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18412 Royena Dr
D- Composite 39.35
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.2/30.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0

$162,900

18412 Royena Dr · Highland, MI 49665
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · SingleFamily · 27 Days on market
Built 1999 1.26 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tucked just off M-115 and surrounded by mature hardwood trees, this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers comfort, convenience, and move-in-ready appeal on two lots. Inside, you'll find a welcoming layout designed for easy everyday living, while outside, the peaceful setting provides space to relax and enjoy. A storage shed is also included--perfect for tools, lawn equipment, and recreational gear. Whether you're searching for your first home, a weekend retreat, this property is full of potential. Schedule your private showing today.

Key facts

  • Storage shed
  • Well maintained
  • Move in ready

Tags

MATURE HARDWOOD TREESWELL MAINTAINEDMOVE IN READYSTORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Ranch-style residential; Built in 1999
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Recreational, wooded lot; Shed(s) on the property; 1.26-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in gas oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wood heating
  • Interior features: LP tank rented; Replacement windows with window treatments; Fireplace; 10 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $163k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-225 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $130k (20.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (30.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (30.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Marion Public Schools (rural): math 33% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #328 of 760 in MI (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Osceola County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $114,042 (30.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
4.64%
Cash-on-cash
-5.92%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
2.63×
Total profit
$74,417
Equity at exit
$146,753
10-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
6.05×
Total profit
$230,441
Equity at exit
$316,479

Cash invested: $45,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49665

Home prices YoY
11.3%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
11.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,140 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$854
Tax est. 1.5%
$204 /mo · $2,444/yr
Insurance
$68
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$239
Net cashflow
$-225

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,425
Max offer price $130,366
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,725
Closing costs
$4,887
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $162,900 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $162,900 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $162,900 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $162,900 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $162,900 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $162,900 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $167,900 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $167,900 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $167,900 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $167,900 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $167,900 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $167,900 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $167,900 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $167,900 Active 9 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $167,900 Active 8 DOM
  16. 2026-05-22
    listed $167,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (547 chars)

    Tucked just off M-115 and surrounded by mature hardwood trees, this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers comfort, convenience, and move-in-ready appeal on two lots. Inside, you'll find a welcoming layout designed for easy everyday living, while outside, the peaceful setting provides space to relax and enjoy. A storage shed is also included--perfect for tools, lawn equipment, and recreational gear. Whether you're searching for your first home, a weekend retreat, this property is full of potential. Schedule your private showing today.

  17. 2026-05-22
    listed $167,900 Active 547-char remark
    Show marketing remark (547 chars)

    Tucked just off M-115 and surrounded by mature hardwood trees, this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers comfort, convenience, and move-in-ready appeal on two lots. Inside, you'll find a welcoming layout designed for easy everyday living, while outside, the peaceful setting provides space to relax and enjoy. A storage shed is also included--perfect for tools, lawn equipment, and recreational gear. Whether you're searching for your first home, a weekend retreat, this property is full of potential. Schedule your private showing today.

  18. 2026-05-22
    listed $167,900 Active 547-char remark
    Show marketing remark (547 chars)

    Tucked just off M-115 and surrounded by mature hardwood trees, this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers comfort, convenience, and move-in-ready appeal on two lots. Inside, you'll find a welcoming layout designed for easy everyday living, while outside, the peaceful setting provides space to relax and enjoy. A storage shed is also included--perfect for tools, lawn equipment, and recreational gear. Whether you're searching for your first home, a weekend retreat, this property is full of potential. Schedule your private showing today.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,685
− Mortgage interest
−$9,125
− Property taxes
−$2,444
− Insurance
−$814
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,095
− Management
−$1,095
− Depreciation
−$4,739
Taxable loss
−$5,626
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,350
After-tax cash flow
$-1,348/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion Public Schools
NCES district ID
2622800
Math proficiency
33% ▲ 16.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▲ 31.00%
Median HH income
$35,461
Composite
37.86/100
National rank
#8710
State rank
#328 of 760 in MI

Livability — Highland

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,022

Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,724 people
By 2030
20,769 · -4.4%
By 2040
18,720 · -13.8%
By 2050
16,611 · -23.5%
By 2075
11,942 · -45.0%
By 2100
7,546 · -65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 11% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 5% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Osceola

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.9) · D 25.2% · R 73.1% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-37.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -47.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.9 2020: R+46.3 2016: R+43.7 2012: R+21.0 2008: R+10.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 26.88%
Current HPI
264.0932
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $167,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $167,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $167,900 SW Michigan MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…