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142 Hudson St
B- Composite 65.87
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.4/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.3/10.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$50,700

142 Hudson St · Johnstown, PA 15901
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,936 sqft · SingleFamily · 39 Days on market
2,439 sqft lot Est $46k · 9% over ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Timeless Charm in Historic Johnstown. .. Step into a piece of history with this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom gem. Spanning 1,936 sq. ft. across three finished floors, this home perfectly blends classic character with modern comfort. The heart of the house is a large eat-in kitchen, ideal for morning coffee or hosting dinner. Stay cozy all winter with efficient hot water heat that warms every corner of the expansive living space. Outdoor living is a breeze with a covered back porch overlooking a fully fenced yard—your private oasis for pets, play, or gardening. From the stately architecture to the generous layout, this home offers the space and soul you've been searchin

Key facts

  • Private nook
  • Curved staircase
  • Walk up attic

Tags

CURVED STAIRCASEPRIVATE NOOKWALK UP ATTICCOVERED REAR PORCHFENCED YARDLAUNDRY AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is residential single family (SFR)

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels (2 stories); Residential zoning
  • Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Rectangular lot; City street frontage; Public maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Full, unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer; Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $51k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $759 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $51k).
  • Recommended offer: $49k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.3% vs local median 15.0% in Johnstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#363 in PA, #3,168 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Greater Johnstown SD (urban): math 9% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #509 of 539 in PA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $351 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $49,179 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.75%
Cap rate
24.25%
Cash-on-cash
64.14%
DSCR
3.85
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$46,464
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
142 Hudson St 0.00mi 4/1.5 1,936 (0%) 0mo $45,500 $24 100
1122-1124 Ridge Ave 0.33mi 4/2.0 1,796 (-7%) 5mo $11,500 $6 67
345 Ebensburg Rd 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,792 (-7%) 7mo $79,900 $45 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
63.2%
Equity multiple
3.83×
Total profit
$40,130
Equity at exit
$7,560
10-year hold
IRR
67.7%
Equity multiple
7.85×
Total profit
$97,245
Equity at exit
$4,384

Cash invested: $14,196 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15901

Home prices YoY
-5.5%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,396 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$266
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $680/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$293
Net cashflow
$759

Break-even live

Break-even rent $435
Max offer price $50,700
Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,675
Closing costs
$1,521
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-29
    price $50,700
  3. 2026-04-13
    price $51,000
  4. 2026-04-06
    price $52,000
  5. 2026-03-30
    price $53,400
  6. 2026-03-23
    listed $54,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$680 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$741 · $62/mo
Expected delta
+$60/yr (+$5/mo · 8.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,747
− Mortgage interest
−$2,840
− Property taxes
−$680
− Insurance
−$254
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,340
− Management
−$1,340
− Depreciation
−$1,475
Taxable income
$8,819
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,116
After-tax cash flow
$6,989/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greater Johnstown SD
NCES district ID
4210950
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,890
Composite
13.25/100
National rank
#9550
State rank
#509 of 539 in PA

Livability — Johnstown

Score
77/100
State rank
#363
US rank
#3168

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Johnstown, PA
City population
30,791
Population (ZIP)
3,466

Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,754 people
By 2030
115,827 · -5.6%
By 2040
101,309 · -17.5%
By 2050
88,379 · -28.0%
By 2075
65,237 · -46.9%
By 2100
46,909 · -61.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Cambria

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -5.41%
Current HPI
92.1212
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Pending CSMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $50,700 CSMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $51,000 CSMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $52,000 CSMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $53,400 CSMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $54,900 CSMLS

Property tax history

-0.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $680 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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