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1017 W Buchanan St
B- Composite 68.12
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$91,500

1017 W Buchanan St · Harlingen, TX 78550
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 892 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 414 Days on market
Built 1947 7,000 sqft lot $103/sqft · 20% below area Est $115k · 20% under ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTORS! We are selling a handy-man special home with 2 bedrooms, 1 bath and 1-car garage. This location has easy access to Freeway 69E and is close to HEB and Valley Vista Mall. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream property.

Key facts

  • Close to heb
  • 7,000 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

EASY ACCESS TO FREEWAY 69ECLOSE TO HEBCLOSE TO VALLEY VISTA MALL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.8% in Harlingen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#217 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, commute F.
  • Harlingen CISD (urban): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #647 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 465 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $633 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 414 days — a 12% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $80,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 414 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
9.25%
Cash-on-cash
10.55%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$114,789
List price
$91,500
Delta
-20.29%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
610 Polk Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 876 (-2%) 13mo $129,900 $148 61
314 W Lincoln Ave 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,000 (+12%) 9mo $172,500 $173 40
210 W Mckinley Ave 0.70mi 2/1.0 984 (+10%) 20mo $118,000 $120 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.0%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$-8
Equity at exit
$13,643
10-year hold
IRR
10.1%
Equity multiple
1.80×
Total profit
$20,443
Equity at exit
$7,911

Cash invested: $25,620 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78550

Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
465
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,053 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$480
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,065/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$221
Net cashflow
$225

Break-even live

Break-even rent $768
Max offer price $91,500
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,875
Closing costs
$2,745
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1005 W Garfield St Apt C2 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 1120 $995 $0.89 21d 1 0.30mi
501 W Pierce Ave Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 847 $950 $1.12 21d 1 0.37mi
106 S A St Harlingen, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 877 $850 $0.97 13d 3 0.81mi
619 E Pierce Ave Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $800 $0.80 43d 1 1.04mi
204 S 7th St Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 713 $725 $1.02 21d 1 1.16mi
409 E Madison Ave Unit 4 Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 770 $750 $0.97 43d 1 1.16mi
1600 Clinton St Unit 1 Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,495 $1.42 43d 1 1.17mi
1604 Clinton St Unit 1 Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,495 $1.42 43d 1 1.17mi
1725 Clinton St Unit A Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 807 $1,295 $1.60 21d 1 1.23mi
1725 Clinton St Unit A Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 807 $1,295 $1.60 43d 1 1.23mi
1704 Clinton St Unit 1 Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1010 $1,495 $1.48 43d 1 1.23mi
1704 Clinton St Unit 2 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 1010 $1,295 $1.28 21d 1 1.23mi
1704 Clinton St Unit 2 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 956 $1,295 $1.35 43d 1 1.23mi
902 N D St Unit A Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 850 $825 $0.97 43d 1 1.24mi
709 E Jackson St Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,050 $0.95 13d 1 1.25mi
917 N 1st St Unit 917 Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 700 $770 $1.10 43d 1 1.37mi
801 W Arroyo Park Ln Unit 2 Harlingen, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $775 $1.11 21d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $91,500 Active 414 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $91,500 Active 413 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $91,500 Active 412 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $91,500 Active 411 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $91,500 Active 409 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $91,500 Active 406 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $91,500 Active 405 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $91,500 Active 404 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $91,500 Active 403 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $91,500 Active 399 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $91,500 Active 398 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $91,500 Active 397 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $91,500 Active 396 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $91,500 Active 395 DOM
  15. 2025-09-12
    price $91,500 409-char remark
    Show marketing remark (409 chars)

    INVESTORS! We are selling a handy-man special home with 2 bedrooms, 1 bath and 1-car garage. This location has easy access to Freeway 69E and is close to HEB and Valley Vista Mall. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream property.

  16. 2025-04-30
    listed $97,500 Active 409-char remark
    Show marketing remark (409 chars)

    INVESTORS! We are selling a handy-man special home with 2 bedrooms, 1 bath and 1-car garage. This location has easy access to Freeway 69E and is close to HEB and Valley Vista Mall. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream property.

  17. 1990-12-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,065 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,674 · $140/mo
Expected delta
+$609/yr (+$51/mo · 57.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,636
− Mortgage interest
−$5,125
− Property taxes
−$1,065
− Insurance
−$458
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,011
− Management
−$1,011
− Depreciation
−$2,662
Taxable income
$1,304
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$313
After-tax cash flow
$2,389/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harlingen CISD
NCES district ID
4822530
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,182
Composite
24.94/100
National rank
#7566
State rank
#647 of 826 in TX

Livability — Harlingen

Score
73/100
State rank
#217
US rank
#5347

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harlingen, TX
County
Cameron County · 310,734 people
City population
95,667
Metro
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
Population (ZIP)
53,335
Household income
$49,007
Rent vs Own
49.5% rent · 50.5% own
Severe rent burden
2251.0

Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
441,603 people
By 2030
448,113 · +1.5%
By 2040
456,385 · +3.3%
By 2050
456,294 · +3.3%
By 2075
423,851 · -4.0%
By 2100
342,787 · -22.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (83%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 83% Two or more races 29% White 14% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 76%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
51% English-only · Spanish 48%

Political lean MEDSL · Cameron

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
2008→2024 swing
-34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.60%
Current HPI
167.7038
Rent YoY
▲ 3.45%
Metro
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-12 Price Changed $91,500 HARMLS
  • 2025-04-30 Listed $97,500 HARMLS
  • 1990-12-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,065 · -45.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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