1510 S Franklin Ave · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$88,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming ranch with 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, basement & garage. Convenient location - easy access to shopping, schools & expressways.
Key facts
- Convenient location
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing broker: Inca Realty, LLC
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water available; Public sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,774 square feet
- Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road frontage; Lot approximately 50 x 150 (0.17 acres); Subdivision: WOODLAWN PARK; Ground-level entry with steps
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: 5 total rooms; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $456 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.3%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $608 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.23%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $146,520
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1129 S Franklin Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,018 (-1%) | 7mo | $130,000 | $64 | 80 |
| 1513 Brookwood Ave | 0.19mi | 4/1.5 | 1,845 (-9%) | 8mo | $212,500 | $115 | 67 |
| 1018 Lafayette St | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,163 (+6%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $60 | 66 |
| 1106 Maxine St | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,182 (+7%) | 7mo | $201,000 | $92 | 63 |
| 1814 Mcphail St | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,927 (-5%) | 3mo | $149,000 | $77 | 59 |
| 1917 Whittlesey St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,978 (-3%) | 5mo | $41,070 | $21 | 59 |
| 607 Roome Ct | 0.55mi | 4/1.5 | 1,855 (-9%) | 10mo | $120,000 | $65 | 50 |
| 406 S Lynch St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,948 (-4%) | 5mo | $139,900 | $72 | 48 |
| 2131 Windemere Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,844 (-9%) | 5mo | $90,000 | $49 | 48 |
| 1628 Broad Ct | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,220 (+9%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $83 | 46 |
| 315 Lafayette St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,933 (-5%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $57 | 44 |
| 701 Kensington Ave | 0.47mi | 4/2.5 | 2,332 (+15%) | 10mo | $172,000 | $74 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $22,403
- Equity at exit
- $13,121
- IRR
- 32.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.71×
- Total profit
- $91,469
- Equity at exit
- $7,609
Cash invested: $24,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48503
- Home prices YoY
- -27.7%
- Rents YoY
- 12.3%
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,425 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$461
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,058/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $456
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $506 | -5% $481 | +0% $456 | +5% $432 | +10% $407 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $344 | -5% $400 | +0% $456 | +5% $513 | +10% $569 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $501 | -0.5pp $479 | base $456 | +0.5pp $434 | +1.0pp $410 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,000
- Closing costs
- $2,640
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-05-30status $88,000 Pending 22 DOM
-
2026-05-07$88,000 Active 143-char remark
Show marketing remark (143 chars)
Charming ranch with 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, basement & garage. Convenient location - easy access to shopping, schools & expressways.
-
2026-05-07$88,000 Active
Show marketing remark (143 chars)
Charming ranch with 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, basement & garage. Convenient location - easy access to shopping, schools & expressways.
-
2026-04-22historical
-
2026-04-22historical
-
2025-09-27status Active
-
2025-09-26historical
-
2025-05-13$126,600 Active
-
2025-05-13$126,600 Active
-
2025-05-12historical
-
2025-05-12historical
-
2025-04-23status Active
-
2025-04-09historical
-
2023-08-09$126,600 Active
-
2023-08-09$126,600 Active
-
2023-05-06historical
-
2023-05-06historical
-
2022-05-11$126,600 Active
-
2022-05-11$126,600 Active
-
2010-12-06historical
-
2004-12-19historical
-
2004-12-19historical
-
2004-07-14$159,900
-
2004-07-14$159,900
-
2004-07-14$159,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,058 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,058 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,105
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,929
- − Property taxes
- −$2,058
- − Insurance
- −$440
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,368
- − Management
- −$1,368
- − Depreciation
- −$2,560
- Taxable income
- $4,381
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,051
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,426/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,347
- Household income
- $44,411
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1293.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 36% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Arabic 4% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.84%
- Current HPI
- 130.1152
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.35%
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-45.0% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $88,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-07 Listed $88,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-22 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-22 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-09-27 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-09-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-05-13 Listed $126,600 REALCOMP
- 2025-05-13 Listed $126,600 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-12 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-04-23 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-04-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-08-09 Listed $126,600 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-08-09 Listed $126,600 REALCOMP
- 2023-05-06 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-05-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-05-11 Listed $126,600 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-05-11 Listed $126,600 REALCOMP
- 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2004-12-19 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2004-12-19 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-07-14 Listed $159,900 REALCOMP
- 2004-07-14 Listed $159,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-07-14 Listed $159,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,058 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…