🏷️ Likely Rental
118 N Bermuda St · Lacy-Lakeview, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 60.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment property with tenants in place on a month to month lease. Rent currently set at $1250 with the potential for higher. This home is ideal for those looking to maximize returns through updates or long-term rental income. With close proximity to I-35, shopping, schools, and downtown Waco, this property offers a strong investment opportunity in a steady rental market. Will sell as a package with 120 N Bermuda.
Key facts
- Month to month lease
- Tenants in place
- Investment property
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $287 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
- Recommended offer: $122k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 5.1% in Lacy-Lakeview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Connally ISD (suburban): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #781 of 826 in TX (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 299 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,014 units permitted in McLennan County in 2024 (200 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- McLennan County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 274 days — a 12% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 274 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.84%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $193,111
- List price
- $139,000
- Delta
- -28.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117 S Bermuda St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,330 (-4%) | 1mo | $229,999 | $173 | 74 |
| 408 Conway St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,431 (+4%) | 8mo | $299,900 | $210 | 68 |
| 407 Conway St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,431 (+4%) | 9mo | $299,900 | $210 | 67 |
| 411 Conway St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,443 (+5%) | 1mo | $306,900 | $213 | 67 |
| 405 Conway St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,443 (+5%) | 9mo | $299,900 | $208 | 66 |
| 409 Conway St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,486 (+8%) | 1mo | $309,900 | $209 | 62 |
| 410 Conway St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,486 (+8%) | 2mo | $306,900 | $207 | 62 |
| 112 S Lakeview Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,268 (-8%) | 9mo | $229,900 | $181 | 61 |
| 309 S Rita St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-6%) | 1mo | $182,500 | $140 | 59 |
| 2916 Old Dallas Rd | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,516 (+10%) | 10mo | $189,900 | $125 | 49 |
| 210 Susanna St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,504 (+9%) | 9mo | $145,000 | $96 | 48 |
| 200 S Patricia St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,563 (+13%) | 8mo | $99,000 | $63 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-5,489
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $13,766
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76705
- Home prices YoY
- -29.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 299
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,564 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$162 /mo · $1,939/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$328
- Net cashflow
- $287
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $366 | -5% $326 | +0% $287 | +5% $247 | +10% $208 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $163 | -5% $225 | +0% $287 | +5% $349 | +10% $410 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $357 | -0.5pp $322 | base $287 | +0.5pp $251 | +1.0pp $214 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 129 N Lakeview Dr Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1207 | $3,750 | $3.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 229 E Craven Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $1,325 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 225 E Craven Ave Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 218 Avenue F Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,600 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 326 S Barbara St Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1722 | $2,300 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 320 S Rita St Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,600 | $1.54 | 14d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 105 N Lacy Dr Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 700 | $1,374 | $1.96 | 14d | 11 | 0.56mi |
| 109 E Frost St Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1338 | $2,200 | $1.64 | 14d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 209 S Rita St Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1692 | $1,575 | $0.93 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 4509 Rocking K Dr Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,699 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3500 Meyers Ln Waco, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 684 | $1,125 | $1.64 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 39 Addi Ln Lacy Lakeview, TX | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,275 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4307 Bellcrest St Bellmead, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,950 | $1.62 | 22d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 305 Shirley Dr Lacy Lakeview, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,525 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $139,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $139,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $139,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $139,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-03-04$139,000 Active 425-char remark
Show marketing remark (426 chars)
Great investment property with tenants in place on a month to month lease. Rent currently set at $1250 with the potential for higher. This home is ideal for those looking to maximize returns through updates or long-term rental income. With close proximity to I-35, shopping, schools, and downtown Waco, this property offers a strong investment opportunity in a steady rental market. Will sell as a package with 120 N Bermuda.
-
2026-03-04status Active 426-char remark
Show marketing remark (426 chars)
Great investment property with tenants in place on a month to month lease. Rent currently set at $1250 with the potential for higher. This home is ideal for those looking to maximize returns through updates or long-term rental income. With close proximity to I-35, shopping, schools, and downtown Waco, this property offers a strong investment opportunity in a steady rental market. Will sell as a package with 120 N Bermuda.
-
2026-03-02historical 426-char remark
Show marketing remark (426 chars)
Great investment property with tenants in place on a month to month lease. Rent currently set at $1250 with the potential for higher. This home is ideal for those looking to maximize returns through updates or long-term rental income. With close proximity to I-35, shopping, schools, and downtown Waco, this property offers a strong investment opportunity in a steady rental market. Will sell as a package with 120 N Bermuda.
-
2025-12-08price $139,000 426-char remark
Show marketing remark (426 chars)
Great investment property with tenants in place on a month to month lease. Rent currently set at $1250 with the potential for higher. This home is ideal for those looking to maximize returns through updates or long-term rental income. With close proximity to I-35, shopping, schools, and downtown Waco, this property offers a strong investment opportunity in a steady rental market. Will sell as a package with 120 N Bermuda.
-
2025-09-19$155,000 Active 426-char remark
Show marketing remark (426 chars)
Great investment property with tenants in place on a month to month lease. Rent currently set at $1250 with the potential for higher. This home is ideal for those looking to maximize returns through updates or long-term rental income. With close proximity to I-35, shopping, schools, and downtown Waco, this property offers a strong investment opportunity in a steady rental market. Will sell as a package with 120 N Bermuda.
-
2023-11-17soldstatus
-
2023-09-13$129,000
-
2021-04-14historical
-
2021-01-07$103,500
-
2020-02-07historical
-
2019-06-26$94,997
-
2017-12-31historical
-
2017-12-31historical
-
2017-11-01$78,900
-
2017-10-29$140,000
-
2017-10-24historical
-
2017-09-06$89,645
-
2017-05-03soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,939 · $162/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,544 · $212/mo
- Expected delta
- +$605/yr (+$50/mo · 31.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,763
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$1,939
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,501
- − Management
- −$1,501
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $1,297
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$311
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,130/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Connally ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814970
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,388
- Composite
- 16.9/100
- National rank
- #9141
- State rank
- #781 of 826 in TX
Livability — Lacy-Lakeview
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lacy-Lakeview, TX
- County
- McLennan County · 213,088 people
- City population
- 31,616
- Metro
- Waco, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,616
- Household income
- $58,236
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 668.0
Population outlook (McLennan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 264,191 people
- By 2030
- 273,578 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 291,506 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 308,044 · +16.6%
- By 2075
- 349,648 · +32.3%
- By 2100
- 364,779 · +38.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 20% Black 18% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 24% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McLennan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.9) · D 34.0% · R 64.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.0pp toward R · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -30.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.9 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+27.1 2012: R+29.8 2008: R+23.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.45%
- Current HPI
- 217.9429
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.20%
- Metro
- Waco, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+55.1% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Listed $139,000 CTXMLS
- 2026-03-04 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-03-02 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $139,000 NTREIS
- 2025-09-19 Listed $155,000 NTREIS
- 2023-11-17 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2023-09-13 Listed $129,000 NTREIS
- 2021-04-14 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2021-01-07 Listed $103,500 NTREIS
- 2020-02-07 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2019-06-26 Listed $94,997 NTREIS
- 2017-12-31 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2017-12-31 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2017-11-01 Listed $78,900 NTREIS
- 2017-10-29 Listed $140,000 NTREIS
- 2017-10-24 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2017-09-06 Listed $89,645 NTREIS
- 2017-05-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,939 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…