IL
Livability — Peoria
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #5096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peoria, IL
- County
- Peoria County · 120,495 people
- City population
- 114,670
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,424
- Household income
- $26,392
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1385.0
Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 183,007 people
- By 2030
- 179,643 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 171,782 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 163,508 · -10.7%
- By 2075
- 140,178 · -23.4%
- By 2100
- 114,493 · -37.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 56% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Peoria
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.63%
- Current HPI
- 170.5814
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+125.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2024-05-16 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-14 Listed $69,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.9%/yrLatest (2024): $1,073 · +174.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…