🌊 Lakefront
3030 Binnacle Dr #307 · Naples, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$323,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Top-floor, turnkey-furnished 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom condo in the heart of the Moorings offering peaceful lake views and over 1,000 square feet of comfortable living space. Located just about a mile from the beach and minutes to Olde Naples, Venetian Village, Waterside Shops, and Mercato, this is an ideal opportunity to enjoy the Naples lifestyle full-time, seasonally, or as an investment property. Inside, the open layout connects the updated kitchen, dining area, and living room seamlessly to the screened lanai, creating an easy flow for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen features stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, shaker-style cabinetry and a pass-through to th
Key facts
- Renovated bathroom
- Walk-in closet
- Screened lanai
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets not allowed
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with quarterly fee; Association fee covers management, cable TV, internet, insurance, irrigation water, grounds maintenance, pest control, reserve fund, sewer, trash and water; Community features include elevator, non-gated access, beach access/rights, pool, storage and management; 30 units in the community
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking (one space)
- Security: Security/high-impact doors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Municipal irrigation
- Home design: Condo/Apartment (1 story); Entry level: 3; West-facing; Has a view; Resale property
- Construction: Built in block, concrete and stucco; Built-Up and flat roof
- Exterior features: Security/high-impact doors; Water feature; Lanai; Porch; Screened porch; Community pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Self-cleaning oven; Refrigerator; Freezer; Dishwasher; Disposal
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Separate shower; Shower only
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Impact glass windows; Furnished; Family/Dining room; Living/Dining room; Split bedrooms; Cable TV
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $324k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $680 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $324k).
- Recommended offer: $314k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#126 in FL, #1,903 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute D+, cost of living F.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.6%/yr); 479 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,857/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($117k/yr) (locally 311% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $91k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($314k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 20% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.88%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $17,166
- Equity at exit
- $48,235
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.10×
- Total profit
- $190,097
- Equity at exit
- $27,970
Cash invested: $90,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34103
- Rents YoY
- 14.6%
- Active inventory
- 479
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,857 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,696
- Tax from tax record
- −$275 /mo · $3,295/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$985
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,020
- Net cashflow
- $680
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $863 | -5% $771 | +0% $680 | +5% $588 | +10% $496 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $296 | -5% $488 | +0% $680 | +5% $871 | +10% $1,063 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $842 | -0.5pp $762 | base $680 | +0.5pp $596 | +1.0pp $510 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $80,875
- Closing costs
- $9,705
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3030 Binnacle Dr #201 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $5,000 | $4.58 | 24d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 820 Ketch Dr #2 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $5,700 | $5.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 820 Ketch Dr #3 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $5,500 | $5.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3200 Binnacle Dr Unit D3 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1180 | $9,000 | $7.63 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 45 High Point Cir S #303 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $5,500 | $5.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 333 Harbour Dr #211 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $5,500 | $5.64 | 14d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 788 Park Shore Dr Naples, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 931 | $5,500 | $5.90 | 14d | 3 | 0.53mi |
| 222 Harbour Dr #105 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1393 | $13,000 | $9.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3070 Gulf Shore Blvd N #103 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $8,000 | $6.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3200 Gulf Shore Blvd N #105 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $8,500 | $7.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3400 Gulf Shore Blvd N Unit M3 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1337 | $9,500 | $7.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3930 Belair Ln Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $6,000 | $4.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2600 Gulf Shore Blvd N #64 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $7,200 | $6.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2885 Gulf Shore Blvd N #302 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $20,000 | $13.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2400 14th St N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $5,890 | $4.02 | 14d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2500 Gulf Shore Blvd N Unit S6 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1145 | $7,500 | $6.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3500 Gulf Shore Blvd N Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1258 | $7,650 | $6.08 | 24d | 2 | 0.83mi |
| 2258 Gulf Shore Blvd N Unit O1 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1491 | $13,750 | $9.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2216 Gulf Shore Blvd N Unit R3 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $10,000 | $7.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3443 Gulf Shore Blvd N Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1171 | $12,750 | $10.88 | 14d | 11 | 0.87mi |
| 4092 Belair Ln #15 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $6,200 | $4.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2203 Gulf Shore Blvd N Unit E1 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1491 | $17,500 | $11.74 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 555 Park Shore Dr Unit B410 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $6,000 | $5.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2211 Gulf Shore Blvd N Unit C4 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $17,500 | $13.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2100 Gulf Shore Blvd N #101 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $8,000 | $6.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4001 Gulf Shore Blvd N #105 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1247 | $12,000 | $9.62 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4001 Gulf Shore Blvd N #707 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1267 | $20,000 | $15.79 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4001 Gulf Shore Blvd N #803 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1267 | $13,000 | $10.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4001 Gulf Shore Blvd N #303 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $9,000 | $7.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4001 Gulf Shore Blvd N #505 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1271 | $9,000 | $7.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4001 Gulf Shore Blvd N #1104 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1267 | $11,000 | $8.68 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1950 Gulf Shore Blvd N Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $7,250 | $6.84 | 24d | 2 | 1.07mi |
| 1930 Gulf Shore Blvd N Unit A302S Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $6,995 | $4.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4005 Gulf Shore Blvd N #607 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $14,000 | $10.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4005 Gulf Shore Blvd N #605 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1267 | $10,000 | $7.89 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1930 Gulf Shore Blvd N Unit D102 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $6,500 | $4.40 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 600 Neapolitan Way Naples, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 2.0 | 832 | $5,200 | $6.25 | 24d | 2 | 1.11mi |
| 1910 Gulf Shore Blvd N Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $9,200 | $7.13 | 24d | 2 | 1.12mi |
| 2011 Gulf Shore Blvd N #45 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $8,500 | $7.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1977 Gulf Shore Blvd N Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $9,500 | $7.31 | 24d | 3 | 1.14mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $985 · $11,820/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $323,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $323,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $323,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $323,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-14pricedays on market $323,500 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $325,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $325,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $325,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $325,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $325,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $325,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $325,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $325,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $325,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-14$325,000 Active
-
2026-05-02historical
-
2026-02-13price $389,000
-
2025-11-18$425,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,295 · $275/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,295 · $275/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $58,281
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,121
- − Property taxes
- −$3,295
- − Insurance
- −$2,415
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,663
- − Management
- −$4,663
- − HOA
- −$11,820
- − Depreciation
- −$9,411
- Taxable income
- $3,894
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$935
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,220/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Naples
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #126
- US rank
- #1903
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Naples, FL
- County
- Collier County · 396,295 people
- City population
- 344,941
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,299
- Household income
- $116,875
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 311.0
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -327.53%
- Current HPI
- 315.1396
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.55%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-23.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $325,000 FORTMLS
- 2026-05-02 Listing Removed — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $389,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-11-18 Listed $425,000 NAPLESMLS
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,295 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…