11924 Demouey Rd · Grand Bay, AL 39562

$199,900

3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,922 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market

Built 1966 2.00 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.4/10.0
• 1% rule +4.7/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.6/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this spacious and beautifully laid out 3-bedrooms, 2 full bath residence boasting 1,922 square feet of comfortable living space. nestled on a generous, sprawling 2 acre lot on Demouey Road, this property offers the perfect blend of country privacy and everyday convenience.

Key facts

• 2 acre lot
• Parking
• Built 1966

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway; 1-car carport
• Utilities: Septic tank; Private well; Electricity connected
• Home design: Single-family residence (house); One level
• Construction: Brick veneer construction; Slab foundation; Built (year per public records)
• Exterior features: Other exterior features; Corner lot

Interior

• Kitchen: Refrigerator
• Flooring: Brick; Carpet; Combination flooring; Tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Refrigerator included; Laundry room
• Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $121 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (3.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $193k (3.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.2% in Grand Bay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#103 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Moss Point Separate School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #94 of 130 in MS (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Moss Point Kreole Primary School (394 students, 100% FRL); Magnolia Middle School (math 19% / reading 23%, grade F, #112 of 179 statewide, top 64%, 381 students, 100% FRL); Moss Point High School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #101 of 197 statewide, top 54%, 455 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 83% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $193,383 (3.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.97% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.77%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.28%
• DSCR: 1.24
• GRM: 8.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -12.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.56×
• Total profit: $-24,632
• Equity at exit: $29,806

10-year hold

• IRR: -3.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.80×
• Total profit: $-11,333
• Equity at exit: $17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 39562

• Home prices YoY: -25.6%
• Price-to-rent: 8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,934 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,048
• Tax from tax record: −$150 /mo · $1,797/yr
• Insurance: −$83
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$406
• Net cashflow: $121

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,780

Max offer price $199,900

Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $234	-5% $178	+0% $121	+5% $65	+10% $8
Rent	-10% $-32	-5% $45	+0% $121	+5% $198	+10% $274
Rate	-1.0pp $222	-0.5pp $172	base $121	+0.5pp $69	+1.0pp $17

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $49,975
• Closing costs: $5,997
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
9708 Forts Lake Rd Moss Point, MS	4.0	2.0	2327	$2,275	$0.98	15d	1	0.40mi
11612 Independence Rd Moss Point, MS	3.0	2.0	1620	$1,250	$0.77	15d	1	0.82mi

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-06-03
   status $199,900 Pending 4 DOM
2. 2026-06-02
   days on market $199,900 Active 4 DOM
3. 2026-06-01
   days on market $199,900 Active 3 DOM
4. 2026-05-31
   days on market $199,900 Active 2 DOM
5. 2026-05-30
   remarks 289-char remark
6. 2026-05-30
   listed $199,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,797 · $150/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,797 · $150/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone A · 24% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,206
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,198
• − Property taxes: −$1,797
• − Insurance: −$2,502
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,856
• − Management: −$1,856
• − Depreciation: −$5,815
• Taxable loss: −$1,819
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$437
• After-tax cash flow: $1,890/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Moss Point Separate School District
• NCES district ID: 2803000
• Math proficiency: 17% ▼ -3.00%
• Reading proficiency: 22% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $38,041
• Composite: 16.34/100
• National rank: #9205
• State rank: #94 of 130 in MS

Livability — Grand Bay

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #103
• US rank: #11625

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 16,353
• Population (ZIP): 17,142

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 146,926 people
• By 2030: 148,442 · +1.0%
• By 2040: 149,631 · +1.8%
• By 2050: 148,723 · +1.2%
• By 2075: 147,845 · +0.6%
• By 2100: 144,510 · -1.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (89%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 89% Black 6% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -62.87%
• Current HPI: 182.2784
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-29 Listed $199,900 MLSU

Property tax history

+36.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,797 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.