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404 N Troy St
B- Composite 67.37
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

404 N Troy St · Bellefontaine, OH 43311
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,182 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 71 Days on market
Built 1930 0.26 ac lot $93/sqft · 33% below area Est $165k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity knocks in Bellefontaine! This 404 N Troy St property, priced at just $136,000, is the perfect chance for investors, flippers, or first-time buyers ready to build equity. Featuring solid bones and plenty of potential, this home offers a blank canvas to update, renovate, and make your own. Conveniently located near downtown, parks, and local amenities, it's ideal for a rental, flip, or affordable starter home. With comparable homes in the area selling at higher price points, this is a value-add opportunity you don't want to miss. Bring your vision and unlock the potential!

Key facts

  • 0.26 acre lot
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 71 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $230 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.6% in Bellefontaine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#213 in OH, #3,316 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bellefontaine City (town): math 55% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #348 of 656 in OH (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 152 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 121 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Logan County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $103,400 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.80%
Cash-on-cash
8.96%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$165,172
List price
$110,000
Delta
-33.40%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
825 W Williams Ave 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,186 (+0%) 6mo $165,000 $139 91
417 N West St 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,288 (+9%) 2mo $175,000 $136 81
320 Walker St 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,264 (+7%) 2mo $165,000 $131 68
641 N Detroit St 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,231 (+4%) 1mo $172,000 $140 62
541 W Columbus Ave 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,300 (+10%) 1mo $185,000 $142 60
304 Kennedy St 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,264 (+7%) 9mo $175,000 $138 59
524 N Elm St 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,269 (+7%) 6mo $137,500 $108 58
1121 W Sandusky Ave 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (-15%) 2mo $226,000 $224 54
317 N Elm St 0.49mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,311 (+11%) 1mo $60,000 $46 53
120 Pratt St 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,355 (+15%) 3mo $189,900 $140 50
526 W Chillicothe Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,016 (-14%) 1mo $187,500 $185 49
704 N Detroit St 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,226 (+4%) 10mo $237,000 $193 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-3,172
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
7.0%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$16,109
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43311

Active inventory
152
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,217 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$109 /mo · $1,308/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$230

Break-even live

Break-even rent $926
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
904 N Main St Bellefontaine, OH 2.0 1.0 850 $1,171 $1.38 43d 1 0.88mi
904 N Main St Unit 5 Bellefontaine, OH 2.0 1.0 850 $1,171 $1.38 43d 1 0.88mi
649 S Main St Bellefontaine, OH 2.0 1.5 808 $1,349 $1.67 1d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $110,000 Pending 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Contingency - Finance and Inspections 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Contingency - Finance and Inspections 70 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Contingency - Finance and Inspections 69 DOM
  5. 2026-05-12
    historical Contingency - Finance and Inspections 589-char remark
    Show marketing remark (589 chars)

    Opportunity knocks in Bellefontaine! This 404 N Troy St property, priced at just $136,000, is the perfect chance for investors, flippers, or first-time buyers ready to build equity. Featuring solid bones and plenty of potential, this home offers a blank canvas to update, renovate, and make your own. Conveniently located near downtown, parks, and local amenities, it's ideal for a rental, flip, or affordable starter home. With comparable homes in the area selling at higher price points, this is a value-add opportunity you don't want to miss. Bring your vision and unlock the potential!

  6. 2026-04-25
    price $110,000 589-char remark
    Show marketing remark (589 chars)

    Opportunity knocks in Bellefontaine! This 404 N Troy St property, priced at just $136,000, is the perfect chance for investors, flippers, or first-time buyers ready to build equity. Featuring solid bones and plenty of potential, this home offers a blank canvas to update, renovate, and make your own. Conveniently located near downtown, parks, and local amenities, it's ideal for a rental, flip, or affordable starter home. With comparable homes in the area selling at higher price points, this is a value-add opportunity you don't want to miss. Bring your vision and unlock the potential!

  7. 2026-04-16
    price $129,000 589-char remark
    Show marketing remark (589 chars)

    Opportunity knocks in Bellefontaine! This 404 N Troy St property, priced at just $136,000, is the perfect chance for investors, flippers, or first-time buyers ready to build equity. Featuring solid bones and plenty of potential, this home offers a blank canvas to update, renovate, and make your own. Conveniently located near downtown, parks, and local amenities, it's ideal for a rental, flip, or affordable starter home. With comparable homes in the area selling at higher price points, this is a value-add opportunity you don't want to miss. Bring your vision and unlock the potential!

  8. 2026-03-23
    listed $136,000 Active 589-char remark
    Show marketing remark (589 chars)

    Opportunity knocks in Bellefontaine! This 404 N Troy St property, priced at just $136,000, is the perfect chance for investors, flippers, or first-time buyers ready to build equity. Featuring solid bones and plenty of potential, this home offers a blank canvas to update, renovate, and make your own. Conveniently located near downtown, parks, and local amenities, it's ideal for a rental, flip, or affordable starter home. With comparable homes in the area selling at higher price points, this is a value-add opportunity you don't want to miss. Bring your vision and unlock the potential!

  9. 2022-04-07
    soldstatus $97,200
  10. 2022-04-04
    soldstatus $97,250
  11. 2022-03-30
    soldstatus $97,200 Closed
  12. 2022-03-30
    soldstatus $97,200 Sold
  13. 2022-03-25
    listed $97,200
  14. 2022-02-24
    status Pending
  15. 2022-02-18
    listed $88,500 Active
  16. 2021-10-08
    soldstatus $86,000 Closed
  17. 2021-09-22
    status Pending
  18. 2021-09-21
    status Active
  19. 2021-08-25
    historical Contingency - Finance and Inspections
  20. 2021-08-23
    price $87,500
  21. 2021-08-12
    price $89,900
  22. 2021-06-28
    listed $94,900 Active
  23. 2013-08-21
    historical
  24. 2013-02-21
    listed $39,900
  25. 2004-01-13
    soldstatus $31,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,308 · $109/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,512 · $126/mo
Expected delta
+$204/yr (+$17/mo · 15.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,609
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,308
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,169
− Management
−$1,169
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$1,052
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$252
After-tax cash flow
$2,508/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bellefontaine City
NCES district ID
3904358
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$43,270
Composite
47.94/100
National rank
#2207
State rank
#348 of 656 in OH

Livability — Bellefontaine

Score
76/100
State rank
#213
US rank
#3316

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bellefontaine, OH
County
Logan · 47,256 people
City population
20,074
Population (ZIP)
20,074
Household income
$64,217
Rent vs Own
31.5% rent · 68.5% own
Severe rent burden
10.1

Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,240 people
By 2030
43,166 · -2.4%
By 2040
40,495 · -8.5%
By 2050
37,511 · -15.2%
By 2075
30,453 · -31.2%
By 2100
23,081 · -47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Logan

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.2) · D 21.5% · R 77.7%
2008→2024 swing
-29.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -56.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.2 2020: R+55.2 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+31.8 2008: R+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -182.18%
Current HPI
243.9954
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+254.8% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Contingent WRIST
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $110,000 WRIST
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $129,000 WRIST
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $136,000 WRIST
  • 2022-04-07 Sold (MLS) $97,200 CBRMLS
  • 2022-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $97,250 Public Records
  • 2022-03-30 Sold (MLS) $97,200 Dayton MLS
  • 2022-03-30 Sold (MLS) $97,200 Dayton MLS
  • 2022-03-25 Listed $97,200 CBRMLS
  • 2022-02-24 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2022-02-18 Listed $88,500 Dayton MLS
  • 2021-10-08 Sold (MLS) $86,000 WRIST
  • 2021-09-22 Pending WRIST
  • 2021-09-21 Relisted WRIST
  • 2021-08-25 Contingent WRIST
  • 2021-08-23 Price Changed $87,500 WRIST
  • 2021-08-12 Price Changed $89,900 WRIST
  • 2021-06-28 Listed $94,900 WRIST
  • 2013-08-21 Listing Removed WRIST
  • 2013-02-21 Listed $39,900 WRIST
  • 2004-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,308 · +38.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…