15730 Ohio St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.1/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attention investors! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home presents an excellent investment opportunity. Located in a stable, tenant-friendly neighborhood, this property offers strong potential for consistent cash flow and long-term returns. The home does require some improvements, making it a great opportunity for value-add investors looking to build equity. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 3,485 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1931
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $307 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mary Mcleod Bethune Elementarymiddle School (706 students, 91% FRL); Mumford High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #481 of 713 statewide, top 81%, 889 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools at 89% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 353 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,336/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($33k/yr) (locally 2172% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.87%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $94,232
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- 0.82%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15396 Kentucky St | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,833 (-2%) | 6mo | $132,050 | $72 | 82 |
| 16241 Wisconsin St | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,896 (+2%) | 6mo | $153,000 | $81 | 76 |
| 16224 Washburn St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,790 (-4%) | 2mo | $174,999 | $98 | 71 |
| 16161 Roselawn St | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,666 (-11%) | 1mo | $169,000 | $101 | 66 |
| 8549 Marygrove Dr | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,993 (+7%) | 1mo | $224,000 | $112 | 66 |
| 15775 Washburn St | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 | 1,750 (-6%) | 9mo | $50,000 | $29 | 64 |
| 16532 Griggs St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,991 (+7%) | 2mo | $137,000 | $69 | 61 |
| 16579 Northlawn St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 2,027 (+8%) | 9mo | $260,000 | $128 | 55 |
| 16525 Roselawn St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,640 (-12%) | 8mo | $208,000 | $127 | 51 |
| 16801 Washburn St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,031 (+9%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $113 | 47 |
| 16558 Indiana St | 0.46mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,091 (+12%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $120 | 38 |
| 15828 Santa Rosa Dr | 0.67mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,600 (-14%) | 8mo | $125,000 | $78 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $8,622
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $52,100
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48238
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 353
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,336 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$211 /mo · $2,526/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $307
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $361 | -5% $334 | +0% $307 | +5% $281 | +10% $254 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $202 | -5% $255 | +0% $307 | +5% $360 | +10% $413 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $355 | -0.5pp $332 | base $307 | +0.5pp $283 | +1.0pp $258 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15791 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1792 | $1,100 | $0.61 | 46d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 15457 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,275 | $0.85 | 26d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 16183 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1370 | $1,400 | $1.02 | 46d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 16211 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2168 | $1,945 | $0.90 | 1d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 16546 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1577 | $1,500 | $0.95 | 46d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 15708 Birwood St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1255 | $1,100 | $0.88 | 7d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 16255 Lilac St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1312 | $1,394 | $1.06 | 19d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 16889 Washburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 19d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 16934 Ilene St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1516 | $1,400 | $0.92 | 22d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 16582 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1314 | $1,399 | $1.06 | 19d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| Ohio St Unit 4 Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $750 | $0.54 | 46d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 17163 Prairie St Unit 1B Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1317 | $1,350 | $1.03 | 46d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 17530 Roselawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 26d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 14242 Ohio St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,000 | $0.71 | 46d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 16230 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1653 | $1,450 | $0.88 | 46d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 15088 Littlefield St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1294 | $1,275 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 14011 Roselawn St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 4d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 14011 Roselawn St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 19d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 16834 Fairfield St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1516 | $1,363 | $0.90 | 26d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 13979 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,334 | $1.03 | 22d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 17596 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,195 | $0.89 | 46d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 17596 Santa Rosa Dr Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,195 | $0.89 | 26d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 13910 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1680 | $1,000 | $0.60 | 46d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 13620 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,200 | $0.96 | 7d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 16503 Linwood St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2415 | $1,800 | $0.75 | 6d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,345 | $0.79 | 46d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 46 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $95,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $95,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $95,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-04-16$99,000 Active 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Attention investors! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home presents an excellent investment opportunity. Located in a stable, tenant-friendly neighborhood, this property offers strong potential for consistent cash flow and long-term returns. The home does require some improvements, making it a great opportunity for value-add investors looking to build equity. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-16historical
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Attention investors! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home presents an excellent investment opportunity. Located in a stable, tenant-friendly neighborhood, this property offers strong potential for consistent cash flow and long-term returns. The home does require some improvements, making it a great opportunity for value-add investors looking to build equity. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-16$99,000 Active
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Attention investors! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home presents an excellent investment opportunity. Located in a stable, tenant-friendly neighborhood, this property offers strong potential for consistent cash flow and long-term returns. The home does require some improvements, making it a great opportunity for value-add investors looking to build equity. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-16historical
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Attention investors! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home presents an excellent investment opportunity. Located in a stable, tenant-friendly neighborhood, this property offers strong potential for consistent cash flow and long-term returns. The home does require some improvements, making it a great opportunity for value-add investors looking to build equity. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-02-10$99,000 Active
-
2026-02-10$99,000 Active
-
2026-02-05status Active
-
2026-01-30historical
-
2026-01-30status Pending
-
2026-01-30status Pending
-
2026-01-28historical Accepting Backup Offers
-
2026-01-27historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-01-27historical
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2025-08-29price $99,000
-
2025-08-29price $99,000
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2025-07-24price $120,000
-
2025-07-24price $120,000
-
2025-06-05$135,000 Active
-
2025-06-05$135,000 Active
-
2025-01-15historical
-
2025-01-15historical
-
2024-09-16$135,000 Active
-
2024-09-16$135,000 Active
-
2020-12-07soldstatus $84,900
-
2020-03-02status Pending
-
2020-03-02status Pending
-
2020-03-02soldstatus $3,000 Sold
-
2020-03-02soldstatus $3,000 Closed
-
2020-02-20historical
-
2020-02-18$3,000 Active
-
2020-02-18$3,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,526 · $211/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,526 · $211/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,037
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$2,526
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,283
- − Management
- −$1,283
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $2,385
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$572
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,118/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,731
- Household income
- $33,315
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2172.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% Two or more races 3% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.96%
- Current HPI
- 189.6227
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.14%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+3200.0% since first listed31 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $99,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-16 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-16 Listed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-16 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-10 Listed $99,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-10 Listed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-05 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-30 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-30 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-30 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-28 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-27 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-27 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-29 Price Changed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-29 Price Changed $99,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-07-24 Price Changed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-24 Price Changed $120,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-06-05 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-06-05 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-01-15 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-01-15 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-09-16 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-09-16 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $84,900 Public Records
- 2020-03-02 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-03-02 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2020-03-02 Sold (MLS) $3,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-03-02 Sold (MLS) $3,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-02-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-02-18 Listed $3,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-02-18 Listed $3,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+9.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,526 · -54.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…